What could affect the price of RENDER?
Render’s price is balancing between growing interest in AI and challenges in expanding its network.
- Compute Network Growth – U.S. trial for AI tasks looks promising (positive)
- Token Supply Dynamics – Burn-and-mint system vs. 90% of tokens already circulating (mixed)
- DePIN Competition – Aethir’s 43% price jump vs. Render’s slower trading activity (negative)
Deep Dive
1. Compute Network Growth (Positive Outlook)
Overview: Render started a U.S.-based trial in July 2025 for its Compute Network, focusing on AI tasks like machine learning and edge computing. Node operators earn RENDER tokens by keeping their systems available and completing jobs. Early results show 1.49 million frames processed in July and about $207,900 worth of USDC tokens burned. RenderCon, the network’s first conference held in April 2025, featured big names like NVIDIA, Solana, and Hollywood professionals, which could help attract business users.
What this means: If Render successfully integrates AI workloads, it could expand beyond just 3D rendering. This would connect token demand to the growing $450 billion AI infrastructure market. The network is growing, with RTX 5090 GPUs leading the hardware used. If demand grows faster than new tokens are created (controlled by the RNP-018 protocol), token supply could tighten, potentially supporting price increases.
2. Token Supply Dynamics (Mixed Outlook)
Overview: Render uses a burn-and-mint system where tokens are burned when used for rendering jobs and new tokens are minted to reward node operators. Currently, about 518.58 million RENDER tokens are circulating, which is 90% of the total supply—meaning there’s little room for more tokens to be introduced without diluting value. In July, burning of $207,900 USDC equated to roughly 61,100 RENDER tokens removed from circulation (at a price of $3.40), but this is balanced by weekly token rewards to nodes.
What this means: Having most tokens already in circulation reduces the risk of inflation but also limits the chance for a supply shortage that could drive prices up. For the price to rise significantly, the volume of rendering jobs needs to be 3 to 4 times higher than the number of new tokens minted. This is a challenge since Render’s daily trading volume of $61 million is much lower than Aethir’s recent 1,300% volume increase after launching a DePIN credit card.
3. DePIN Competition (Negative Outlook)
Overview: Render faces tough competition in decentralized computing. Aethir’s price surged 43% in September 2025 after forming partnerships, while Akash Network’s price dropped 28.5% in a month, showing how volatile this space is. Render’s 24-hour trading volume of $61 million trails Bittensor’s $95 million, even though their market values are similar.
What this means: Render’s focus on GPU rendering is less defensible as competitors like Aethir and io.net expand into AI and machine learning services. Without clear advantages in cost or speed compared to centralized cloud providers, Render may struggle to grow its network effects. The 46% drop in price over the past year reflects doubts about its competitive edge.
Conclusion
Render’s future depends on proving that its shift toward AI can overcome tight profit margins in rendering and the fragmented DePIN market. The Compute Network trial and partnerships with Hollywood offer growth opportunities, but token supply limits and Aethir’s momentum are significant challenges. Keep an eye on the USDC burn-to-mint ratio after the trial—if monthly burns stay above 200,000 USDC, it could mean Render is breaking out of balance. The key question remains: does Render’s specialized niche justify its $1.76 billion valuation in a market where one winner often takes most?
What are people saying about RENDER?
The Render (RENDER) community is divided between hopes for a price breakout and concerns about support levels. Here’s what’s trending:
- Traders are watching for a breakout above $3.40 after the price reclaimed an important support level.
- The DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) story is gaining momentum as Render runs trials for its compute network.
- Bearish signals are emerging as RENDER tests a key multi-year trendline.
Deep Dive
1. @johnmorganFL: Potential to Break $4.00 🚀
“RENDER could retest $4.00 if it holds $3.65 support, driven by AI and GPU demand.”
– @johnmorganFL (18.2K followers · 92K impressions · 2025-07-15 04:11 UTC)
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What this means: The price could rise if demand from the AI sector continues strong. Holding above $3.65 is key, and breaking $3.80 might trigger more buying interest.
2. @rendernetwork: Compute Network Trials ⚡
“1.49 million frames rendered in July during compute trials for AI workloads.”
– @rendernetwork (286K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-08-09 18:20 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign as Render expands into AI computing. However, success depends on keeping enough node operators active to handle the workload.
3. CryptoFrontNews: Testing a 1,100-Day Trendline 📉
“RENDER is testing a critical 3-year support level after a 48% price drop – historically, bounces from this level have averaged gains of 3,300%.”
– Kyren, CryptoFrontNews (2025-07-01 13:00 UTC)
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What this means: There is a risk of further decline if the price falls below $3.12, which could cause panic selling. But if the support holds, it could restart a strong upward trend.
Conclusion
The outlook for RENDER is mixed. Traders are watching the $3.30 to $3.65 price range closely, balancing hopes for a rebound against broader economic uncertainties. Meanwhile, developers are focusing on real-world use cases, such as partnerships in Hollywood and AI compute trials. Keep an eye on the Fear & Greed Index (currently at 34, indicating "Fear") for overall market sentiment. Continued fear could lead to more selling if support breaks, while improving sentiment might encourage investors to take more risks, especially in AI and DePIN-related tokens.
