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Why did the price of VET fall?

VeChain (VET) dropped 23.42% in the last 24 hours, adding to a 30% decline over the past month. Here’s why:

  1. Altcoin sell-off – The overall crypto market showed fear, with Bitcoin gaining dominance, putting pressure on riskier assets like VeChain.
  2. Technical breakdown – VeChain’s price fell below an important support level at $0.01697, triggering automatic sell orders.
  3. Treasury concerns – VeChain’s treasury dropped 23.5% in the second quarter to $167 million, raising questions about how long they can sustain operations.

Deep Dive

1. Market-Wide Risk Aversion (Negative Impact)

Overview:
The total crypto market value dropped 9.6% in 24 hours to $3.75 trillion. Bitcoin’s share of the market rose to 59.8%, the highest since June 2025. The Fear & Greed Index showed “Fear” at 35, and the Altcoin Season Index fell 44% in a week, indicating investors are moving money from mid-sized coins like VeChain to Bitcoin.

What this means:
VeChain’s price is closely tied to Bitcoin’s performance (with a 30-day correlation of 0.89), so when Bitcoin gains dominance, VeChain tends to fall more sharply. Increased selling likely caused a chain reaction, with VeChain’s trading volume jumping 522% to $262 million in 24 hours.

What to watch:
Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price around $115,000, a key psychological level, and whether altcoins like VeChain stabilize if Bitcoin holds support.

2. Technical Breakdown (Negative Impact)

Overview:
VeChain’s price fell below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.01697 and its 200-day moving average at $0.0243. This opened the door for further declines down to $0.0144, the next support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 14.1, indicating VeChain is extremely oversold—the lowest since March 2025.

What this means:
Automated trading systems likely accelerated selling as stop-loss orders were triggered below $0.017. The MACD indicator also shows strong downward momentum. However, such oversold conditions might lead to a short-term price rebound.

Key level to watch:
If VeChain’s price closes above $0.0175, it could signal a temporary recovery.

3. Fundamental Overhang (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
VeChain’s Q2 2025 financial report (released October 6) showed the treasury shrank by 23.5% to $167 million. This was mainly due to VeChain’s 4% price drop compared to gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum. While partnerships with companies like BitGo and Revolut expanded VeChain’s reach, on-chain activity declined, with daily active users dropping 2.6% quarter-over-quarter.

What this means:
Investors might worry about VeChain’s ability to fund ongoing projects if the price stays low, despite progress like the launch of the Galactica Mainnet on July 1. The sharp increase in trading volume suggests panic selling outweighed strategic buying.

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent price drop reflects a broader market sell-off, technical breakdowns, and concerns about treasury health, even as the ecosystem grows. While oversold signals hint at a possible bounce, the trend of money moving out of altcoins remains strong.

Key points to watch: Can VeChain hold the $0.0144 support level? Will VeBetterDAO’s staking rewards (5.48 billion VTHO) attract new investors?


What could affect the price of VET?

VeChain’s price is caught between promising upgrades and a tough market environment.

  1. Major Upgrades (Positive) – New technical improvements could increase VeChain’s usefulness and demand.
  2. Altcoin Market Pressure (Negative) – Bitcoin’s strong market share limits investment in altcoins like VeChain.
  3. Regulatory Developments (Mixed) – Clearer rules on staking help, but being left out of a key ETF restricts growth.

In-Depth Look

1. VeChain Renaissance Upgrades (Positive Outlook)

What’s Happening:
VeChain is rolling out several important updates as part of its Renaissance project:

Why It Matters:
These upgrades cut the creation of new VTHO tokens by 41.4% (as of Q2 2025) and make staking VET more attractive. Similar changes in other cryptocurrencies, like Ethereum’s EIP-1559, have helped increase their value by improving token economics.

2. Altcoin Market Challenges (Negative Outlook)

Current Situation:

What This Means:
VeChain’s recent 23% weekly price drop reflects the broader weakness in altcoins. Until Bitcoin’s dominance falls below 55%, it’s unlikely that investors will shift money back into VeChain. The recent 517% spike in daily volume likely signals panic selling rather than new buying interest.

3. Regulatory Factors (Mixed Impact)

Key Points:

Implications:
Regulatory clarity reduces some risks, but missing out on the ETF limits exposure to new investors. Big partnerships, like Franklin Templeton’s $800 million tokenized fund, could help if they lead to real-world use of VeChain.

Conclusion

VeChain’s success depends on delivering its planned upgrades while navigating a challenging market. The outcome of the Hayabusa vote in December 2025 and the impact of the Galactica upgrade on VTHO burning are key to watch. Although these improvements set VeChain up for long-term business adoption, short-term growth needs either a broader altcoin market rebound or new partnership announcements.

