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What could affect the price of CAKE?

CAKE is facing challenges from increased token supply and adoption tests in a cautious market environment.

  1. Tokenomics Changes – Unlocking 79 million CAKE tokens (23% of total supply) could lead to selling pressure but also reduces future token inflation.
  2. CAKE.PAD Adoption – Record-breaking token launch events may increase CAKE’s usefulness if this momentum continues.
  3. BNB Chain Activity – A $45 million airdrop for meme traders boosted decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes temporarily.

In-Depth Analysis

1. Tokenomics Update (Mixed Outlook)

What happened:
In April 2025, PancakeSwap updated its tokenomics (Tokenomics 3.0), unlocking about 79 million CAKE tokens that were previously locked up. This represents 23% of the circulating supply and will be fully unlocked by October 23, 2025. At the same time, daily new token emissions were cut by 44%, down to 22,500 CAKE per day. Additionally, 5% of trading fees are now used to burn (destroy) CAKE tokens, reducing supply.

What this means:
Lower daily emissions help reduce inflation of CAKE tokens over time (8.1 million CAKE per year now vs. 14.6 million before), which is good for long-term value. However, unlocking a large number of tokens could lead to selling pressure in the short term. CAKE’s price has already dropped about 17.8% over the past 30 days, indicating the market is factoring in this risk. The success of this update depends on whether the token burns can balance out the selling from unlocked tokens. For example, in September, PancakeSwap burned 28.8 million CAKE tokens (worth about $85 million), showing potential for supply control (PancakeSwap).

2. CAKE.PAD Launch Platform (Positive Signs)

What happened:
PancakeSwap’s new token launch platform, CAKE.PAD, hosted the WhiteBridge WBAI token generation event (TGE) on October 15, 2025. This event was massively oversubscribed by 20,000%, with $20 million worth of CAKE tokens committed.

What this means:
High demand for carefully selected projects on CAKE.PAD could increase CAKE token burns through participation fees. Each token launch permanently removes between 0.1% and 0.5% of the CAKE committed, helping reduce supply. However, since many projects are listed on Binance, there is some risk if Binance’s listing standards change or weaken (WhiteBridge TGE).

3. BNB Chain Ecosystem Activity (Neutral Impact)

What happened:
In October 2025, BNB Chain launched a $45 million “Reload Airdrop” targeting meme traders, which temporarily boosted CAKE trading volume by 155% to $660 million.

What this means:
CAKE’s trading volume is closely tied to activity on the BNB Chain, with 87% of its Q3 2025 volume coming from Binance Smart Chain (BSC). While meme-driven events can provide short-term boosts, long-term growth depends on attracting users from other blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. PancakeSwap recently launched a Solana bridge through Stargate, which could help expand CAKE’s reach (StargateFinance).

Conclusion

CAKE’s price outlook balances the benefits of deflationary tokenomics against the risks of a large unlocked token supply and challenges in cross-chain adoption. The key question is: Will CAKE.PAD-driven token burns be enough to offset over $234 million in potential selling pressure from unlocked tokens by October 23? Keep an eye on weekly burn rates and token redemption activity to gauge the market’s direction.


What are people saying about CAKE?

The PancakeSwap community is divided between excitement over technical gains and concerns about recent controversies. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. CAKE.PAD launch boosts optimism about reducing supply
  2. Security worries after a hack on an X account
  3. $3.00 price level challenges bullish momentum

Deep Dive

1. @StargateFinance: CAKE expands to Solana

“CAKE is now live on @Solana… powered by LayerZero for 1:1 transfers.”
– @StargateFinance (1.2M followers · 28K impressions · 2025-07-28 13:30 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is positive news for CAKE. Expanding to Solana, a blockchain with over $500 million in trading volume in August, increases CAKE’s usability and liquidity by allowing seamless transfers between blockchains.

2. @blockz_hub: Fraud allegations surface

“The $CAKE DEX faces allegations of prize fraud after a trading competition.”
– @blockz_hub (89K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-09-13 19:48 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a short-term negative. Trust issues from fraud claims could discourage users from participating. However, PancakeSwap’s strong total value locked (TVL) of $2 billion shows it remains resilient.

