VET cryptocurrency analytics and price forecast for October 21, 2025

What is expected in the development of VET?

VeChain’s upcoming plans focus on improving its technology, offering better rewards for staking, and expanding to work with other blockchains.

Hayabusa Mainnet (Q4 2025) – Updates to how tokens are managed and how VTHO (the energy token for transactions) is distributed.
Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025) – New levels for staking and roles for network validators.
Intergalactic Phase (2026+) – Making VeChain compatible with other blockchains like Ethereum and Bitcoin through cross-chain technology.

Deep Dive

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q4 2025)

Overview: The Hayabusa update will change how VeChain’s tokens work by reducing the amount of VTHO created, tying rewards more closely to actual network use. It also improves the system that keeps the network secure and decentralized (VeChain Blog).

What this means: This is generally good news for VeChain (VET) holders because less VTHO could mean it becomes more valuable, encouraging people to hold their tokens longer. However, sudden changes might cause some short-term price swings if users don’t adopt the new system quickly.

2. Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025)

Overview: VeChain will introduce new staking options with different tiers, allowing more users to help secure the network as validators or through Economic Nodes. The system will reward those who actively participate more directly (VeChain Blog).

What this means: This could encourage more people to get involved, which is positive. But smaller token holders might find it harder to compete with large, institutional-level nodes that require a significant amount of VET (for example, the Mjolnir X node requires 15.6 million VET).

3. Intergalactic Phase (2026+)

Overview: This phase aims to connect VeChain with other major blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, and Bitcoin using a technology called JSON RPC and Wanchain’s cross-chain bridge (Bitcoinist).

What this means: In the long run, this is promising because it could bring more decentralized finance (DeFi) projects to VeChain by allowing assets and data to move freely between blockchains. However, there are risks like technical challenges and the need for strong security checks on the cross-chain bridges.

Conclusion

VeChain’s roadmap for 2025 and beyond aims to improve its core technology while expanding its ecosystem through cross-chain connections. The success of these updates depends on how well developers and users adopt the new staking options and interoperability features. The big question is whether VeChain can stand out in the competitive space of blockchain networks focused on enterprise use, especially against projects like Polkadot that also emphasize interoperability.

What updates are there in the VET code base?

VeChain’s recent updates focus on improving staking, enabling cross-chain connections, and supporting developers with new tools.

StarGate Staking Upgrade (July 1, 2025) – Introduced a new staking system that strengthens network security and increases rewards.
Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025) – Allowed VeChain to connect with over 40 blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum for easier asset transfers.
Solidity Workshops & Hackathon (Aug–Oct 2025) – Provided educational programs to help developers build on VeChain’s platform.

Deep Dive

1. StarGate Staking Upgrade (July 1, 2025)

Overview: The StarGate upgrade changed how users stake VeChain tokens. It replaced the old system that required identity checks with a more open and decentralized method called Weighted Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS). Now, anyone with at least 10,000 VET tokens can participate.
Technical details: This update made VeChainThor compatible with Ethereum’s developer tools by supporting Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) features and JSON RPC, which are common standards in blockchain development. A $15 million reward pool was set up to encourage early participants.
What this means: This upgrade makes VeChain more secure and accessible, attracting more users and developers by aligning with Ethereum’s popular technology. (Source)

2. Wanchain Bridge Integration (July 10, 2025)

Overview: VeChainThor added a connection to Wanchain’s decentralized bridge, which lets users transfer tokens like VET, VTHO, and B3TR between VeChain and other blockchains such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.
Technical details: The bridge works with both Ethereum-compatible and non-compatible blockchains. It also introduced wrapped versions of popular stablecoins USDT and USDC on VeChain, improving liquidity for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. A third-party audit confirmed the bridge’s security.
What this means: While this adds some complexity in the short term, it opens up new opportunities for VeChain in DeFi and enterprise payments by connecting multiple blockchain networks. (Source)

