What could affect the price of TAO?
Bittensor’s price is caught between exciting AI developments and the ups and downs of the crypto market.
- Halving Event (Dec 2025) – The first cut in TAO supply could reduce available coins.
- Institutional Interest – Big players like Nasdaq-listed firms and exchange-traded products (ETPs) are boosting demand.
- Subnet Expansion – The growth of specialized AI networks on Bittensor is key to its usefulness and value.
In-Depth Look
1. Halving Event (Positive for Price)
What’s happening:
On December 12, 2025, Bittensor will cut the daily amount of new TAO coins created from 7,200 to 3,600. This “halving” is similar to what Bitcoin does to create scarcity and potentially increase value.
Why it matters:
With fewer new coins entering the market, if more people keep using or buying TAO, the price could go up. But miners (those who earn TAO by supporting the network) might sell some of their coins before the halving to make up for lower future rewards, which could cause short-term price swings (TAO Token Economy).
2. Institutional Demand vs. Competition (Mixed Effects)
What’s happening:
Companies listed on Nasdaq, like TAO Synergies and xTAO, have bought about 72,000 TAO coins (worth roughly $25 million as of September 2025). This shows growing trust in decentralized AI projects. However, other AI-focused crypto projects such as Fetch.ai and SingularityNET are also gaining attention.
Why it matters:
Big institutional purchases (like TAO Synergies’ $10 million buy reported here) can help stabilize or increase TAO’s price. But competition from other AI tokens might limit how much TAO can grow.
3. Growth of Subnets & Network Upgrades (Positive for Value)
What’s happening:
In February 2025, Bittensor launched the Dynamic TAO (dTAO) upgrade, which links new coin rewards to how useful each subnet is. Subnets are smaller, specialized AI networks within Bittensor. Currently, there are 118 subnets, covering areas like sports predictions and quantum computing.
Why it matters:
Subnets that perform well increase the overall value of TAO because they show the network is useful and growing. For example, subnet SN39 grew by 655% in the third quarter of 2025, which boosted activity among validators (those who help secure the network) (The Defiant).
Conclusion
TAO’s price will likely depend on the supply reduction from the December halving and how much institutional investors continue to support it amid competition from other AI tokens. Keep an eye on subnet growth and staking rewards (around 10% APY now) as signs of the network’s health. The big question: can Bittensor’s decentralized AI approach outperform centralized players like OpenAI?
What are people saying about TAO?
The Bittensor (TAO) community is feeling a mix of frustration and hopeful optimism as TAO faces important price challenges. Here’s what’s happening right now:
- Big companies are buying up TAO – Some Nasdaq-listed firms are accumulating tokens
- Price struggles with key levels – Traders are watching for a breakout above $420 or a drop below $300
- Halving event approaching – The first TAO supply cut is about 150 days away
Deep Dive
1. @getmasafi: Halving countdown begins (positive outlook)
"The 1st $TAO halving is less than 150 days away. Scarcity will kick in. Value appreciation will likely follow."
– @getmasafi (22.1K followers · 189K impressions · 2025-07-28 14:10 UTC)
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What this means: This is good news for TAO. The halving will reduce the daily new supply of TAO tokens from 7,200 to 3,600, which could create scarcity. Similar events in other cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin’s halving in 2012, led to huge price increases over time.
2. @KoinSaati: Institutions stack TAO (neutral)
"Nasdaq’s TAO Synergies holds 42,111 TAO ($15M), while xTAO accumulates 41,538 tokens – both staking for 10% APY."
– @KoinSaati (87K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-08-29 10:44 UTC)
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What this means: This shows confidence from big investors, but TAO’s price is still about 50% below its all-time high of $700 despite these purchases. So, this is a neutral sign for now.
3. @fullsendnorth: Market tests patience (cautious)
"It doesn’t matter how undervalued you think TAO is – it’ll move when the market decides."
– @fullsendnorth (38K followers · 417K impressions · 2025-09-10 13:11 UTC)
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What this means: This reflects some frustration because TAO’s price has dropped about 10.5% over the past 60 days, even though the fundamentals look strong.
Conclusion
Opinions on TAO are mixed. Big investors are betting on decentralized AI infrastructure, but traders are cautious as TAO struggles to break above $420 resistance. All eyes are on the December halving event—if history repeats itself, the reduced supply could spark a price rally. Keep an eye on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $355; a sustained move above this level might signal growing momentum.
What is the latest news about TAO?
Bittensor is advancing both its technology and institutional adoption as it explores the decentralized AI space. Here are the latest key developments:
- Dynamic TAO Launch (August 29, 2025) – Updated token rewards to encourage competition among AI subnets.
- Safello TAO ETP Listings (August 19, 2025) – Europe’s first physically backed TAO investment product goes live.
