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Why did the price of ATOM go up?

Cosmos (ATOM) increased by 1.18% to $4.08 over the last 24 hours, outperforming a mostly flat cryptocurrency market. This rise was driven by excitement around ETFs, new developments in the Cosmos ecosystem, and technical indicators suggesting short-term support.

  1. ETF Buzz: REX-Osprey filed for an ATOM ETF that includes staking features, which is a positive sign.
  2. Ecosystem Growth: The launch of dYdX’s Telegram trading bot on Cosmos SDK improved cross-chain functionality.
  3. Technical Signals: Indicators like RSI and MACD suggest ATOM may be recovering from oversold conditions.

In-Depth Look

1. ETF Interest & Staking Demand (Positive Outlook)

Summary: On October 3, REX-Osprey submitted filings for 21 crypto ETFs, including one focused on ATOM with staking options. Although the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is currently on pause due to a government shutdown, experts at Bloomberg believe approval for altcoin ETFs is very likely once the SEC resumes (CryptoSlate).

Why it matters: Staking ETFs could attract institutional investors to ATOM, which currently offers around 16% annual percentage yield (APY). This aligns with recent promotions like Bitrue’s 20% APY staking offer and Coinbase expanding its Cosmos-related services.

What to watch: The timeline for the SEC reopening and progress on ETF filings (S-1 forms).

2. Growing Use of Cosmos Technology (Mixed Impact)

Summary: dYdX introduced a Telegram bot that uses Cosmos SDK to enable trading across different blockchains. Additionally, Cosmos Health announced plans to invest $300 million in Ethereum assets (CoinMarketCap).

Why it matters: These developments show increasing real-world use of Cosmos’ technology, like its IBC protocol and Tendermint consensus. However, ATOM’s direct usefulness is still debated, especially after the cancellation of the Hub’s Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) rollout in July 2025.

3. Technical Recovery Signs

Summary: ATOM’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose to 42.1, moving out of oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator also turned positive for the first time since late September. The price stayed above a key support level at $4.16 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement).

Why it matters: These signals suggest traders might be buying back in after a dip, though resistance remains near the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $4.16. Trading volume increased slightly by 1.8% to $119 million, indicating cautious buying.

Conclusion

ATOM’s recent price increase reflects optimism around ETFs and technical recovery, but its future depends on Bitcoin’s market stability (currently holding 58.59% dominance) and faster adoption of Cosmos’ cross-chain features.

Key level to watch: How ATOM performs around the $4.16 SMA—breaking above this could push the price toward $4.33 (30-day SMA).


What could affect the price of ATOM?

ATOM is at a critical point—upcoming upgrades could revive its vision for connecting different blockchains, but slow user adoption and delays in ETF approvals are challenges.

  1. Boosting Cross-Chain Use – Planned upgrades in December 2024 aim to strengthen ATOM’s role as a bridge for money across blockchains (positive if successful).
  2. ETF and Regulatory Challenges – U.S. approval delays and competition from Sui’s stablecoins create uncertainty (mixed impact).
  3. Price Trends – Technical indicators show weakness but also signs of being oversold; key price levels between $4.35 and $4.60 will be important (neutral outlook).

In-Depth Look

1. Boosting Cross-Chain Use (Positive Outlook)

What’s Happening:
Cosmos Hub plans to unify its network, improve the infrastructure that connects different blockchains (called IBC relayers), and make ATOM the main “gas” or transaction fee token across these chains. Proposals like ATOM Endgame focus on increasing liquidity and expanding decentralized finance (DeFi) options, including lending platforms like Umee and Mars that use ATOM as collateral.

Why It Matters:
If these upgrades work as planned, ATOM could become a key asset for securing and moving value between blockchains, increasing demand. However, past delays—such as slow adoption of Interchain Security—show that execution risks remain.

