Why did the price of BCH go up?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) increased by 2.81% in the last 24 hours, bouncing back from declines over the past week (-10.4%) and month (-10.8%). This positive move aligns with a broader rise in crypto ETF investments (+$2.7 billion in Bitcoin and +$488 million in Ethereum last week) and specific factors boosting BCH. The main reasons behind this rebound are:
- Geopolitical Relief – Easing fears after Trump softened his stance on tariffs helped lift altcoins like BCH.
- Technical Breakout – BCH broke out of a downward price pattern, indicating short-term upward momentum.
- Increased Network Activity – More active BCH addresses suggest growing use of the network.
Deep Dive
1. Geopolitical Relief (Positive for BCH)
Overview: BCH’s price fell below $500 after Trump announced a 100% tariff on China, which unsettled markets. However, when Trump later hinted at a possible trade deal, fears eased and altcoins, including BCH, started to recover (CCN).
What this means: With less uncertainty around trade tensions, investors felt more comfortable taking risks on altcoins like BCH. BCH’s 24-hour gain of 2.81% was even stronger than Bitcoin’s 2.12%, showing how sensitive BCH is to changes in market sentiment.
What to watch: Keep an eye on progress in U.S.-China trade talks and any policy updates from Trump ahead of the November 2025 election.
2. Technical Breakout (Mixed Signals)
Overview: BCH’s price broke above a falling wedge pattern on the 2-hour chart, supported by positive signals from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) and Supertrend indicator.
What this means: This breakout suggests BCH could rise another 10-15%, reaching between $583 and $612. However, other indicators like the MACD and RSI show some selling pressure remains. The immediate price resistance is around $585, which corresponds to a key Fibonacci retracement level.
Key metric: If BCH closes above $565 (the 50% Fibonacci level), it would confirm stronger bullish momentum. If not, the price might fall back to support near $515.
3. On-Chain Activity Surge (Positive for BCH)
Overview: The number of active BCH addresses jumped to 7.28 million, according to Santiment, indicating more users are engaging with the network.
What this means: An increase in active addresses often signals growing demand and can lead to price gains if the trend continues. However, BCH’s 24-hour trading volume dropped 19% to $406 million, which suggests some caution among traders.
What to watch: Look for continued growth in active addresses and a rebound in trading volume to confirm that demand is genuine and not just speculative.
Conclusion
BCH’s recent rebound is driven by easing geopolitical tensions, technical signs of recovery, and increased network activity. However, weak trading volume and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The key question is whether BCH can hold support at $515 and take advantage of increased market liquidity from ETFs. Stay updated on U.S.-China trade developments and monitor Santiment’s address activity data for clearer signals.
What could affect the price of BCH?
Bitcoin Cash is currently caught between positive technical developments and challenging market conditions.
- Regulatory Sentiment Shift – Roger Ver’s $48 million settlement with the Department of Justice (DOJ) eases legal concerns (positive)
- Smart Contract Upgrade – Upcoming protocol improvements in May 2025 enhance decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities (positive)
- Market Liquidity Crunch – Low trading activity and altcoin weakness put pressure on Bitcoin Cash (negative)
Deep Dive
1. Regulatory Sentiment Shift (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Roger Ver, a key figure behind Bitcoin Cash, recently settled a $48 million case with the DOJ (NY Times). This settlement removes a major legal uncertainty, which could improve confidence among institutional investors. However, Bitcoin Cash has not been included in recent crypto pardons from the Trump administration, unlike Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), leaving some regulatory questions unresolved.
What this means:
With fewer legal risks, Bitcoin Cash might attract more cautious investors, potentially leading to short-term price gains of 8–12%. Still, it lacks the strong regulatory support that Bitcoin ETFs enjoy, so it may struggle to keep pace with Bitcoin’s performance, which is down about 10.5% year-to-date.
2. Smart Contract Upgrade (Positive Impact)
Overview:
In May 2025, Bitcoin Cash will undergo a significant upgrade called the Velma hard fork, introducing features like VM Limits and BigInt (Levex). These technical improvements will allow Bitcoin Cash to support more complex smart contracts, enabling decentralized finance (DeFi) applications at a fraction of Ethereum’s transaction costs.
What this means:
This upgrade could help Bitcoin Cash gain ground in the payment-focused DeFi space. Some analysts predict the price could reach between $700 and $900 if developer activity remains strong (Cryptomus). Key indicators to watch in late 2025 include the number of smart contracts deployed and the adoption of stablecoins on the Bitcoin Cash network.
3. Market Liquidity Crunch (Negative Impact)
Overview:
The broader altcoin market is struggling. The Altcoin Season Index, which measures altcoin strength, is currently at 40 out of 100, down from a peak of 87 earlier in 2024. Bitcoin Cash’s trading volume relative to its market cap has dropped to 0.0379, signaling reduced liquidity.
What this means:
Lower liquidity makes Bitcoin Cash more vulnerable to sharp price drops. There is significant resistance at $572, and if the price falls below support at $515, it could trigger further declines toward $473, the low point seen in June 2025.
