What could affect the price of VET?

VeChain is navigating a challenging market with promising technology upgrades and new partnerships that could boost its value, even as broader market conditions test its strength.

1. Major Upgrades – The Galactica and Hayabusa protocol updates aim to improve how VeChain works, increase rewards for staking, and attract more developers.
2. Cross-Chain Growth – Integration with Wanchain opens up decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities but faces competition in a crowded space.
3. Regulatory Support – Clearer rules from the SEC and compliance with European regulations (MiCA) make it easier for institutions to get involved.

Deep Dive

1. Protocol Overhaul & Staking Incentives (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: In July 2025, VeChain launched the Galactica upgrade, which introduced dynamic gas fees that burn 100% of the base fee, reducing the number of tokens in circulation. It also made VeChain compatible with Ethereum’s virtual machine (EVM), making it easier for developers to build on the platform. Additionally, the StarGate feature offers NFT-based staking with up to $15 million in VTHO token rewards. Staking requires holding at least 10,000 VET tokens, which helps lock up supply and reduce selling pressure. Partnerships with companies like BitGo (source) and Franklin Templeton’s BENJI tokenization project (source) add credibility and institutional interest.
Why it matters: These improvements could increase demand for VET as both a staking and transaction token. However, transaction activity dropped 41% in Q2 2025 (Messari), so the success of these upgrades depends on reversing that trend.

2. Cross-Chain Liquidity Risks (Mixed Outlook)

What’s happening: The Wanchain bridge, launched in July, connects VeChain to over 40 blockchains including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. This theoretically opens up access to $116 billion in DeFi liquidity. However, actual usage depends on how popular decentralized apps (dApps) become. For example, VeBetterDAO’s sustainability-focused apps have 4 million users but only 27.8 million tokenized actions (Coin Edition).
Why it matters: While this cross-chain compatibility expands VeChain’s potential uses, it faces stiff competition from other blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, and Hedera, which focus on real-world assets. For VeChain’s price to rise, we’ll need to see clear growth in total value locked (TVL), which currently stands at $1.7 million on VeChain decentralized exchanges.

3. Market Sentiment & Technical Analysis (Bearish Pressure)

What’s happening: VET is trading about 25% below its 200-day moving average at $0.0242, with technical indicators like RSI at 41 (neutral) and MACD showing bearish momentum. The overall crypto market dropped 7.6% last week (CMC), adding to the downward pressure. However, speculation about a staking exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2026 could provide a future boost.
Why it matters: Until VET climbs back above $0.022 (a key Fibonacci retracement level), the price is likely to stay sideways. If it falls below $0.0177 (the June 2025 low), it could trigger panic selling. On the upside, ETF approvals might bring renewed institutional interest.

Conclusion

VeChain’s price is caught between strong technological developments—like staking rewards and enterprise partnerships—and uncertain market conditions. The $15 million staking rewards and Wanchain’s cross-chain bridge could increase demand in late 2025 if on-chain activity picks up. However, with the Fear & Greed Index at a neutral 42 and altcoin dominance down 48% since July, traders should watch whether VeChain’s large circulating supply of 85.9 billion tokens balances out with growing utility. Will the Hayabusa tokenomics update in Q3 finally align incentives for long-term holders?

What are people saying about VET?

VeChain’s community is watching closely to see if the price support at $0.01771 holds or if the resistance at $0.02696 breaks first. Here’s what’s making waves right now:

1. Stargate Staking’s $15 million rewards are creating hopes for a tighter supply 🚀
2. Franklin Templeton and BitGo partnership is boosting confidence in institutional adoption 🏦
3. Technical analysis is split between bullish wedge breakouts and bearish liquidity targets 📉📈
4. Long-term price predictions vary widely, from $0.05 by 2025 to $0.39 by 2030 🌐

Deep Dive

1. Stargate Staking Creates Scarcity – Bullish Signal

Crypto analyst @CryptoMichNL points out that over 5 billion VeChain (VET) tokens are locked through Stargate staking, which reduces the number of tokens available for trading and lowers inflation. This situation is seen as undervalued compared to VeChain’s growth in the second quarter.
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What this means: When tokens are locked up in staking, fewer are sold on the market, which can push prices up. Similar events in 2023, like VTHO token burns, have historically been positive for VeChain’s price.

2. $0.01771 Support Level Could Be Tested – Bearish Signal

Trader @johnmorganFL warns that if VeChain fails to hold above $0.022, it could drop to the $0.01771 level, which hasn’t been tested since April.
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What this means: If the price falls below key support, it might trigger more selling, potentially leading to a 19% drop, similar to what happened in May.

3. Institutional Interest Grows – Bullish Signal

The official VeChain team shared news about Franklin Templeton, a major asset manager, integrating a $780 million fund using BitGo’s custody services.
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What this means: Big financial institutions getting involved could make VeChain less tied to the volatile “meme coin” market. This aligns with data from the Q3 2025 CMC Altcoin Season Index, which tracks altcoin performance.