3. Solidity Workshops & Hackathon (Aug–Oct 2025)

Overview: VeChainBuilders partnered with UK universities to offer workshops on smart contract programming, software development kits (SDKs), and blockchain interoperability. This program ended with a $30,000 hackathon competition.
Technical details: The training focused on VeChainKit, a set of tools for building user interfaces, and integrating with VeBetterDAO, a decentralized organization supporting the ecosystem. The goal was to encourage new decentralized applications (dApps) on VeChain.
What this means: This initiative helps grow the developer community, which is essential for VeChain’s long-term growth and the expansion of its ecosystem. (Source)

Conclusion

VeChain’s updates highlight a push toward decentralization, better cross-chain functionality, and ecosystem growth. The staking improvements and blockchain connections expand how VeChain can be used, while developer programs aim to keep innovation strong. The key question is how these technical advances will impact VeChain’s adoption by businesses by 2026.

Why did the price of VET fall?

VeChain (VET) dropped 2.71% in the last 24 hours, performing worse than the overall crypto market, which fell 1.14%. The main reasons are:

Binance Reduced Collateral Ratio – On October 21, Binance lowered VET’s collateral ratio from 60% to 40%, which may have caused some traders to sell.
Technical Weakness – VET’s price struggled at important moving averages (7-day average: $0.0178) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is close to oversold levels (38.82).
Market Caution – The Crypto Fear & Greed Index shows “Fear” at 33, and the altcoin rotation index dropped 60% over the past month.

Deep Dive

1. Binance Collateral Reduction (Negative Impact)

What happened:
On October 21, Binance lowered the amount of VeChain (VET) you can use as collateral for borrowing from 60% to 40% (Binance). This means traders can borrow less against their VET holdings.

Why it matters:
When collateral requirements go down, traders may need to sell some of their VET or add more collateral to avoid forced selling (liquidation). This likely caused a spike in trading volume—up nearly 38% to $42.8 million—indicating some panic selling.

What to watch:
If VET’s price falls to the next support level around $0.0164, more forced selling could happen. This price level is based on a common technical analysis tool called the Fibonacci retracement.

2. Technical Weakness (Bearish Signals)

What happened:
VET is trading below key moving averages, including the 7-day average at $0.0178 and the 30-day average at $0.0209. The MACD indicator, which helps show momentum, turned negative, signaling increasing downward pressure.

Why it matters:
The price trend looks weak, and the RSI at 38.82 suggests the coin is nearing oversold territory but hasn’t yet shown signs of bouncing back. Traders are likely watching the $0.0141 to $0.0164 range for potential support.

3. Altcoin Sentiment Decline (Mixed Effects)

What happened:
The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how well altcoins like VET are doing compared to Bitcoin, dropped to 27—a 60% decline over the past month. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s dominance in the market rose to 59.05%. VET’s 30-day return of -27.64% is worse than Ethereum (-8.03%) and Bitcoin (-1.14%).

Why it matters:
Investors are moving toward safer, more liquid assets like Bitcoin amid economic uncertainty, including speculation about Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. VET’s weaker performance reflects this cautious mood across the altcoin market.

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent price drop is due to a combination of Binance’s tighter borrowing rules, negative technical indicators, and a general decline in altcoin investor confidence. While new partnerships, such as integration with Wanchain, support VeChain’s long-term potential, short-term risks remain high.

What to watch next:
Will VET hold the $0.0164 support level, or will Binance’s collateral changes cause more selling? Keep an eye on hourly funding rates and Bitcoin’s price movement for clues.

What could affect the price of VET?

VeChain’s price depends on upcoming protocol upgrades, growing use by institutions, and changes in overall market mood.