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash’s future depends on how well it can leverage its upcoming technical upgrades amid a tough market environment for mid-sized cryptocurrencies. The price range between $540 and $572 will be critical in determining if increased smart contract use can counteract the broader shift of capital toward Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, Bitcoin Cash’s network of over 2,550 merchants (CCN) could help boost real-world use before liquidity issues worsen. Keep an eye on the $572 resistance level and developments around Grayscale’s ETF efforts.
What are people saying about BCH?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is stirring up mixed feelings among traders and analysts. Here’s the latest:
- $572 breakout hopes – Experts see potential for BCH to climb higher within an upward channel
- 7-year wedge pattern – Long-term analysts eye a possible jump to $1,157 if the pattern holds
- $632 resistance battle – Short-term traders are watching a key price level closely
In-Depth Look
1. @CoinMarketCap Community: Testing $572 resistance in a bullish channel
"Hidden RSI divergence hints at a breakout between $607 and $664 if BCH stays above $520."
– CoinMarketCap Community (8.0 quality · Aug 7, 2025)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for BCH. Technical indicators suggest a potential price increase, but holding above $520 is crucial to maintain this momentum.
2. @VipRoseTr: Long-term cup-and-handle pattern points to $1,157
"BCH is breaking out of a 2-year downtrend channel, signaling a possible 100%+ price increase."
– @VipRoseTr (8.0 quality · Sep 5, 2025)
See original post
What this means: This is very optimistic for BCH over the long haul, but the price needs to stay above $776 on a weekly basis to confirm this trend.
3. @CCN: Resistance at $555 could trigger a drop
"BCH has been rejected three times at a descending resistance line since 2024. Failure to break above could lead to a 50% price drop."
– CCN (7.0 quality · Sep 10, 2025)
See original post
What this means: This is a warning sign. If BCH can’t close above $565, it may face a significant decline, repeating past bearish patterns.
Summary
Opinions on Bitcoin Cash are divided. Some traders are optimistic, betting on long-term chart patterns resolving positively, while others focus on the immediate challenge at $632 resistance. Large investors have been accumulating BCH (482 million coins bought in August), but everyday user activity is slowing down (19,000 daily active addresses). Keep an eye on the $616–$632 range — a strong close above this could confirm a bullish trend, while failure to break through might signal further downside.
What is the latest news about BCH?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is showing signs of recovery thanks to new regulatory developments and technical improvements. Here’s a quick summary of the latest news:
- BCH Price Rises to $540 (October 13, 2025) – A technical breakout and increased user activity are driving the price up.
- Roger Ver Settles $48 Million DOJ Tax Case (October 10, 2025) – The Bitcoin Cash co-founder resolved a tax dispute related to BCH’s early days.
- Grayscale Files to Launch BCH ETF (September 10, 2025) – Institutional interest grows as Grayscale seeks approval for a Bitcoin Cash exchange-traded fund.
In-Depth Look
1. BCH Price Rises to $540 (October 13, 2025)
What happened:
Bitcoin Cash’s price bounced back to $540 after briefly falling below $500 during a market selloff caused by tensions between the U.S. and China. Technical signals, like the Supertrend and Awesome Oscillator, turned positive, and the number of active BCH users jumped to 7.28 million, indicating more network activity.
Why it matters:
This price recovery is supported by stronger network fundamentals and positive technical trends. Traders seem optimistic about pushing the price toward $600 if momentum continues. However, if BCH can’t break through the $583 resistance level, the price might drop back to around $515. (CCN)
2. Roger Ver Settles $48 Million DOJ Tax Case (October 10, 2025)
What happened:
Roger Ver, a co-founder of Bitcoin Cash, reached a $48 million settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice over a tax fraud case. The charges were related to unreported Bitcoin sales before BCH was created in 2017.
Why it matters:
This settlement removes a major legal concern for the Bitcoin Cash community but also sparks renewed discussion about government oversight of early cryptocurrency users. Interestingly, there’s now a 29% chance, according to Polymarket, that former President Trump might pardon Ver, reflecting political factors at play. (CryptoSlate)
3. Grayscale Files to Launch BCH ETF (September 10, 2025)
What happened:
Grayscale, a major digital asset manager, filed to convert its Bitcoin Cash Trust into a spot ETF (exchange-traded fund) to be listed on the NYSE Arca exchange. The fund would hold about 82.8 BCH for every 10,000 shares and track CoinDesk’s BCH Index.
Why it matters:
This is the first attempt to create a Bitcoin Cash ETF in the U.S., signaling growing interest from institutional investors. Approval depends on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which has been more open to crypto under the current administration. However, competition from ETFs based on Litecoin (LTC) and Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) could affect its success. (Crypto Times)
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash’s recent price recovery and regulatory progress highlight a mix of technical strength and ongoing legal challenges. While new ETF opportunities and network upgrades (like the VM Limits update in May) support BCH’s growth, it remains to be seen if it can maintain momentum amid competition from other cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin’s continued dominance.
What is expected in the development of BCH?
