What could affect the price of HBAR?
Hedera’s price is balancing between growing business use and ongoing market challenges.
- Business Adoption – Partnerships for tokenizing real-world assets (positive)
- ETF Delays – SEC pushes back decision on HBAR ETF until November (negative)
- Market Pressure – $44 million in short positions could be forced to close if price rises above $0.19 (volatile)
Deep Dive
1. Real-World Asset Growth & AI Partnerships (Positive Outlook)
Overview: Hedera has recently teamed up with Inveniam, a company focused on turning real estate into digital tokens, and BEEAH Group, which works on decentralized identity solutions. The network currently supports $103 million in stablecoins and is involved in projects like the Reserve Bank of Australia’s digital currency trials.
What this means: As more real-world assets are tokenized on Hedera, demand for HBAR to pay transaction fees and for staking could increase. According to Messari, Hedera’s stablecoin activity jumped 91.7% in the second quarter of 2025, showing growing adoption (CoinJournal).
2. Regulatory Delays & ETF Setbacks (Negative Outlook)
Overview: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has delayed its decision on Canary Capital’s HBAR exchange-traded fund (ETF) until November 2025. This follows similar delays for ETFs related to XRP and Solana. At the same time, Bitcoin holds a dominant 59.2% share of the crypto market, limiting investment flow into other coins.
What this means: Continued uncertainty around ETFs could reduce institutional investment in HBAR. Since HBAR’s price moves closely with Bitcoin (76% correlation, per Yahoo Finance), it remains sensitive to Bitcoin’s price trends, currently consolidating around $107,000.
3. Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment (Mixed Outlook)
Overview: Hedera’s price is at a key technical point:
- Positive signs: Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows potential upward momentum at 40.08, and exchange inflows have dropped 76% since June, indicating less selling pressure ($1.47 million inflows).
- Negative signs: A “death cross” pattern (where the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average) suggests possible downward pressure, and the $0.16 price level is a critical support that could be tested again.
What this means: If HBAR’s price closes above $0.19, it could force $44 million worth of short sellers to cover their positions, causing a sharp price increase. On the other hand, if it falls below $0.16, the price might revisit lows near $0.10 seen last October (Yahoo Finance).
Conclusion
Hedera’s growing use in business applications helps offset weak ETF news and Bitcoin-driven market swings. Keep an eye on the $0.16 to $0.19 price range for signs of a breakout. The key question: can Hedera’s real-world asset momentum overcome broader crypto market challenges?
What are people saying about HBAR?
Hedera's HBAR is gaining attention with traders betting on a breakout and rumors about an ETF approval, even as some technical signals remain uncertain. Here’s the latest:
- Traders are watching $0.26 as a key level for a breakout
- Listing on Robinhood sparked talk of a 12% price jump
- Grayscale’s ETF filing has investors hopeful for a $5 price target
- New enterprise stablecoins on Hedera are attracting bullish interest
Deep Dive
1. Stablecoin Adoption Boosts HBAR
According to @RealAllinCrypto, companies and banks are using Hedera to launch stablecoins like $AUDD, $PHPX, and $FRNT. This is positive for HBAR because these stablecoins increase activity on the Hedera network and create more demand for HBAR, which is used to pay transaction fees (often called “gas”).
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2. Technical Breakout Pattern Looks Promising
The CoinMarketCap Community points out that HBAR has broken out of a “falling wedge” pattern, which is generally a bullish sign. This breakout, combined with optimism around an ETF, suggests a potential price target of $0.50. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 85, indicating the coin might be overbought and due for a pullback.
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3. Robinhood Listing Sparks Price Jump, But Resistance Remains
After HBAR was listed on Robinhood, it jumped 8%, as noted by @johnmorganFL. However, the price struggled to hold above $0.30, showing resistance at this psychological level. This means while easier access through Robinhood is positive, the price still faces hurdles.
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4. ETF Speculation Drives Optimism
There’s a strong community belief, highlighted in a Grayscale-related discussion, that a spot HBAR ETF has a 90% chance of approval in 2025. If approved, ETFs typically bring more liquidity and investor interest, which is good for HBAR’s price. Still, regulatory timelines are uncertain, so this remains speculative.
