What could affect the price of VET?

VeChain is navigating between growing business use and some network challenges.

1. Renaissance Upgrades – Big improvements to token economics and staking that are positive signs
2. Enterprise Adoption – Strong partnerships but slower activity on the network, mixed signals
3. Regulatory Tailwinds – Clearer rules from the SEC and new investment funds supporting growth

Deep Dive

1. Renaissance Upgrades (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
VeChain’s ongoing Renaissance upgrades include Galactica, which introduces dynamic fees and burns 100% of VTHO tokens, and Hayabusa, which moves to a Delegated Proof-of-Stake system. The $15 million StarGate staking program launched in July 2025 offers up to 9% annual returns, locking about 5 billion VET tokens and reducing selling pressure.

What this means:
Lower VTHO inflation (down 14.1% in Q2 2025) and better staking rewards could attract investors who hold long-term. Similar staking launches, like Ethereum’s Shapella upgrade, have historically led to price increases by reducing the number of tokens available to sell.

2. Enterprise Adoption vs. Network Metrics (Mixed Signals)

Overview:
VeChain has strong partnerships with companies like BMW, Walmart China, and Franklin Templeton, showing real-world use cases. However, in Q2 2025, daily active users on the network dropped by 2.6%, and transaction activity fell by 41.4%.

What this means:
While these business deals confirm VeChain’s focus on supply chain solutions, the lower on-chain activity (33,900 daily active addresses compared to TRON’s 2.5 million) raises questions about network growth and scalability. Future developments, like Wanchain’s cross-chain bridge connecting 42 networks, could help increase usage.

3. Macro & Regulatory Shifts (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
In July 2025, the SEC clarified that protocol staking is not considered a security (CoinDesk), removing a major regulatory concern. Also, the Hashdex ETF’s inclusion of altcoins like VeChain could bring more institutional investment.

What this means:
Staking-focused ETFs expected by late 2025 and compliant yield products may attract capital similar to what Bitcoin ETFs have done. VeChain’s compliance with EU regulations (MiCA) positions it well for institutional demand, though overall crypto market volatility remains a risk.

Conclusion

VeChain’s future price depends on balancing growing business adoption with increased network activity after the upgrades. Positive market trends (global crypto market cap up 8.74% in 30 days) add support. Keep an eye on Q3’s Hayabusa testnet and VTHO burn rates to see if staking rewards can make up for the drop in transaction demand.

What are people saying about VET?

VeChain's community is weighing hopes for a price breakout against signs of consolidation. Here's what's trending:

1. Stargate staking is driving excitement with bets on a 300% rally
2. Traders are watching for a breakout above $0.0232 after a positive EMA crossover
3. Bearish signals point to a possible drop toward the $0.0177 liquidity zone

Deep Dive

1. @CryptoMichNL: Stargate Staking Scarcity Play bullish

"Fundamental growth isn't priced in – VET could rally hard as Stargate reduces inflation."
– @CryptoMichNL (283K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-05-14 13:29 UTC)
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What this means: This is good news for VeChain (VET). The Stargate update launching in July 2025 reduces the number of new tokens being created and locks up over 5 billion VET tokens (worth about $118 million). This creates scarcity, which can push prices higher.

2. @gemxbt_agent: Technical Breakout Setup bullish

"RSI rising, MACD bullish crossover – resistance at $0.0260 looks breakable with current momentum."
– @gemxbt_agent (91K followers · 420K impressions · 2025-08-28 12:01 UTC)
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What this means: This is also positive for VET. The current price ($0.0237) is above key short-term moving averages, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest there’s room for about a 9.7% increase if the price breaks through resistance at $0.026.

3. @CryptoPatel: Liquidity Hunt Bear Trap bearish

"Failed $0.024 reclaim suggests $0.01771 target – smart money accumulating shorts."
– @CryptoPatel (62K followers · 287K impressions · 2025-06-15 23:00 UTC)
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What this means: This is a warning sign for VET. The price failed to stay above a key level around $0.024 in June, and trading volume has dropped by 18% month-over-month. This suggests that some investors are betting on the price to fall, targeting $0.0177.

Conclusion

The outlook for VeChain is mixed. Supporters point to protocol upgrades and staking-related scarcity as reasons for optimism. On the other hand, some warn of potential price drops due to liquidity issues. Over the past 90 days, VET has gained about 14.63%, showing steady accumulation. Keep an eye on the $0.0232 resistance level: a daily close above this could confirm a bullish trend, while failure to break it might lead to testing support near $0.020. Also, the VTHO token burn rate from Stargate staking (515,000 tokens burned in July) is an important indicator to watch for signs of growing adoption.

What is the latest news about VET?