Big Question: Can VeChain’s large circulating supply of 85.9 billion tokens find enough demand before competitors like Hedera strengthen their positions in enterprise blockchain?


What are people saying about VET?

VeChain’s community is feeling a mix of frustration over recent price drops and optimism about staking creating scarcity. Here’s what’s making waves right now:

  1. Stargate Staking is driving hopes for lower inflation
  2. Technical indicators suggest a possible price jump above $0.0232
  3. Warning signs point to a drop toward $0.01771 if support fails

Deep Dive

1. @CryptoMichNL: Stargate Staking’s Scarcity Effect bullish

“VET’s inflation rate is falling as Stargate encourages more activity in the ecosystem – scarcity is coming.”
– @CryptoMichNL (312K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-05-15 18:33 UTC)
View original post
What this means: When Stargate launched in July 2025, it locked up over 5 billion VET tokens. This reduces the number of tokens available to sell, which could push prices up if more people start using the platform.

2. @gemxbt_agent: Positive Technical Signals bullish

“VET is trading above key moving averages, and the RSI (a momentum indicator) is rising but not yet overbought – resistance at $0.0260 might be broken.”
– @gemxbt_agent (87K followers · 420K impressions · 2025-08-28 12:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: If VET stays above $0.0232 (a level seen in August 2025), it could trigger automated buying by trading algorithms, potentially pushing the price higher.

3. Crypto Patel: Risk of Price Drop at $0.01771 bearish

“Repeated failures to hold $0.02400 suggest that smart investors are moving their money lower.”
– Crypto Patel (Source: Cryptofront News)
What this means: Traders who expect prices to fall see a possible 19% drop if VET falls below the $0.022 support level, targeting $0.01771.

Conclusion

The outlook for VeChain is mixed. On one hand, strong fundamentals like the Stargate staking program and a partnership with Revolut support its value. On the other hand, technical signals are uncertain. Long-term investors focus on VeChain’s use in business blockchains, while traders watch the $0.01771 to $0.0260 price range for clues on where it’s headed next. Keep an eye on the VET and VTHO token burn rate after Stargate’s launch—if deflation continues, it could boost confidence in the coin’s future.


What is the latest news about VET?

VeChain is navigating a challenging market by forming strategic partnerships and upgrading its technology. Here are the key updates:

  1. CV Summit Leadership (October 8, 2025) – Presented enterprise blockchain solutions at Switzerland’s top finance and technology event.
  2. Q2 Financial Strength (October 6, 2025) – Maintained a $167 million treasury despite market ups and downs, and expanded its partnership with Revolut.
  3. Cross-Chain Innovation (September 30, 2025) – Connected VeChain (VET) with over 40 other blockchains through a new bridge with Wanchain.

In-Depth Look

1. CV Summit Leadership (October 8, 2025)

What happened:
VeChain participated in Zurich’s CV Summit alongside more than 80 banks and blockchain experts. The focus was on how VeChain’s technology supports sustainable finance, including loans backed by Bitcoin and Ethereum, and blockchain-based payment systems.

Why it matters:
This event strengthens VeChain’s reputation with big financial institutions, especially in Europe where regulations are strict. Collaborations with companies like PostFinance, one of Switzerland’s largest banks, could help VeChain’s technology be used in everyday financial services. (Crypto.News)

2. Q2 Financial Strength (October 6, 2025)

What happened:
VeChain reported holding $167 million in its treasury, even though the value of VET dropped by 23.5% during the quarter. This was balanced by gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum holdings. Important milestones included launching the Galactica mainnet and expanding the Revolut partnership, which now reaches 60 million users.

Why it matters:
VeChain’s careful financial management during tough market conditions shows it’s built for the long haul. The growing Revolut partnership makes VeChain more accessible to everyday users, although the 30% monthly drop in VET’s price reflects a wider decline in alternative cryptocurrencies. (Bitget)

3. Cross-Chain Innovation (September 30, 2025)

What happened:
VeChain teamed up with Wanchain to enable cross-chain transfers of VET, VTHO, and B3TR tokens across major blockchains like Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Solana. This upgrade aims to increase liquidity and improve compatibility with decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms.

Why it matters:
This development removes a major obstacle for VeChain’s growth by opening access to over $116 billion in DeFi assets. However, a 41% drop in on-chain activity for VET compared to the previous quarter suggests that user adoption is still catching up with the technology improvements. (MEXC)

Conclusion

VeChain is managing short-term market challenges by focusing on strategic partnerships and technology upgrades, from working with financial institutions to enabling cross-chain functionality. While the price of VET has fallen by 23% over the past month, VeChain’s emphasis on real-world use cases and regulatory compliance could help it bounce back. Will VeChain’s practical adoption outpace the ups and downs of the crypto market?