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Conclusion
Overall, the outlook on HBAR is cautiously optimistic. Technical traders are watching for a breakout above $0.26, while institutional interest and ETF hopes add bullish momentum. Keep an eye on the $0.223 resistance level—if HBAR can stay above this, it could confirm the current positive trend driven by partnerships and new use cases. If it fails, the price might revisit lows seen in June.
What is the latest news about HBAR?
Hedera is making progress with big business partnerships, but its price faces challenges from market uncertainty. Here are the key updates:
- BEEAH Teams Up With Hashgraph Group (October 21, 2025) – A major UAE company launches a secure digital ID platform using Hedera.
- Inveniam and Mantra Launch Inveniam Chain (October 21, 2025) – A new blockchain built on Hedera aims to bring over $1 trillion in real estate assets to the market.
- HBAR Price Holds at $0.16 Support (October 21, 2025) – Despite price drops, fewer coins are being sold on exchanges, and futures trading shows mostly bearish bets.
Deep Dive
1. BEEAH Teams Up With Hashgraph Group (October 21, 2025)
What happened: BEEAH Group, a large company in the UAE, partnered with Swiss firm The Hashgraph Group to create IDTrust, a decentralized digital identity platform on Hedera. This platform will initially manage credentials for over 18,000 employees in BEEAH’s environmental, healthcare, and smart city projects, with plans to expand to government services.
Why it matters: This is a positive sign for Hedera (HBAR) because it shows real-world business use in regulated industries. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region’s focus on digital governance could lead to more growth for Hedera’s technology. (Bitcoin.com)
2. Inveniam and Mantra Launch Inveniam Chain (October 21, 2025)
What happened: Inveniam Capital Partners and MANTRA introduced Inveniam Chain, a Layer 2 blockchain built on Hedera designed to tokenize commercial real estate (CRE) data. This platform will connect more than $30 billion in CRE assets to decentralized finance (DeFi) markets, starting with derivatives.
Why it matters: This development is somewhat positive for HBAR. It expands Hedera’s role in handling real-world assets, but its success depends on whether big financial institutions adopt it. The project fits with Hedera’s goal of supporting regulated financial systems. (Cointelegraph)
3. HBAR Price Holds at $0.16 Support (October 21, 2025)
What happened: HBAR’s price dropped to $0.16 amid a weak crypto market. However, the amount of HBAR held on exchanges fell by 76% since mid-October, suggesting less selling pressure. Futures trading shows that 76% of positions are short, which could lead to a price jump if the market turns positive and prices rise above $0.19.
Why it matters: This is a neutral signal for HBAR. Lower exchange reserves indicate that investors might be accumulating HBAR, but the price range between $0.16 and $0.19 is critical. If the price falls below $0.15, it could drop another 20%, while moving above $0.23 might signal a positive trend change. (Yahoo Finance)
Conclusion
Hedera is gaining traction in business sectors like digital identity and real-world assets, but its price remains vulnerable to overall market trends. While partnerships show growing institutional interest, HBAR’s value still depends heavily on broader crypto market movements. The big question is whether real-world use can help HBAR break free from Bitcoin’s price swings.
What is expected in the development of HBAR?
I wasn’t able to find enough information to answer your question right now. The CoinMarketCap team is continuously updating my crypto knowledge, so I expect to have the details soon. Meanwhile, please feel free to ask about another question or coin for analysis.
What updates are there in the HBAR code base?
In mid-2025, Hedera made significant updates by fully opening its codebase and improving tools for developers.
- Full Open-Source Transition (July 22, 2025) – Hedera donated its codebase to a neutral foundation, allowing the community to contribute and help shape the platform.
- Hedera CLI Launch (June 25, 2025) – A new command-line tool that automates account setup and contract deployment for developers.
- Contract Builder Upgrade (July 23, 2025) – A browser-based tool that lets developers write and test smart contracts easily on Hedera’s test network.
Deep Dive
1. Full Open-Source Transition (July 22, 2025)
What happened: Hedera became the first public Layer 1 blockchain to fully open-source its codebase through Project Hiero. This project is managed by the Linux Foundation’s decentralized division (Source).
This means developers and node operators can now review, change, and suggest improvements to the code through Hedera Improvement Proposals (HIPs). Governance is shifting to a community-driven model, while still maintaining strong security for businesses.