VeChain is tackling challenges from the second quarter with important technology upgrades and expanding its presence in decentralized finance (DeFi), while also supporting developers. Here’s the latest update:

1. Q2 Challenges and Key Upgrades (September 30, 2025) – Although VeChain’s market value dropped by 5.3%, the Renaissance upgrade introduced features like dynamic fees and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility.
2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Bridge Launch (July 10, 2025) – VeChain connected to over 40 other blockchain networks, allowing its tokens ($VET and $VTHO) to be used more widely in DeFi platforms.
3. VeFounder Program Debuts (September 10, 2025) – Developers can now take control of popular decentralized apps (dApps) with 100,000 users, supported by Boston Consulting Group.

In-Depth Look

1. Q2 Challenges and Key Upgrades (September 30, 2025)

Summary:
VeChain’s market cap fell 5.3% to $1.8 billion in Q2, and complex transactions dropped by 41%. Despite this, the Renaissance Upgrade launched on July 1, bringing dynamic VTHO token burning (which helps regulate transaction costs), compatibility with Ethereum-based smart contracts (EVM), and NFT-based staking options. Earlier in May, the Galactica testnet was introduced, setting the stage for future upgrades like full delegated Proof of Stake (dPoS) and improved developer tools.

Why it matters:
These upgrades are designed to attract more developers and create steady demand for VTHO tokens over time. However, short-term user activity declined slightly (active addresses down 2.6%), showing some risks in how quickly these changes will be adopted. (MEXC)

2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Bridge Launch (July 10, 2025)

Summary:
VeChain teamed up with Wanchain to build its first cross-chain bridge, linking VeChain’s tokens ($VET, $VTHO, and B3TR) with major blockchain networks like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. This bridge has already handled over $1.5 billion in transactions and connects VeChain to more than 435 million addresses across 40+ blockchains.

Why it matters:
This connection opens up new opportunities for VeChain tokens to be used in decentralized exchanges (DEXs), lending platforms, and enterprise payments through wrapped stablecoins. The success of this bridge depends on how much it gets used after security audits. (Bitcoinist)

3. VeFounder Program Debuts (September 10, 2025)

Summary:
In partnership with Boston Consulting Group, VeChain launched the VeFounder Program. This initiative allows developers to take ownership of existing decentralized apps like TrashDash and BiteGram once those apps reach 100,000 users. Developers earn B3TR tokens based on how engaged their users are.

Why it matters:
This program encourages developers to grow sustainability-focused apps quickly. However, there’s a risk that if developer goals don’t align with the broader VeChain ecosystem, it could lead to fragmentation. (crypto.news)

Conclusion

VeChain is focusing on improving interoperability through the Wanchain bridge, motivating developers with the VeFounder program, and upgrading its core technology despite some mixed results in Q2. With the price of $VET up 14.6% over the past 90 days, the big question is whether its shift toward DeFi and decentralized apps can make up for the recent slowdown in transaction activity. Keep an eye on the upcoming dPoS rollout and cross-chain transaction volumes in Q3 for signs of progress.

What is expected in the development of VET?

VeChain is moving forward with key updates:

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q3 2025) – A major update to how tokens work and a better staking system.
2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Bridge (Q3 2025) – Connects VeChain with over 40 other blockchains for easier asset transfers.
3. Interstellar Phase (2026+) – Makes VeChain more compatible with Ethereum tools and aims for widespread global use.

Deep Dive

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q3 2025)

Overview:
The Hayabusa update changes VeChain’s token system by cutting the creation of $VTHO tokens by 90%. It rewards users who actively stake their tokens and contribute to the network. It also introduces a new system called Weighted Delegated Proof-of-Stake (WDPoS) to make the network more decentralized.

What this means:
This is good news for $VET holders because it encourages people to hold their tokens longer and take part in the network, which could reduce selling pressure. With fewer $VTHO tokens created, their value and usefulness might increase, benefiting users and developers. However, there might be some short-term price swings as the changes take effect.

2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Bridge (Q3 2025)

Overview:
VeChain is partnering with Wanchain to link its blockchain with Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more than 40 other blockchains. This allows users to swap assets across different blockchains, use shared liquidity pools, and access advanced decentralized finance (DeFi) tools. The bridge was independently audited in June 2025 (Wanchain).

What this means:
This update could increase $VET’s usefulness by connecting it with many other blockchains, which may attract developers and businesses looking for multi-chain solutions. However, success depends on how widely it’s adopted, and VeChain will face competition from other established cross-chain platforms like Polkadot.

3. Interstellar Phase (2026+)

Overview:
The Interstellar phase aims to make VeChain fully compatible with Ethereum’s development tools through JSON RPC support and EVM equivalence. This will make it easier for developers to build and move apps to VeChain. The plan also includes partnerships to bring over 1 billion users, focusing on sustainability and enterprise logistics sectors.

What this means:
This is promising for the long term because easier developer access could lead to more apps and users on VeChain. However, timelines may change, and success depends on how well partnerships with companies like BMW and DNV develop.

Conclusion

VeChain’s roadmap focuses on creating a sustainable economy (Hayabusa), improving blockchain connections (Wanchain), and driving widespread adoption (Interstellar). While these technical upgrades are ambitious, their real impact will depend on developer interest and practical use cases. It will be interesting to see how VeChain’s partnerships focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals affect its role in the enterprise blockchain space.