3. @johnmorganFL: Breakout targets $3.00

“Volume explodes – CAKE eyes bullish breakout above $2.64 resistance.”
– @johnmorganFL (320K followers · 45K impressions · 2025-07-28 16:33 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Mixed but leaning positive. Technical traders see the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 80.3, indicating the asset might be overbought, which can lead to a pullback. However, a “golden cross” pattern suggests the upward trend is strong.

Conclusion

Opinions on CAKE are mixed. Growth from cross-chain expansion (to Base and Solana) and token burns through CAKE.PAD support bullish momentum. On the other hand, the recent hack on an X account and fraud allegations create bearish pressure. Keep an eye on the $2.45 support level this week—holding this level could restart the rally toward $3.00, while falling below it might lead to profit-taking. Also, watch if CAKE’s 25th consecutive monthly token burn (2.5 million CAKE burned in September 2025) can help balance selling pressure.


What is the latest news about CAKE?

PancakeSwap is making waves with record-breaking launches and signs of recovery. Here’s a quick update:

  1. WBAI Launch Breaks CAKE.PAD Record (October 15, 2025) – WhiteBridge’s token sale on PancakeSwap was oversubscribed by 20,000%, showing strong interest.
  2. CAKE Price Jumps 25% After Drop (October 14, 2025) – Technical signals and increased buying suggest a possible upward trend if the $3 level holds.
  3. BNB Chain’s $45M Memecoin Support (October 13, 2025) – PancakeSwap joins a $45 million airdrop effort to boost trading activity.

In-Depth Look

1. WBAI Launch Breaks CAKE.PAD Record (October 15, 2025)

What happened:
WhiteBridge Network launched its WBAI token on PancakeSwap’s CAKE.PAD platform, selling 20 million tokens in just one hour. The sale was oversubscribed by over 26,000%, meaning demand far exceeded supply. Supported by BNB Chain’s MVB10 accelerator, WhiteBridge focuses on AI-powered trust infrastructure, with its Guardian Agent currently in early testing.

Why it matters:
This strong launch highlights PancakeSwap’s growing reputation as a top platform for new token launches on the BNB Chain. The huge demand shows investor confidence in projects combining AI and blockchain technology, which could attract more innovative projects to CAKE.PAD. (The Daily Hodl)

2. CAKE Price Jumps 25% After Drop (October 14, 2025)

What happened:
After a sharp 61.5% drop on October 10, CAKE’s price bounced back 25% to $3.48. This rebound was supported by strong buying activity and technical indicators like bullish candlestick patterns near key moving averages. Other positive factors include 28.8 million CAKE tokens burned in September, a big increase in trading volume in Q3, and rewards for liquidity providers placing limit orders.

Why it matters:
The price recovery looks cautiously optimistic, especially if CAKE can stay above the $3 support level. Technical indicators suggest there’s potential for the price to reach $4.50, but investors should watch for signs of overbuying. Large holders accumulating CAKE and less selling pressure could help maintain momentum if the overall market stabilizes. (AMBCrypto)

3. BNB Chain’s $45M Memecoin Support (October 13, 2025)

What happened:
BNB Chain teamed up with PancakeSwap, Trust Wallet, and Four Meme to distribute $45 million in BNB tokens to 160,000 addresses affected by losses from meme coin liquidations. This move aims to stabilize liquidity and restore trader confidence, with PancakeSwap acting as a key platform for meme coin trading.

Why it matters:
This initiative highlights PancakeSwap’s important role in the BNB Chain ecosystem but also ties its activity to the volatile meme coin market. While the airdrop could increase trading volume in the short term, relying on speculative assets may increase risks if market sentiment worsens. (Yahoo Finance)

Conclusion

PancakeSwap is balancing innovation with ecosystem support—launching new projects through CAKE.PAD while helping stabilize the market with the BNB airdrop. Technical signs point to cautious optimism. As BNB Chain continues to grow, the question remains: can CAKE use its multichain decentralized exchange to outpace competitors like Uniswap?