Why it matters: This is a positive step for HBAR because sharing code ownership reduces dependence on a single company. It encourages innovation and attracts more developers to build on Hedera.
2. Hedera CLI Launch (June 25, 2025)
What happened: The new Hedera Command Line Interface (CLI) tool automates tasks like setting up accounts and deploying smart contracts, saving developers time (Source).
It supports test environments and integrates with continuous integration/continuous deployment (CI/CD) systems, similar to popular Ethereum developer tools like Truffle Suite.
Why it matters: While this update doesn’t immediately impact HBAR’s price, it’s a positive long-term development. Making developer workflows easier can lead to more apps and projects built on Hedera.
3. Contract Builder Upgrade (July 23, 2025)
What happened: Hedera improved its Contract Builder tool, allowing developers to write, deploy, and test Solidity smart contracts directly in their web browser without installing software (Source).
This tool simplifies the early stages of development with built-in contract verification and connection to Hedera’s testnet.
Why it matters: This is good news for HBAR because it lowers the barrier to creating smart contracts. This could lead to more decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) projects on Hedera.
Conclusion
Hedera’s updates in mid-2025 focus on making the platform more decentralized and easier for developers to use. By open-sourcing its code and launching helpful tools like the CLI and Contract Builder, Hedera aims to balance enterprise security with community-driven innovation. The key question remains: Will Project Hiero’s new governance model attract active and meaningful developer participation?
Why did the price of HBAR go up?
Hedera (HBAR) increased by 1.02% to $0.177 in the past 24 hours, slightly outperforming the overall cryptocurrency market, which rose by 0.82%. This uptick came from a late-session recovery after institutional selling eased, along with new developments in Hedera’s ecosystem.
- Late institutional rebound – Buyers stepped in after HBAR hit a key support level at $0.1688, leading to a 1.2% recovery.
- Real-world asset (RWA) partnerships – New business collaborations helped boost confidence.
- ETF anticipation – Delays in SEC decisions on HBAR ETFs caused traders to hedge their bets.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Rebound From Support (Mixed Impact)
Overview: On October 21, HBAR fell 4.3% earlier in the day due to heavy selling during Asian trading hours, breaking below the $0.172 support level. However, buyers stepped in at $0.1688 (the lowest price since June 2025), pushing the price back up to $0.1745 by the end of the session.
What this means: This bounce suggests some traders saw the drop as an overreaction, especially since HBAR is trading about 30% below its 60-day average price. However, technical indicators like the MACD histogram remain negative (-0.001755), and the RSI at 42.99 doesn’t show strong buying momentum yet.
What to watch: If HBAR can consistently close above the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.1735, it could indicate short-term price stabilization.
2. Enterprise Adoption Momentum (Bullish Impact)
Overview: Two important partnerships were announced:
- Inveniam Capital launched a Hedera-based Layer 2 blockchain focused on tokenizing real estate assets (Inveniam).
- The UAE’s BEEAH Group teamed up with Hedera to develop a quantum-secure digital ID platform (Bitcoin.com).
What this means: These collaborations strengthen Hedera’s position in the enterprise market, potentially increasing the use of its network and demand for staking HBAR tokens. The real-world asset sector has accounted for 23% of HBAR’s trading volume this year, according to CoinDesk.
3. ETF Delays & Macro Uncertainty (Bearish Overhang)
Overview: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) postponed decisions on spot HBAR ETFs until November due to the ongoing government shutdown, as reported by Cointribune. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 59.14%, putting pressure on alternative cryptocurrencies like HBAR.
What this means: Although ETFs could be a positive catalyst in 2026, the delay adds to regulatory uncertainty. HBAR’s 24-hour trading volume of $234 million remains below its 30-day average of $283 million, indicating cautious trading activity.
Conclusion
HBAR’s modest gain reflects a technical rebound and positive enterprise news that help offset broader market challenges. However, the token remains sensitive to Bitcoin’s price movements and lower liquidity during the U.S. government shutdown.
Key watch: Will HBAR maintain support at $0.172 if the SEC extends ETF review delays beyond November? Keep an eye on institutional trading activity through Coinglass derivatives data.