Conclusion

The outlook for VeChain is mixed. On one hand, staking is locking up a large number of tokens and big institutions are showing interest, both positive signs. On the other hand, there are concerns about potential price drops to $0.01771 and decreasing trading volumes (down 7% week-over-week). Keep an eye on the VET/BTC trading pair—if it stays above 0.00000023 SAT, it could indicate that investors are ready to shift focus back to altcoins.

What is the latest news about VET?

VeChain is navigating market challenges while growing its ecosystem. Here’s the latest update:

1. Q2 2025 Treasury Report (October 6, 2025) – VeChain holds $167 million in its treasury despite crypto market ups and downs, with new partnerships including BitGo and Revolut.
2. CV Summit Zurich Highlights (October 8, 2025) – VeChain is recognized as a leader in enterprise blockchain alongside Ethereum and Microsoft.
3. Wanchain Cross-Chain Integration (July 10, 2025) – VeChain connects with over 40 blockchains, expanding its decentralized finance (DeFi) capabilities.

In-Depth Look

1. Q2 2025 Treasury Report (October 6, 2025)

Summary: VeChain reported a $167 million treasury, down 23.5% from the previous quarter. This drop is mainly due to a 4% decrease in VET’s price, balanced by gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Key achievements include launching the Galactica mainnet on July 1, which offers Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility and dynamic fee adjustments. VeChain also partnered with BitGo, a trusted custody service, and Keyrock, a liquidity provider. The partnership with Revolut now gives VET exposure to over 60 million users through educational programs that reward learning about crypto.

What this means: The treasury’s fluctuations reflect the overall crypto market trends. However, teaming up with regulated companies like BitGo strengthens VeChain’s position for business use. The Revolut partnership could help bring VET to everyday users, though it faces competition from other crypto education platforms.
(Bitget)

2. CV Summit Zurich Highlights (October 8, 2025)

Summary: VeChain participated in Switzerland’s top finance and technology conference, joining over 80 banks and blockchain experts. The focus was on Wealth3, which involves tokenized assets and AI-driven financial services. Luzerner Kantonal Bank announced plans to accept VET and BTC as collateral for loans, showing growing institutional trust.

What this means: Being part of major industry events helps VeChain demonstrate its practical uses. Banking partnerships like this could speed up the adoption of tokenized assets, though wider acceptance depends on clear regulations in Europe.
(Crypto.News)

3. Wanchain Cross-Chain Integration (July 10, 2025)

Summary: VeChainThor blockchain is now connected to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and more than 40 other blockchains through Wanchain’s decentralized protocol. This allows VET and VTHO tokens to move freely across different DeFi platforms. So far, over $1.5 billion worth of assets have been securely transferred using this bridge.

What this means: This improved connectivity boosts VeChain’s potential in the DeFi space. However, VeChain still needs to compete with other major blockchains. This upgrade fits into VeChain’s “Renaissance” plan, which aims to create enterprise-level interoperability.
(Bitcoinist)

Conclusion

VeChain is focusing on steady growth through careful treasury management, strong partnerships, and advanced technology. While upgrades like EVM compatibility make it easier for developers to build on VeChain, the key question is whether real-world collaborations will drive lasting demand for VET, especially in a tough market. Keep an eye on upcoming Q3 treasury reports and validator activity after the Stargate staking launch.

What is expected in the development of VET?

VeChain is moving forward with key updates:

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q4 2025) – Updates how tokens work, improves staking rewards, and changes how VTHO is distributed.
2. Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025) – Adds new ways to participate as validators and introduces new Economic Node levels.
3. Interstellar Phase (2026+) – Focuses on connecting with other blockchains and expanding global use.

Deep Dive

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q4 2025)

Overview:
The Hayabusa update will change VeChain’s economic setup by lowering how much VTHO is created, boosting rewards for staking, and switching to a new consensus method called Weighted Delegated Proof-of-Stake (WDPoS). This update will reward active participants like app developers and node operators more fairly (VeChain Foundation).

What this means:

• Positive: Could increase interest in $VET since staking rewards go up and less VTHO is made, which may make VTHO more valuable.
• Risk: The update depends on approval from VeChain’s community in a vote planned for Q3.

2. Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025)

Overview:
VeChain will add new Economic Node tiers, letting users stake $VET to become validators or earn passive rewards. The older X Nodes will stay the same, but the new tiers aim to spread out network control and better reward active participants (VeChain Blog).

What this means:

• Positive: Could attract bigger investors because the rewards are clearer and potentially higher (around 9% APY reported in Q2 2025).
• Neutral: Smaller holders might find it harder to join the higher tiers due to increased requirements.

3. Interstellar Phase (2026+)

Overview:
This phase will build tools to connect VeChain with other blockchains, making it compatible with popular standards like JSON-RPC and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). Partnerships like the Wanchain bridge launched in July 2025 will link VeChain to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, helping bring more decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity to the network (CoinMarketCap).

What this means:

• Positive: Better connectivity could encourage more developers and businesses to use VeChain.
• Risk: Other Layer 1 blockchains might compete strongly, especially if VeChain’s progress slows.