What is expected in the development of CAKE?

PancakeSwap is moving forward with some key updates:

  1. CAKE.PAD Launch (October 7, 2025) – A new platform for launching tokens where all participation fees are burned.
  2. Deadline to Withdraw Staked CAKE (October 23, 2025) – Last chance to redeem CAKE locked in the old staking system.
  3. Crosschain Growth (Ongoing) – Expanding to new blockchains like Solana and improving liquidity across multiple networks.

In-Depth Look

1. CAKE.PAD Launch (October 7, 2025)

What is it?
CAKE.PAD is replacing PancakeSwap’s previous Initial Farm Offering (IFO) system. It lets users lock up CAKE tokens to get early access to new token launches. The fees paid to participate are completely burned, meaning those tokens are permanently removed from circulation.

Why it matters:
This is good news for CAKE holders because burning fees reduces the total supply, which can increase the token’s value over time. However, the success of this depends on how popular new token launches remain.

2. Deadline to Withdraw Staked CAKE (October 23, 2025)

What is it?
Users who staked CAKE under the old veCAKE system need to withdraw their tokens by this date. After October 23, the option to redeem these tokens will no longer be available (PancakeSwap).

Why it matters:
This change is mostly neutral for CAKE’s value. Some users might sell their unlocked tokens, which could cause short-term price dips. But overall, it helps finalize PancakeSwap’s updated tokenomics, aiming for a healthier long-term supply.

3. Crosschain Growth (Ongoing)

What is it?
PancakeSwap is expanding beyond its original blockchain by integrating with Solana through LayerZero’s OFT standard (since July 2025) and working on adding support for other blockchains like ZKsync, Base, and Linea. This will allow users to swap tokens and provide liquidity across multiple networks more easily.

Why it matters:
This expansion is positive for CAKE because it increases the token’s usability and trading opportunities. However, PancakeSwap will face competition from decentralized exchanges native to these new blockchains.

Summary

PancakeSwap is focusing on reducing CAKE’s supply through token burns and growing its presence across multiple blockchains. The October 23 deadline ends the old staking system, while CAKE.PAD introduces a fresh way to launch tokens with built-in deflation.

Will CAKE’s burn-focused approach give it an edge over other platforms?


What updates are there in the CAKE code base?

PancakeSwap’s latest updates focus on improving efficiency, expanding cross-chain features, and enhancing the user experience.

  1. SDK Updates (September 23, 2025) – Improved swap price calculations and updated dependencies.
  2. Cross-Chain Swaps (September 2025) – Added Solana support for fast asset transfers across multiple blockchains.
  3. Fee-Earning Limit Orders (September 2025) – New on-chain system that rewards users for limit order trades.
  4. Infinity Architecture Upgrades (April 2025) – Significant reductions in transaction fees and new liquidity models.

Deep Dive

1. SDK Updates (September 23, 2025)

Overview: The PancakeSwap development team released version 3.9.7 of their SDK (@pancakeswap/v3-sdk) along with related packages. These updates fine-tune how swap prices are calculated, making sure they work smoothly with PancakeSwap’s unified currency system.

Technical Details: The fixes address inconsistencies in handling wrapped tokens (like WETH) versus native tokens (like ETH). Dependencies were also updated, including @pancakeswap/swap-sdk-core@1.5.1, to improve consistency across the software.

What this means: This is routine maintenance that helps prevent pricing errors during swaps, ensuring a smoother experience for users. It doesn’t directly impact the value of CAKE. (Source)


2. Cross-Chain Swaps (September 2025)

Overview: PancakeSwap expanded its cross-chain swap feature to include Solana. Now, users can transfer assets quickly across seven blockchains—including BNB Chain, Ethereum, and Solana—in under a minute using Relay bridge technology.

Technical Details: This uses LayerZero’s omnichain fungible token standard, which allows atomic swaps (instant and secure exchanges) across chains. Relay has processed over 55 million transactions, helping reduce slippage (price changes during trades) when bridging CAKE tokens.