Stargate Staking Launch – $15 million rewards pool may reduce available coins
Cross-Chain Expansion – Wanchain bridge connects VeChain to 40+ blockchains, increasing DeFi opportunities
Regulatory Support – Clearer SEC rules on staking and ETF approvals could open doors for big investors

Deep Dive

1. Protocol Upgrades & Tokenomics (Positive Outlook)

Overview: On July 1, VeChain launched StarGate, which introduced NFT-based staking with a $15 million bonus pool of VTHO tokens. The Galactica upgrade also started burning 100% of base transaction fees. These changes are designed to reduce the number of coins available for sale by requiring only 10,000 VET to stake, which lowers the circulating supply.

What this means: With fewer coins available and rewards for staking, more investors may hold their coins long-term. Similar upgrades in other Proof-of-Stake coins, like MATIC, have led to higher annual yields and price increases (Messari).

2. Institutional Partnerships (Mixed Impact)

Overview: VeChain teamed up with Franklin Templeton, a major investment firm managing $1.7 trillion, to tokenize treasury distributions. It also partnered with BitGo for regulated custody services, which is important for corporate investors. However, Binance recently lowered VET’s collateral ratio from 60% to 40%, limiting how much leverage traders can use.

What this means: These partnerships show growing real-world use, but changes in exchange policies could slow momentum. Keep an eye on custody inflows through BitGo in the last quarter of the year (BitGo integration).

3. Market Sentiment & Bitcoin Influence (Potential Risks)

Overview: Bitcoin’s market dominance is currently 59.1%, up slightly from last month. The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how well alternative coins are doing compared to Bitcoin, has dropped 61% since August. VeChain’s price movement is closely tied to Bitcoin, with a 0.89 correlation over the past 30 days, making it vulnerable to Bitcoin’s price swings.

What this means: Until market fear eases (fear/greed index at 33, indicating “Extreme Fear”), altcoins like VeChain may face challenges. However, new ETF-driven investments, such as Hashdex’s 6.9% allocation to XRP, might bring fresh capital to undervalued enterprise-focused blockchains like VeChain.

Conclusion

VeChain’s improved tokenomics and custody partnerships set the stage for supply constraints that could boost price. Yet, broader market challenges and Bitcoin’s dominance remain risks in the near term. The key question is whether StarGate’s VTHO token burns can balance out reduced exchange leverage before institutional investors adjust their portfolios in Q4. Watch the VET/VTHO ratio and Bitcoin’s $115,000 support level closely.

What are people saying about VET?

VeChain’s community is balancing excitement from staking rewards with caution over technical risks. Here’s the latest:

Stargate Staking buzz – $15 million in rewards and over 144,000 new wallets created
Optimistic technical signals – Predictions of a 300% price increase if strong support holds
Concerns over liquidity – Possible drop to $0.01771 if key support breaks
Partnership with Revolut – 60 million users now have exposure to VeChain (VET)

In-Depth Look

1. Stargate Staking’s Impact on Supply

Crypto analyst @CryptoMichNL explains:
"The inflation rate on $VET is going down significantly... Stargate should have a positive impact."
– @CryptoMichNL (689K followers · 2.1M impressions · July 18, 2025)
See original post
What this means: This is good news for VeChain. Over 5 billion tokens (about 6% of total supply) are now locked through staking, which reduces the number of tokens available to sell. This helps support the price and encourages more people to get involved in the VeChain ecosystem.

2. Technical Analysis Points to Potential Rally

Market watcher @johnmorganFL notes:
"VET at ‘Massively Strong Support’... bottoming structure suggests major upside."
– @johnmorganFL (312K followers · 890K impressions · July 18, 2025)
See original post
What this means: From a technical perspective, VeChain is holding steady at price levels seen in 2024, despite a year of growth in its ecosystem. If the price breaks above $0.0232 resistance, it could trigger a significant upward move, potentially increasing by 300%.

3. Risks Around Network Upgrades

Exchange @ProBit_Exchange warns:
"Deposits/withdrawals suspended during upgrade... network stability pending."
– @ProBit_Exchange (214K followers · 387K impressions · June 24, 2025)
See original post
What this means: While upgrades are designed to improve VeChain’s network, temporary pauses in deposits and withdrawals during these updates can cause short-term volatility and liquidity issues.