2. ETF and Regulatory Challenges (Mixed Outlook)

What’s Happening:
REX-Osprey has filed for an ATOM exchange-traded fund (ETF) expected in October 2025, but approval depends on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which has been delayed partly due to government shutdowns. Meanwhile, Sui’s stablecoins, supported by BlackRock (suiUSDe, USDi), are competing for market share in DeFi liquidity.

Why It Matters:
If the ETF is approved, it could boost ATOM’s price similarly to Bitcoin’s ETF-driven rally in 2024. But delays or strong competition from Sui’s stablecoins might divert investor interest elsewhere.

3. Price Trends (Neutral Outlook)

What’s Happening:
ATOM is currently trading below key moving averages (between $4.27 and $4.66), with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42.1, indicating it might be oversold. Closing above $4.45 (the 200-day simple moving average) could signal a price rebound, while falling below $4.00 might lead to a 15% drop to the lows seen earlier in 2024.

Why It Matters:
The price action shows bearish sentiment, but oversold conditions and attractive staking rewards (16% annual percentage yield on Bitrue) could encourage investors to buy and hold.

Conclusion

ATOM’s future depends on successfully rolling out its interoperability upgrades amid challenges from other altcoins and regulatory delays. Keep an eye on December’s upgrades for signs of wider adoption and on ETF developments for institutional interest. The question remains: can ATOM’s high staking rewards balance out its inflationary token supply in a cautious market?


What are people saying about ATOM?

Conversations around Cosmos (ATOM) are swinging between excitement over a potential price breakout and doubts about its future. Here’s what’s trending right now:

  1. Traders are watching for a breakout above $4.80 after a period of price consolidation
  2. A $300 million Ethereum treasury plan is boosting optimism in the ecosystem
  3. Some are claiming “Cosmos is dead” as rival tokens gain attention

Deep Dive

1. @ali_charts: Bullish Triangle Breakout Expected

“$ATOM triangle consolidation is nearly at the apex. Watch for a 30% move!”
– @ali_charts (280k followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-08-30 03:08 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive sign for ATOM. The price has been moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern, which often leads to a big price move. If ATOM closes above $4.80, it could confirm this breakout. However, if it fails to hold this level, it might trigger automatic sell orders, causing a sharp drop.

2. CoinMarketCap Post: $300M Ethereum Treasury Plan Brings Mixed Reactions

“🚨 LATEST: Cosmos Health Launches $300M Ethereum Treasury Investment Plan”
– CoinMarketCap Community (Post: 2025-08-07 11:04 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This news is a bit of a double-edged sword for ATOM. On one hand, managing a $300 million treasury shows that the project is growing more professional and mature. On the other hand, the fact that the investment focuses on Ethereum rather than Cosmos-native assets raises questions about where the ecosystem’s priorities lie.

3. @berrycrypt: “Cosmos is Dead” Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD)

“$ATONE surged 35x in one week. What’s going on?? This token was only airdropped to ATOM stakers.”
– @berrycrypt (42k followers · 387k impressions · 2025-10-01 19:27 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bearish signal for ATOM. The rapid rise of $ATONE, a newer token in the Cosmos ecosystem, suggests that some investors are shifting their attention and funds away from ATOM. This could mean they see less potential in holding ATOM itself.

Conclusion

The outlook for Cosmos (ATOM) is mixed. Technical traders see support in the $4.30 to $4.60 range, indicating potential for a rebound. Meanwhile, ecosystem developments are creating a tug-of-war between optimism and skepticism, with some calling Cosmos a “ghost chain.” Keep an eye on the $4.78 to $4.83 resistance zone: a strong move above this could break the bearish trend, while failure to do so might confirm doubts about ATOM’s role in the growing interchain ecosystem.


What is the latest news about ATOM?

Cosmos (ATOM) is showing mixed signals. ETF filings suggest potential growth ahead, while recent staking upgrades and exchange partnerships highlight ongoing development.