- TAO Halving Countdown (December 12, 2025) – Token supply reduction event approaching, increasing scarcity.
Deep Dive
1. Dynamic TAO Launch (August 29, 2025)
Overview: Bittensor introduced Dynamic TAO (dTAO), changing how new tokens are distributed. Instead of fixed rewards, validators now earn TAO based on how useful their AI subnet is, measured by performance scores across more than 63 AI subnets. This encourages higher-quality AI contributions.
What this means: This update is positive for TAO because it rewards valuable network activity and discourages low-quality or spammy subnets. However, some early technical issues with reward payouts caused a temporary 7% drop in TAO’s price right after the launch. (KoinSaati)
2. Safello TAO ETP Listings (August 19, 2025)
Overview: Swedish company Safello launched Europe’s first physically backed TAO Exchange Traded Product (ETP) on major European stock exchanges including SIX Swiss Exchange, Euronext Paris/Amsterdam, and Deutsche Börse Xetra. This product is aimed at institutional investors looking for regulated exposure to TAO.
What this means: This development is neutral to slightly positive for TAO. It makes TAO more accessible to traditional investors, but the initial $4.2 million invested is small compared to Bitcoin ETFs. Following the announcement, TAO’s price rose 8% in one week but later gave back some gains due to overall market fluctuations. (Binance Square)
3. TAO Halving Countdown (December 12, 2025)
Overview: Bittensor’s upcoming halving event will cut daily TAO token emissions in half—from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens—similar to Bitcoin’s approach to creating scarcity.
What this means: This is generally positive for TAO in the long run, as reduced supply can increase value. In 2021, TAO’s price rose 40% in the 90 days before a testnet halving. However, recent data shows a 7.24% decline over the past 30 days, suggesting traders may be cautious ahead of the event.
Conclusion
Bittensor is combining technical improvements (Dynamic TAO), new institutional investment options (ETPs), and scarcity mechanisms (halving) to carve out a unique position in the AI-focused cryptocurrency space. Currently, TAO trades at $354, down 10.54% from its July peak. The big question is whether December’s halving will trigger a supply shortage that boosts prices or reveal that the market has been relying too much on hype.
What is expected in the development of TAO?
Bittensor is making steady progress with these key updates:
- First Halving (December 12, 2025) – The daily supply of TAO tokens will be cut in half, dropping from 7,200 to 3,600 tokens.
- EVM Compatibility (2025) – Bittensor will support Ethereum-based networks, allowing AI models to work across multiple blockchains.
- Subnet SDK Improvements (2025) – New tools will make it easier to build and manage AI-focused sub-networks within Bittensor.
Deep Dive
1. First Halving (December 12, 2025)
What’s happening?
Bittensor will reduce the number of new TAO tokens created each day by 50%, similar to how Bitcoin limits its supply. This “halving” happens every four years and is designed to slow down token supply growth.
Why it matters:
This is generally good news for TAO holders because fewer new tokens could increase demand if more people start using the network. On the flip side, miners who help run the network might earn less, which could make it harder for some to stay profitable.
2. EVM Compatibility (2025)
What’s happening?
Bittensor is adding support for the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), the technology behind Ethereum and many other blockchains. This means AI models and decentralized apps (dApps) on Bittensor can also work on Ethereum-based networks, making it easier for developers to build and share across platforms (KoinSaati).
Why it matters:
This upgrade could boost TAO’s usefulness and popularity by connecting it with a larger blockchain ecosystem. However, it also means Bittensor will face competition from other established Ethereum-compatible networks, and technical challenges could arise during integration.
3. Subnet SDK Improvements (2025)
What’s happening?
The Subnet SDK is a set of developer tools that help create and manage smaller AI-focused networks within Bittensor. Recent updates improve how validators and miners work together and add features like liquidity pools for staking, using platforms like Uniswap V3 (KoinSaati).
Why it matters:
Better tools can encourage innovation and growth in the Bittensor ecosystem. But if too many low-quality subnets appear, it could weaken the network’s overall value unless governance keeps standards high.
Conclusion
Bittensor’s roadmap focuses on reducing token supply growth (halving), improving cross-chain compatibility (EVM), and expanding developer tools (SDK). The halving is the closest major event and could impact miners the most. Meanwhile, EVM support may open new opportunities for TAO in decentralized AI. The big questions are how miners will adjust to lower rewards and whether the network can maintain quality as it grows.
What updates are there in the TAO code base?
Bittensor’s latest updates focus on making the network more scalable, compatible with other blockchains, and better suited for decentralized AI applications.
- TAO Halving Activation (December 12, 2025) – Cuts daily token rewards in half to increase scarcity.
- EVM Compatibility Rollout (2024–2025) – Lets AI models run across multiple blockchain platforms like Ethereum.