What updates are there in the VET code base?

VeChain recently upgraded its technology to improve scalability, connect with other blockchains, and enhance staking options.

1. Galactica Upgrade (July 1, 2025) – Introduced flexible transaction fees and improved Ethereum compatibility.
2. Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025) – Enabled VeChain to connect with over 40 other blockchains.
3. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025) – Launched NFT-based staking with $15 million in rewards.

Deep Dive

1. Galactica Upgrade (July 1, 2025)

Overview: As part of VeChain’s “Renaissance” plan, this update brought a dynamic fee system, full burning of base fees, and better support for Ethereum tools to make transactions cheaper and easier for developers.

Key improvements:

• Typed transactions for clearer data handling.
• JSON RPC compatibility to work smoothly with Ethereum software.
• Higher block gas limit (from 30 million to 40 million) to process more transactions at once.

Why it matters: This upgrade is positive for VeChain (VET) because it lowers transaction costs for businesses, attracts Ethereum developers, and burns more VTHO (VeChain’s gas token), which could make VTHO more valuable. (Source)

2. Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025)

Overview: VeChainThor now uses Wanchain’s decentralized bridge, allowing VET, VTHO, and B3TR tokens to move between VeChain and other blockchains like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

Technical highlights:

• Works with both EVM and non-EVM blockchains using secure multiparty computation.
• Adds wrapped USDT and USDC tokens on VeChain to support decentralized finance (DeFi).

Why it matters: This development is neutral to positive for VET because it expands where VeChain tokens can be used, potentially increasing liquidity and stabilizing prices if widely adopted. (Source)

3. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025)

Overview: VeChain introduced staking tiers represented by NFTs, requiring between 10,000 and 15.6 million VET, supported by a $15 million rewards pool paid in VTHO.

Key features:

• Uses Weighted Delegated Proof-of-Stake, replacing traditional KYC validators.
• Burns 100% of base fees, linking rewards directly to network use.

Why it matters: This is good news for VET holders because it encourages holding tokens longer, reduces selling pressure, and helps secure the network in a decentralized way. (Source)

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent upgrades focus on making the network faster, more connected, and rewarding for users. The Galactica upgrade and Wanchain bridge make VET more useful for businesses and DeFi, while StarGate’s staking encourages community participation. Looking ahead, VeChain’s attention to regulatory compliance, like pursuing the MiCA license, could boost adoption by institutions and further strengthen its position in the market.

Why did the price of VET fall?

VeChain (VET) dropped 0.73% over the last 24 hours to $0.0234, underperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 1.1%. This decline matches expected technical resistance levels and mixed performance in its Q2 2025 fundamentals.

1. Technical pullback – The price hit resistance near $0.0237 after gaining 6% over the past week.
2. Q2 2025 fundamentals show weakness – Lower on-chain activity and an oversupply of VTHO tokens hurt investor confidence.
3. Neutral market sentiment – No major sell-offs, but altcoins like VET are lagging behind Bitcoin’s growing dominance.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Resistance & Profit-Taking (Neutral Impact)

Overview:
VeChain’s price recently tested resistance around $0.0237, which aligns with key technical levels like the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the 30-day moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near neutral at 51.91, and the MACD indicator shows some positive momentum but remains cautious.

What this means:
After a solid 6% gain last week, many traders likely took profits, especially given lower trading volume and liquidity. The 24-hour trading volume slightly decreased by 0.45% to $52.3 million, indicating less buying pressure.

What to watch:
If the price closes above $0.0237, it could spark renewed buying interest. If it fails, the price might test support around $0.022.

2. Q2 2025 Fundamentals Weigh (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
According to the Messari Q2 2025 report:

• VeChain’s market cap dropped 5.3% quarter-over-quarter to $1.8 billion.
• Daily active users on the network fell 2.6% to about 33,900.
• The supply of VTHO tokens increased by 3.8%, but their price dropped 14%, indicating weaker demand.

What this means:
Despite important upgrades like the Galactica testnet and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility, the network’s slowing usage and excess VTHO supply suggest investors are cautious. This may reflect concerns about delays in adopting new features like staking and cross-chain capabilities.

3. Altcoin Underperformance (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Bitcoin’s market dominance rose slightly to 58.17%, while the Altcoin Season Index fell 1.52% to 65. VeChain’s 30-day price performance (-1.56%) lags behind Ethereum, which gained nearly 13%.

What this means:
Investors are shifting capital toward Bitcoin and larger cryptocurrencies, reducing demand for mid-tier altcoins like VeChain. However, upcoming upgrades in Q3, including full delegated Proof of Stake (dPoS) and JSON-RPC support, could renew interest if market conditions improve.

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent price dip reflects a mix of technical consolidation, broader altcoin weakness, and disappointing Q2 fundamentals. Still, long-term growth drivers like Wanchain integration and lower token inflation through staking remain promising.

Key watch: Will VeChain’s Galactica mainnet boost VTHO token burns and network activity in the coming week?