  1. ETF Filings with Staking (October 3, 2025) – REX-Osprey’s ATOM ETF proposal points to growing institutional interest.
  2. Coinbase Staking Launch (October 9, 2025) – ATOM staking now offers over 16% annual returns for users in New York.
  3. Bitrue Expands ATOM Support (September 30, 2025) – Added flexible staking options with up to 20% annual returns.

Deep Dive

1. ETF Filings with Staking (October 3, 2025)

Overview: REX-Osprey filed for 21 single-asset ETFs, including one for ATOM, that include staking features. This comes after the SEC approved general crypto ETF guidelines in September, which should make future approvals easier. However, the current U.S. government shutdown has paused SEC reviews for now.
What this means: Approval of these ETFs could bring more institutional investors to ATOM, which is positive for its growth. But the shutdown creates short-term uncertainty about when approvals will happen. (CryptoSlate)

2. Coinbase Staking Launch (October 9, 2025)

Overview: Coinbase now offers ATOM staking in New York, with annual returns above 16%. This follows Bitrue’s recent expansion of ATOM staking options, which offer up to 20% returns. These moves aim to attract more everyday investors.
What this means: Higher staking rewards can encourage more people to lock up their ATOM tokens, which helps secure the network and may increase demand. However, there is some risk of inflation since ATOM’s supply grows by 7–20% each year. (Decrypt)

3. Exchange Ecosystem Growth (August 5, 2025)

Overview: Big exchanges like Binance and OKX use Cosmos SDK technology for their own blockchain projects, improving how different blockchains work together. ProBit Global also completed upgrades to the ATOM network in July, boosting stability.
What this means: These developments strengthen Cosmos’ position in the blockchain industry, especially for businesses. However, ATOM’s price has dropped about 12% so far this year, so the market hasn’t fully recognized this progress yet. (Cosmos)

Conclusion

Cosmos faces a mix of challenges and opportunities. While its price has struggled, the potential approval of ETFs and growing staking options provide strong reasons for optimism. The key question is whether institutional investment through ETFs will pick up after the government shutdown, or if ATOM will continue to feel pressure from the wider crypto market’s ups and downs.


What is expected in the development of ATOM?

Cosmos’ roadmap is focused on improving how different blockchains work together, boosting security, and growing its ecosystem.

  1. Interchain Security Expansion (2025–2026) – Making cross-chain security stronger for new projects.
  2. Decentralized Infrastructure Partnerships (2025–2026) – Cutting down reliance on centralized service providers.
  3. CosmWasm Maintenance via Hadron Labs (2025–2027) – Providing ongoing support for smart contract technology.
  4. Real-World Asset Tokenization (2025–2026) – Growing use cases for tokenizing real-world assets through partners like Real Finance.
  5. Strategic Shift to Core Interoperability – Focusing more on IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication) instead of competing with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) chains.

Deep Dive

1. Interchain Security Expansion (2025–2026)

Overview:
Cosmos is improving its Interchain Security model, which allows validators from the Cosmos Hub to help secure newer blockchains. This “shared security” approach helps new projects get started by using the existing security from ATOM’s staking network. Recent updates aim to make it easier for validators to participate and reduce penalties for mistakes.

What this means:
This is positive for ATOM because it increases the network’s usefulness beyond just the Cosmos Hub, potentially driving more demand for staking and transaction fees. However, success depends on attracting new blockchains, especially with competition from Ethereum’s restaking solutions.

2. Decentralized Infrastructure Partnerships (2025–2026)

Overview:
Cosmos is teaming up with Pocket Network and Kleomedes to make its RPC (Remote Procedure Call) infrastructure more decentralized. This means relying less on big centralized providers like Amazon Web Services (AWS). The goal is to launch over 10,000 nodes worldwide by 2026 (Pocket Network).

What this means:
This is somewhat positive because better decentralization makes the network more resilient. However, it might temporarily affect validator earnings. The key will be balancing costs and incentives for node operators.