4. Bearish Signals from Liquidity Analysis

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel shares:
"Untested $0.01771 pool likely price magnet... sellers dominate structure."
– Crypto Patel (June 15, 2025)
See original post
What this means: There’s a risk that VeChain’s price could fall to around $0.01771 if current support levels fail. This is because sellers seem to be in control, and trading volume is declining, indicating that investors may expect a deeper price correction.

Summary

The outlook for VeChain (VET) is mixed. On one hand, staking rewards and the new partnership with Revolut are positive developments. On the other hand, technical analysis warns of potential price drops if key support levels break. The 30-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 45, showing no strong buying or selling pressure right now.

Key levels to watch:

A daily close above $0.0232 could confirm a breakout and signal strong upward momentum.
A weekly close below $0.019 might indicate accelerating downward pressure.

Staying informed on these levels can help you understand VeChain’s next moves.

What is the latest news about VET?

VeChain is managing market challenges by forming strategic partnerships and upgrading its platform, even as it faces changes in exchange policies. Here are the key updates:

Binance Lowers Collateral Ratio (October 19, 2025) – The collateral requirement for VET dropped from 60% to 40%, reflecting Binance’s tighter risk management.
Participation in CV Summit (October 8, 2025) – VeChain was featured as a major blockchain partner at a leading finance and technology event in Switzerland.
Strong Q2 Financial Position (October 6, 2025) – Despite a tough crypto market, VeChain’s treasury remains solid at $167 million, supported by important platform upgrades.

In-Depth Look

1. Binance Lowers Collateral Ratio (October 19, 2025)

What happened:
Binance reduced the collateral ratio for VeChain (VET) from 60% to 40% starting October 21, 2025. This means traders need to put up more of their own money to borrow against VET. Similar reductions were made for other assets like GALA and PAXG. This change is part of Binance’s effort to manage risk more carefully during volatile market conditions.

Why it matters:
Lower collateral ratios limit how much traders can borrow using VET, which may reduce risky trading activity. While this could decrease short-term trading volume, it helps protect the market from excessive leverage and could lead to more stable liquidity for VeChain over time. (Binance)

2. Participation in CV Summit (October 8, 2025)

What happened:
VeChain took part in the CV Summit 2025 in Zurich, joining major players like Ethereum, Google, and Microsoft. The event focused on how blockchain technology is shaping banking, payments, and artificial intelligence. Notably, some Swiss banks are now accepting cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum as loan collateral, which could pave the way for VeChain’s future adoption in traditional finance.

Why it matters:
Being part of this high-profile event exposes VeChain to over 80 banks and asset managers, boosting its reputation among institutional investors. These connections could help VeChain expand its supply chain solutions into mainstream financial services. (Crypto.news)

3. Strong Q2 Financial Position (October 6, 2025)

What happened:
VeChain’s treasury decreased by 23.5% from the previous quarter, settling at $167 million. This drop was mainly due to a 4% decline in VET’s price, but holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum helped offset losses. During this period, VeChain launched Galactica, an Ethereum-compatible mainnet, partnered with BitGo for secure asset custody, and expanded Revolut’s services to 60 million users.

Why it matters:
These developments show VeChain’s ability to maintain financial stability and continue growing despite a bearish market. New features like cross-chain bridges through Wanchain and staking rewards via StarGate NFTs are designed to increase network use and the value of VTHO tokens. (Bitget)

Conclusion

VeChain is navigating challenges from exchange policy changes while focusing on growth through partnerships and technology upgrades. Although Binance’s collateral cut may tighten short-term liquidity, VeChain’s emphasis on practical applications and regulatory compliance (such as MiCA licensing) sets it up for long-term success. The big question remains: Will Wanchain’s cross-chain integration help bring more decentralized finance (DeFi) activity to VeChain as we head into the final quarter of the year?