What this means: This is a positive development for CAKE, as it increases its usefulness as a liquidity hub across multiple blockchains, likely boosting transaction volumes. (Source)


3. Fee-Earning Limit Orders (September 2025)

Overview: Users can now earn a 0.1% fee on limit orders that get filled. This replaces an older system that relied on external bots powered by ORBS.

Technical Details: The new system is built on PancakeSwap Infinity’s singleton contract model, which means it operates fully on-chain without needing external bots. Rewards are automatically sent to users’ wallets.

What this means: This encourages more trading activity and also burns 3% of prediction winnings, which reduces the total supply of CAKE tokens. This is a positive sign for CAKE’s value. (Source)


4. Infinity Architecture Upgrades (April 2025)

Overview: PancakeSwap made major improvements that cut gas fees (transaction costs) by 50% to 99% for swaps and liquidity actions.

Technical Details:

What this means: Lower fees make PancakeSwap more attractive to high-volume traders and liquidity providers, which is good for CAKE’s ecosystem. (Source)

Conclusion

PancakeSwap’s recent updates highlight a focus on scalability through cross-chain swaps, sustainability by redirecting fees to token burns, and efficiency with gas optimizations. With ongoing developer activity and monthly SDK improvements, the question remains: will CAKE’s deflationary token model help stabilize its price amid market fluctuations?


Why did the price of CAKE fall?

PancakeSwap (CAKE) dropped 6.07% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 3.11%. This decline adds to a 22% loss over the past week, despite CAKE gaining 14% over the last month. The main reasons include profit-taking after a major token launch, negative technical signals, and weakening momentum from BNB Chain’s recent meme coin support efforts.

  1. Selling Pressure from CAKE.PAD Launch – The launch of the WBAI token led to significant profit-taking.
  2. Technical Weakness – CAKE’s price fell below important moving averages, indicating bearish trends.
  3. Market Caution – The Crypto Fear & Greed Index shows “Fear” at 32, putting pressure on altcoins like CAKE.

In-Depth Analysis

1. Selling Pressure from CAKE.PAD Launch (Negative Impact)

What happened: PancakeSwap’s CAKE.PAD platform hosted the launch of WhiteBridge Network’s WBAI token on October 15. The launch was hugely popular, with demand exceeding supply by 20,000% (The Daily Hodl). Over 20 million WBAI tokens were sold, and participants had to lock up their CAKE tokens to take part.
Why it matters: After the launch, many investors likely sold their CAKE tokens to take profits once their locked tokens were released. This selling pressure outweighed the positive effect of a $99 million CAKE token burn in August (CoinMarketCap Community), leading to a short-term increase in CAKE supply and price decline.

2. Technical Weakness (Negative Impact)

What happened: CAKE’s price dropped below its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of $3.26 and its 30-day SMA of $3.05. Other technical indicators like the MACD (-0.039) and RSI (43.89) also point to bearish momentum.
Why it matters: Traders often see a drop below these moving averages as a signal to sell. The next key support level is at $2.38, based on Fibonacci retracement. Additionally, trading volume fell by 54.59% in 24 hours, suggesting there isn’t enough buying interest to push the price back up right now.

3. Market Caution (Mixed Impact)

What happened: The overall crypto market fell 3.11%, driven by cautious investor sentiment. BNB Chain’s $45 million meme coin airdrop (Yahoo Finance) attracted attention away from CAKE and other altcoins.
Why it matters: CAKE’s price movement is somewhat linked to BNB, which also saw a small decline (0.67%) during this period. Reduced liquidity in altcoins and a 6.67% drop in the Altcoin Season Index show that investors are moving money away from mid-sized coins like CAKE, adding to the downward pressure.


Conclusion

The recent drop in CAKE’s price is due to a combination of profit-taking after the WBAI token launch and broader market caution. While the launch highlighted PancakeSwap’s growing utility, short-term selling and weak technical signals are currently dominating. Key point to watch: Will CAKE hold the $2.38 support level, or will breaking it lead to further declines?