Bitcoin Cash is moving forward with key updates:
- OP_EVAL Implementation (2026–2027) – This upgrade will allow more advanced smart contracts by expanding Bitcoin Script capabilities.
- Pay-to-Script Upgrade (2026–2027) – Simplifies complex transaction types, making it easier for developers to build on BCH.
- Block Time Reduction Proposal (TBD) – A possible change to shorten block times from 10 minutes to 2 minutes, speeding up transactions.
Deep Dive
1. OP_EVAL Implementation (2026–2027)
What is it?
OP_EVAL is a planned upgrade to Bitcoin Script, the programming language used on Bitcoin Cash. It will let developers create more flexible and powerful smart contracts—agreements that automatically execute on the blockchain. This builds on earlier upgrades in 2025 that increased the computing power available for contracts (Levex).
Why it matters:
This is good news for Bitcoin Cash because it could attract decentralized finance (DeFi) projects that want to avoid high fees. But delays or technical challenges could slow down how quickly these new features are adopted.
2. Pay-to-Script Upgrade (2026–2027)
What is it?
This upgrade aims to make it easier to use multi-signature wallets and other complex transaction types by standardizing how scripts are written. It’s part of Bitcoin Cash’s effort to compete with Ethereum’s strong developer community.
Why it matters:
This could encourage more developers to build on Bitcoin Cash by improving the tools they use. Success depends on how well it works with existing features like CashTokens.
3. Block Time Reduction Proposal (TBD)
What is it?
There’s a proposal to reduce the time it takes to create a new block from 10 minutes to 2 minutes. This would make transactions faster but requires agreement from the network’s operators to avoid technical issues.
Why it matters:
If adopted, faster blocks would make Bitcoin Cash more practical for everyday payments. However, there’s a risk of temporary network problems during the transition.
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash is focusing on making smart contracts more advanced and transactions quicker, aiming to be a low-cost alternative to Ethereum. The OP_EVAL and Pay-to-Script upgrades could boost DeFi use on BCH, while faster block times would strengthen its role as “digital cash.” Still, there are risks in rolling out these changes and competition from other scaling solutions.
Will BCH’s infrastructure upgrades outpace Ethereum’s scaling efforts?
What updates are there in the BCH code base?
In 2025, Bitcoin Cash rolled out important upgrades to improve smart contracts and make the network more scalable.
- VM Limits & BigInt (July 29, 2025) – Lifted limits on computing power, enabling more advanced decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-chain applications.
- CashScript Tooling (August 6, 2025) – Made it easier for developers to create tokens and smart contracts with improved software tools.
- Node v28.0.0 (10 months ago) – Updated the core software to boost network stability and security.
Deep Dive
1. VM Limits & BigInt (July 29, 2025)
What happened: This upgrade removed a previous cap on the number of operations a transaction could perform and increased the allowed data size for calculations. This means Bitcoin Cash can now handle more complex financial contracts and cryptographic tasks.
The Virtual Machine (VM) Limits update introduced a new way to manage computing resources per transaction, cutting the worst-case processing time for nodes by half and protecting the network from certain attacks. The BigInt feature added support for very large numbers (up to 10,000 bytes), which is essential for precise calculations in applications like cross-chain bridges and privacy-focused proofs.
Why it matters: This is good news for Bitcoin Cash because it opens the door to more advanced DeFi applications, such as automated market makers (AMMs) and lending platforms. It also lowers transaction costs to less than a penny, making BCH an attractive, low-fee alternative to Ethereum for apps that require heavy math. (Source)
2. CashScript Tooling (August 6, 2025)
What happened: Developer Mathieu Geukens improved the CashScript software development kit (SDK) and the Cashonize wallet, making it simpler to create tokens and deploy smart contracts on Bitcoin Cash.
The update added new libraries for CashTokens (Bitcoin Cash’s native token standard) and enhanced integration with remote procedure calls (RPC), which reduces repetitive coding for developers building decentralized apps (dApps).
Why it matters: This update mainly improves the developer experience. While better tools can attract more projects, the overall impact on Bitcoin Cash depends on how much the ecosystem grows. (Source)
3. Node v28.0.0 (10 months ago)
What happened: This mandatory upgrade improved how Bitcoin Cash nodes communicate and process data. It added stricter checks on peer timestamps, stopped support for older 32-bit systems, and limited unsolicited network messages to reduce spam.
The update also moved Tor network services to a newer version (v3) for better privacy and fixed important bugs related to transaction processing.
Why it matters: This upgrade focuses on keeping the network healthy and secure over the long term. It doesn’t add new features for users but was necessary for node operators to maintain compatibility and avoid issues. (Source)
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash’s 2025 upgrades represent a clear move toward supporting scalable smart contracts and building infrastructure suitable for larger, institutional use. The VM Limits and BigInt changes set the stage for DeFi growth, while improvements to CashScript tooling could encourage more developers to build on BCH. The big question remains: Will future upgrades like OP_EVAL in 2026 help Bitcoin Cash compete even more closely with Ethereum?