Conclusion

VeChain’s plan combines important technical improvements (Hayabusa) with efforts to grow its ecosystem (Interstellar). These changes aim to make $VET more useful and strengthen its position in the market. While short-term price changes will still follow overall crypto trends, the new tokenomics and cross-chain features set VeChain up for long-term success. Will VeChain’s mix of enterprise solutions and DeFi features help it stand out in a crowded Layer 1 blockchain space?

What updates are there in the VET code base?

VeChain’s technology received major updates in July 2025:

1. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025) – Introduced NFT-based staking with higher rewards.
2. Galactica Mainnet Upgrade (July 1, 2025) – Added Ethereum compatibility and flexible transaction fees.
3. Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025) – Connected VeChain to over 40 blockchains for easy asset swaps.

In-Depth Look

1. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025)

What happened: VeChain switched to a new staking system called Weighted Delegated Proof of Stake (WDPoS), replacing the older model that required validators to complete identity checks. Now, staking is represented by NFTs (digital collectibles), with different levels based on how much VeChain (VET) you stake—from 10,000 up to 15.6 million VET.

This change encourages people to hold their VET longer and delegate their staking rights, which helps reduce the overall increase in VET supply (inflation). Early participants got a six-month boost in rewards, funded by a $15 million pool of VTHO tokens (VeChain’s utility token).

Why it matters: This is good news for VET holders because increased staking demand can reduce the number of tokens available for trading, potentially supporting the price. Also, moving to a permissionless validation system makes the network more decentralized and secure. (Source)

2. Galactica Mainnet Upgrade (July 1, 2025)

What happened: VeChain added compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which means developers can easily bring apps built for Ethereum over to VeChain with little effort. The upgrade also introduced dynamic transaction fees that adjust based on network traffic, replacing the previous fixed fee system.

Additionally, the update included improved communication protocols for nodes after passing a security review.

Why it matters: This is somewhat positive for VET. EVM compatibility can attract more developers and projects to VeChain, expanding its ecosystem. However, the new variable fees might confuse some users at first until they get used to the changes. (Source)

3. Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025)

What happened: VeChainThor integrated a cross-chain bridge from Wanchain, allowing users to swap VET and VTHO tokens with popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and USDC across more than 40 different blockchains.

This bridge uses decentralized custodians to securely manage assets and supports both Ethereum-compatible and non-Ethereum-compatible blockchains, increasing VeChain’s decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity.

Why it matters: This is positive for VET because it improves interoperability, making VeChain a central hub for businesses looking to tokenize assets across multiple blockchains. (Source)

Conclusion

July 2025 was a landmark month for VeChain’s technology, bringing it closer to Ethereum’s standards, improving staking rewards, and connecting it to many other blockchains. With tighter control over token inflation and better tools for developers, the big question is whether these upgrades can help VeChain’s ecosystem grow enough to recover from its 23% price drop since June.

Why did the price of VET fall?

VeChain (VET) dropped 3.47% to $0.0191 over the past 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 2.31%. The main reasons include weak technical signals, less activity on the VeChain network, and reduced optimism about recent upgrades.

1. Bearish Technical Signals: All key moving averages and exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicate ongoing selling pressure.
2. On-Chain Activity Decline: The Q2 2025 report shows a 2.6% drop in active addresses and a 41.4% decrease in transaction clauses.
3. Market-Wide Risk-Off Mood: The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 37, signaling "Fear," while Bitcoin’s dominance in the market is increasing.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Overview: VeChain’s price is trading below important moving averages — the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) is $0.01939, and the 30-day SMA is $0.022392. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 40.56 (measured over 14 days) suggests bearish momentum. The MACD histogram (-0.00033247) confirms downward pressure.

What this means: Traders are selling as the price struggles to get back above $0.02, a key psychological level that has now become resistance. According to Fibonacci retracement analysis, the next important support level is around $0.01697 (the 61.8% retracement level).

What to watch: If the price falls below $0.01875 (the 50% Fibonacci level) and stays there, it could lead to another 8-10% decline.

2. Ecosystem Activity Slump (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The Q2 2025 data shows:

• Daily active addresses dropped to 33,900, down 2.6% from the previous quarter.
• Transaction clauses, which represent complex operations on the network, fell sharply by 41.4%.

What this means: This decline in network activity suggests less demand for VeChain’s main use case — enterprise smart contracts. This trend matches the 14.1% price drop in VTHO (VeChain’s utility token) during Q2, despite an increase in supply.

3. Macro Crypto Headwinds (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The overall cryptocurrency market cap decreased by 2.31% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 58.62%. During times of market uncertainty, altcoins like VeChain often experience larger declines.

What this means: Investors are moving funds into Bitcoin amid regulatory concerns and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs (with assets under management down $5 billion since October 7). VeChain’s 24-hour trading volume dropped 5.47% to $67.4 million, indicating lower liquidity.

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent price drop reflects technical weaknesses, declining network activity, and cautious sentiment across the crypto sector. While partnerships with firms like Franklin Templeton and Wanchain, along with staking upgrades such as StarGate, offer long-term potential, short-term price movements will depend heavily on Bitcoin’s stability.

Key points to watch: Will VeChain hold above $0.01875? Will the VeChain Foundation use treasury funds to support the price? Keep an eye on the adoption of the Galactica mainnet as a possible driver of demand.