What is expected in the development of VET?

VeChain is making progress with these key updates:

  1. Intergalactic Infrastructure (2026) – Expanding across different blockchains and aiming for worldwide use.
  2. Post-Hackathon dApp Launches (Q4 2025) – Launching new apps focused on sustainability, created by hackathon winners.
  3. VTHO Issuance Overhaul (Q4 2025) – Cutting down VTHO supply and improving how it’s distributed through a better node system.

In-Depth Look

1. Intergalactic Infrastructure (2026)

What it is:
This is the last step in VeChain’s Renaissance plan. It focuses on making VeChain work smoothly with other blockchains (like the upcoming Wanchain bridge in July 2025) and supporting Ethereum-compatible tools. This will make it easier for developers who work with Ethereum and similar platforms to build on VeChain.

Why it matters:
This is good news for VeChain ($VET) because better compatibility can lead to more users and interest from big companies. However, there’s a chance of delays or competition from other blockchain projects.

2. Post-Hackathon dApp Launches (Q4 2025)

What it is:
After a hackathon held in late 2025 focused on sustainability, the winning projects will launch their apps on VeChainThor. These apps will tackle issues like tracking carbon emissions and managing supply chains, supporting VeChain’s eco-friendly goals through VeBetterDAO incentives.

Why it matters:
This could be positive for VeChain, especially for $VTHO token demand, but success depends on how many people actually use these apps. Keep an eye on user activity and the trading volume of the $B3TR token linked to these projects.

3. VTHO Issuance Overhaul (Q4 2025)

What it is:
Following the Hayabusa upgrade, VeChain is changing how VTHO tokens are issued. The new system will reduce the growth of VTHO supply by about 40% and reward users who stake tokens based on how active the network is. This encourages more participation in the VeChain ecosystem.

Why it matters:
This is generally positive if demand for VTHO stays strong or grows, but expect some short-term price swings as the market adjusts. Watch for changes in how much VTHO is being used and how many people are staking their tokens.

Summary

VeChain’s roadmap combines technical improvements with community-driven sustainability projects. The success of these efforts depends on attracting developers and forming business partnerships. With $VET down 15% over the last quarter, these updates could help reverse that trend by tightening token supply and expanding cross-chain capabilities.


What updates are there in the VET code base?

VeChain's latest updates focus on making it easier to connect with other blockchains, improving staking options, and enhancing tools for developers.

  1. Cross-Chain Bridge with Wanchain (May 21, 2025) – Links VeChainThor to over 40 blockchains, including Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  2. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025) – Introduced NFTs for staking and increased rewards.
  3. Galactica Mainnet Upgrade (July 1, 2025) – Added full Ethereum compatibility and flexible fee adjustments.

Deep Dive

1. Cross-Chain Bridge with Wanchain (May 21, 2025)

Overview: VeChainThor now uses Wanchain’s decentralized bridge, allowing users to move assets smoothly between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more.
The bridge uses advanced security methods to keep assets safe without needing a middleman. It supports wrapped USDT and USDC tokens on VeChain, helping DeFi (decentralized finance) grow. Developers can build apps that work across multiple blockchains, and businesses get more payment options.
What this means: This is good news for VeChain (VET) because it opens up new DeFi opportunities and attracts bigger users who need to work across different blockchains. (Source)

2. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025)

Overview: The StarGate Program introduced a new staking system called Weighted Delegated Proof of Stake (WDPoS) and staking NFTs, replacing the old KYC validator setup.
Users holding 10,000 or more VET can stake in different tiers (from Dawn to Mjolnir X) and earn rewards from a $15 million VTHO bonus pool. This update follows SEC guidelines by treating rewards as payment for network services.
What this means: This change is neutral for VET’s price in the short term but positive long term because it encourages more people to participate in securing the network and reduces the chance of users selling their tokens quickly. (Source)

3. Galactica Mainnet Upgrade (July 1, 2025)

Overview: As part of VeChain’s “Renaissance” plan, the Galactica upgrade made VeChain fully compatible with Ethereum’s technology and introduced dynamic fee adjustments.
The upgrade burns all base fees, lowers transaction costs for businesses, and adds smarter transaction types for better contract logic. A security audit was done beforehand to ensure everything runs smoothly.
What this means: This is positive for VET because it makes it easier and cheaper for developers and businesses to use VeChain instead of Ethereum.

Conclusion

VeChain is focusing on connecting with other blockchains, offering staking that meets regulatory standards, and becoming fully compatible with Ethereum. These improvements are key to attracting institutional users. With more liquidity flowing across chains and better developer tools, the big question is how VeChain will balance the needs of businesses with decentralized governance as it moves forward.