3. CosmWasm Maintenance via Hadron Labs (2025–2027)

Overview:
The Interchain Foundation has funded Hadron Labs to maintain CosmWasm, Cosmos’ smart contract platform built with Rust, through the end of 2027. This includes security checks, bug fixes, and updates to stay compatible with newer Cosmos software (Interchain Labs).

What this means:
This is good news for developers, helping CosmWasm stay competitive with other smart contract platforms like Ethereum. The risk is that innovation might be slower compared to faster-moving competitors like Solana.

4. Real-World Asset Tokenization (2025–2026)

Overview:
Companies like Real Finance are building on Cosmos to create digital tokens representing real-world assets such as real estate and commodities. They use IBC to enable these assets to move across different blockchains, focusing on meeting regulations and attracting institutional investors (Real Finance).

What this means:
This has long-term potential to make Cosmos a key platform for real-world asset tokenization. However, progress depends on clear regulations and attracting enough liquidity.

Conclusion

Cosmos is focusing on what it does best—connecting different blockchains—while stepping back from trying to compete directly with Ethereum-like chains. The main growth drivers are Interchain Security, decentralized infrastructure, and real-world asset tokenization. Still, ATOM’s price will likely depend on how well these technical improvements translate into real ecosystem growth.

Will Cosmos’ focus on interoperability help it outpace other blockchain ecosystems that dominate specific niches?


What updates are there in the ATOM code base?

Cosmos (ATOM) has released important updates aimed at improving security, speed, and overall growth of its network.

  1. Security Patch Fixes Reward Overflow (July 8, 2025) – Fixed a critical bug that could stop the network due to reward calculation errors.
  2. BlockSTM & MemIAVL Performance Boost (June 11, 2025) – Increased transaction speed to 60,000 per second and made syncing nodes much faster.
  3. Cosmos SDK v0.53.4 Release (July 25, 2025) – Updated software dependencies without breaking existing features.

Deep Dive

1. Security Patch Fixes Reward Overflow (July 8, 2025)

Overview: This urgent update fixed a serious issue in the reward distribution system that could cause the network to freeze if rewards became too large.

The fix involved changing how rewards are calculated to avoid errors from numbers getting too big. Networks using this system needed to update immediately because the fix required a coordinated upgrade that changes the network’s state.

What this means: This is good news for ATOM holders because it makes the network more reliable and less likely to experience unexpected downtime. Validators (those who help secure the network) and users will see smoother operations. (Source)

2. BlockSTM & MemIAVL Performance Boost (June 11, 2025)

Overview: Developed together with Cronos, these improvements speed up how transactions are processed and how data is stored.

BlockSTM is a new engine that processes many transactions at the same time, allowing up to 60,000 transactions per second. MemIAVL reduces the time it takes for new nodes (computers joining the network) to sync from 16 hours down to just 5 minutes by using in-memory snapshots. These tools are now available for all Cosmos-based networks.

What this means: This is positive for ATOM because faster and cheaper transactions attract more developers and users, helping Cosmos grow as a leading platform for connecting different blockchains. (Source)

3. Cosmos SDK v0.53.4 Release (July 25, 2025)

Overview: A small but important update that keeps the software compatible while improving underlying components.

This release focused on managing software dependencies and fixing minor bugs, ensuring that networks built on earlier versions can upgrade smoothly without any disruptions or breaking changes.

What this means: This is neutral for ATOM—it doesn’t add new features but helps maintain stability, making it easier for developers to keep their networks running smoothly. (Source)

Conclusion

Cosmos is steadily improving security, speed, and developer tools, which are essential for its role as a platform that connects multiple blockchains. The recent security patch and performance upgrades show a strong commitment to managing risks and pushing technical boundaries. With projects like Persistence adopting the latest software, it will be interesting to see how these updates impact cross-chain adoption in the last quarter of 2025.