What is the latest news about RENDER?
Render is balancing its momentum in AI with steady growth in its network, adapting well to the ups and downs of the crypto market. Here’s the latest update:
- Compute Network Trial Expands (August 9, 2025) – US-based node operators joined to handle AI tasks, using 207.9K USDC.
- SIGGRAPH 2025 Innovations Revealed (August 8, 2025) – Showcased AI tools and Hollywood-level production workflows.
- Community Bounties & Render Royale Launch (July 25, 2025) – Rewarded contributions with RENDER tokens and launched a creative competition.
Deep Dive
1. Compute Network Trial Expands (August 9, 2025)
Overview
In July, Render started bringing on US node operators for its decentralized GPU compute network. This network focuses on AI tasks like inferencing and edge machine learning. In July alone, it processed 1.49 million frames and burned $207,900 in USDC. Node operators earn RENDER tokens for keeping their nodes available and completing jobs. The most popular hardware so far is the NVIDIA RTX 5090 GPU.
What this means
This development is positive for RENDER because it expands the platform’s use beyond just 3D rendering into AI computing, which is in high demand. However, if more users join faster than new nodes come online, the network might face capacity limits. (Render Network)
2. SIGGRAPH 2025 Innovations Revealed (August 8, 2025)
Overview
At SIGGRAPH 2025, Render presented updates to its AI workflow tools and announced partnerships with digital producer Andrey Lebrov to support Hollywood-level content creation pipelines. The event focused on GPU-powered solutions for studios and showed how Render integrates with Blender Cycles, a popular 3D rendering software.
What this means
Getting attention in the creative industry helps build Render’s reputation as a decentralized alternative to big cloud providers like AWS and Google Cloud. Partnerships like the one with Lebrov could encourage more businesses to use Render, though competition remains strong. (Kanalcoin)
3. Community Bounties & Render Royale Launch (July 25, 2025)
Overview
Render introduced a bounty program that rewards users with RENDER tokens for contributing to the ecosystem, such as creating tutorials or improving code. At the same time, it launched “Render Royale,” a competition where artists submitted 3D artwork with a post-apocalyptic theme, boosting community involvement.
What this means
These efforts increase the usefulness of the network and help keep creators engaged, linking the value of RENDER tokens directly to platform activity. However, keeping participation high will depend on offering attractive prizes and effective promotion. (Render Network)
Conclusion
Render is strengthening its position in AI and GPU infrastructure while building a strong creator community. This two-pronged approach could help maintain steady demand despite the unpredictable crypto market. With ongoing node trials and high-profile partnerships, Render’s focus on Hollywood and AI labs might be the key to its next phase of growth.
What is expected in the development of RENDER?
Render’s roadmap is focused on growing its decentralized GPU computing power and encouraging community-led decision-making.
- Render Compute Network Trial (August 2025) – Testing AI and machine learning workloads with U.S.-based node operators.
- Blender Cycles Integration (Q3 2025) – Making it easier for Blender’s 3D artists to use Render’s decentralized GPU network.
- Burn-Mint-Equilibrium Expansion (2025) – Improving token economics by integrating with io.net’s compute platform.
Deep Dive
1. Render Compute Network Trial (August 2025)
Overview:
Starting in July 2025, Render began working with node operators in the U.S. to test decentralized AI tasks like inferencing and edge machine learning. This trial uses powerful GPUs such as NVIDIA’s RTX 5090. Node operators earn RENDER tokens by keeping their systems available and completing jobs (Render Network).
What this means:
This is a positive development for RENDER because it expands its use beyond just 3D rendering into AI computing, which could increase demand for the token. However, there are challenges in scaling decentralized AI infrastructure that could slow progress.
2. Blender Cycles Integration (Q3 2025)
Overview:
After approval of RNP-013, Render updated its Network Wizard tool to support Blender’s Cycles rendering engine. This allows millions of Blender users to tap into decentralized GPU rendering. A detailed guide for integrating Blender was released in July 2025 (Render Network).
What this means:
This is good news for adoption since Blender has a large open-source community (over 4 million users) that could boost network usage. Still, Render faces competition from centralized cloud services.
3. Burn-Mint-Equilibrium Expansion (2025)
Overview:
Render’s Burn-Mint-Equilibrium (BME) model, which burns tokens used by creators and mints new tokens to pay node operators, is being connected with io.net’s compute client. This aims to balance token supply and demand while supporting more computing tasks (Render Network).
What this means:
This update is somewhat positive; better tokenomics could help stabilize RENDER’s price, but success depends on ongoing network use. Delays in integrating io.net could pose risks.
Conclusion
Render’s roadmap highlights growth in AI and machine learning, easier access for users, and improved token economics. The upcoming Compute Network trial and Blender integration are key short-term events, while BME improvements target long-term balance. Will decentralized AI computing overcome technical and market challenges? Keep an eye on node operator growth and RENDER token burn rates for insights.
What updates are there in the RENDER code base?
Render’s platform has grown to support AI workflows, multiple rendering engines, and improved security features.
- AI Compute Network Launch (August 2025) – Added US-based nodes to handle AI and machine learning tasks.
- Redshift & Cycles Beta Integration (October 2024) – Introduced GPU rendering support for Redshift and Blender’s Cycles engines.
- Legacy Polygon Contract Deprecation (July 2025) – Phased out older Polygon-based RNDR tokens due to security concerns.
In-Depth Look
1. AI Compute Network Launch (August 2025)
What happened: Render expanded its decentralized GPU network to support AI tasks like generative AI, focusing on developers who build AI models. Starting in July 2025, they onboarded US-based operators with powerful GPUs optimized for AI workloads such as Stable Diffusion and Luma Labs’ Dream Machine. The backend was updated to prioritize fast and reliable AI job processing.
Why it matters: This is a positive development for Render because it offers AI developers a more affordable alternative to big centralized cloud providers. As AI demand grows, this could increase the use and value of the RENDER token. (Source)
2. Redshift & Cycles Beta Integration (October 2024)
What happened: Render added beta support for Redshift (used with Cinema 4D) and Blender’s Cycles rendering engines, expanding its 3D rendering capabilities. This required building custom APIs to handle specific rendering workflows and optimize scene preparation. They also launched a Cinema 4D Wizard tool to make submitting rendering jobs easier, cutting manual errors by 40% in tests.
Why it matters: This update is neutral for Render. It makes the platform more attractive to professional studios but faces stiff competition from centralized services like AWS Deadline Cloud. (Source)
3. Legacy Polygon Contract Deprecation (July 2025)
What happened: Render retired its older Polygon-based RNDR token contract after discovering security vulnerabilities. Users were encouraged to migrate their tokens to a new Solana-based RENDER contract. The process included taking snapshots of eligible Polygon wallets and creating a secure bridge to Solana. Over 86% of tokens were migrated within 30 days.
Why it matters: This is neutral for Render. It improves security but caused some temporary trading disruptions on exchanges like Coinbase. (Source)
Conclusion
Render is evolving its technology to better support AI workloads, multiple rendering engines, and stronger security. While the AI integration opens new opportunities, the speed of adoption compared to centralized competitors will be crucial. The key question remains: how will Render balance its decentralized approach with the performance needs of enterprise AI users?
Why did the price of RENDER go up?
Render (RENDER) increased by 1.22% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 0.76%. The main factors driving this growth are:
- Strong momentum in the AI sector following the SEC’s engagement with AI-crypto projects
- A technical rebound from the $3.25 support level based on Fibonacci analysis
- Positive developments in the DePIN sector, highlighted by a partnership with Aethir
Key points:
- AI Sector Catalyst (Positive Impact)
- Technical Support Hold (Mixed Impact)
- DePIN Sector Momentum (Positive Impact)
Deep Dive
1. AI Sector Catalyst (Positive Impact)
Overview: Render’s price rose alongside other AI-related tokens after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) met with AI infrastructure companies like Tensor Garden AI and Prime Intellect on September 8. This meeting suggested that clearer regulations for AI-blockchain projects might be on the horizon.
What this means: The SEC discussion focused on open-source AI and decentralized infrastructure—areas where Render’s GPU network plays a key role. Investors see this as a sign that regulatory risks for AI crypto projects could decrease. Render’s 10% price jump on September 9 (Coingape) supports this view.
What to watch: Keep an eye on any follow-up statements from the SEC about AI regulations and updates on Render’s Compute Network trial, especially the onboarding of U.S.-based nodes for AI workloads.
2. Technical Rebound From Support (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Render’s price bounced back from a key technical support level at $3.25, which is based on the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its price movement since July. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 41.2 indicates the token was oversold, while the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows that downward momentum is weakening.
What this means: Traders likely saw this as a buying opportunity near an important support level. However, resistance is expected around the 50% Fibonacci level at $3.70. Trading volume dropped 45% to $42 million in the last 24 hours, suggesting that investors are cautious.
Key levels: If Render can maintain a price above $3.50, it may aim for $3.70. But if it falls below $3.25, it could retest lows near $2.70 from June.
3. DePIN Sector Strength (Positive Impact)
Overview: Render also gained from positive news in the DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) sector. Aethir, another DePIN project, surged 43% on September 8 after announcing a partnership to launch a DePIN-powered crypto credit card.
What this means: The DePIN sector is attracting renewed investor interest, especially as attention shifts toward AI and GPU-related projects. Render’s role as a decentralized GPU provider—demonstrated by burning 207.9K USDC in July for network usage—positions it as a leading player in this space.
Conclusion
Render’s recent gains reflect optimism around AI and DePIN regulatory developments, along with technical buying support. However, the relatively low trading volume suggests caution.
Key watch: Will Render hold above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $3.83 to confirm a positive trend reversal? Or will broader market pressures, including a 13% weekly drop in the crypto market, weigh it down?
Stay tuned to updates from the SEC on AI regulations and progress reports from Render’s Compute Network trial to better understand the token’s future direction.