- Subnet SDK Launch (2025) – Provides easy-to-use tools for building AI services on the network.
- Dynamic TAO Upgrade (February 2025) – Changes rewards to be based on AI performance and usage.
Deep Dive
1. TAO Halving Activation (December 12, 2025)
What’s happening: Bittensor will reduce the daily amount of TAO tokens given out from 7,200 to 3,600. This “halving” happens every four years and is designed to make TAO tokens more scarce, similar to how Bitcoin manages its supply.
Validators (the network’s operators) need to update their software by December to keep running smoothly.
Why it matters: Fewer tokens being created means TAO could become more valuable over time. Validators will have more incentive to maintain high-quality AI services since rewards are now scarcer. (Source)
2. EVM Compatibility Development (2024–2025)
What’s happening: Bittensor is making its network compatible with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), the technology behind Ethereum and similar blockchains like Polygon. This means AI models and decentralized apps (dApps) on Bittensor can also work on these other platforms.
Why it matters: This opens up new opportunities for developers to deploy AI services across different blockchains, increasing flexibility and reach. While it introduces more competition, it’s generally positive for TAO’s growth. (Source)
3. Subnet SDK Launch (2025)
What’s happening: Bittensor will release a Software Development Kit (SDK) that simplifies creating and managing AI subnets—smaller networks within Bittensor focused on specific AI tasks.
The SDK includes ready-made tools for things like distributing rewards and managing data, making it easier for developers to build AI services.
Why it matters: This encourages more developers to join and create diverse AI applications, helping the network grow and become more useful. (Source)
4. Dynamic TAO Upgrade (February 2025)
What’s happening: Instead of fixed token rewards, Bittensor will now reward validators based on how well their AI services perform and how much they’re used. Validators stake TAO tokens on specific subnets, creating competition that favors high-quality AI.
Why it matters: This aligns token rewards with real-world value, encouraging better AI outputs and making TAO more valuable. (Source)
Conclusion
Bittensor’s updates aim to support steady growth, expand its ecosystem, and reward quality AI work. With the upcoming halving, it will be interesting to see how validators adjust to earning fewer tokens while maintaining strong AI services.
Why did the price of TAO go up?
Bittensor (TAO) increased by 4.70% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market’s modest 0.77% gain. This follows a strong 14.35% rise over the past week, although TAO is still down 6.78% over the last 30 days. The main factors behind this movement include:
- Institutional buying – Companies like xTAO and TAO Synergies have been adding more TAO tokens to their portfolios, showing growing confidence.
- Technical breakout – TAO’s price surpassed a key resistance level at $353.47, signaling positive momentum.
- Altcoin rotation – The Altcoin Season Index jumped 117% over 30 days, benefiting AI-focused tokens like TAO.
Deep Dive
1. Institutional Demand Surge (Positive Signal)
What’s happening: Public companies such as xTAO and TAO Synergies are buying up large amounts of TAO tokens, similar to how MicroStrategy has invested in Bitcoin. For instance, xTAO currently holds 41,538 TAO (worth about $15.8 million as of July 2025), and TAO Synergies is aiming to build a $100 million treasury.
Why it matters: This reduces the number of tokens available on the market and shows strong belief in TAO’s role in decentralized AI technology. Additionally, corporate staking programs offer a 10% annual return, which locks up tokens and supports price growth.
Keep an eye on: Any new announcements about corporate purchases or token buybacks.
2. Technical Breakout (Positive Signal)
What’s happening: On September 11, TAO’s price moved above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $353.47. The 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 63.66, indicating bullish momentum, and the MACD indicator turned positive (+4.19), suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Why it matters: Traders often see breaking above Fibonacci levels as a sign that the price trend is shifting upward. The next key resistance is at $380.34, which could lead to some profit-taking if reached.
Keep an eye on: Whether TAO can maintain closing prices above $353.47.
3. Altcoin Season Momentum (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how altcoins perform compared to Bitcoin, has risen 117% in the past 30 days to a neutral level of 63. AI-related tokens like TAO have benefited from this shift. TAO’s 24-hour trading volume increased by 9.5% to $156 million, while Bitcoin’s market dominance dropped slightly by 0.41%.
Why it matters: TAO is gaining from investors rotating into altcoins, especially those focused on AI. However, AI tokens can be volatile—some competitors like FET and AGIX have not performed as well in the last 24 hours.
Keep an eye on: How AI tokens move together and changes in Bitcoin’s market share.
Conclusion
TAO’s recent price gains are driven by strong institutional buying, positive technical signals, and growing interest in AI-focused cryptocurrencies. However, it faces resistance near $380. The key question is whether corporate investors will continue accumulating TAO ahead of its first halving event in December 2025, which will cut daily token emissions by half. As TAO’s network ecosystem develops, it will be important to watch if it can maintain its momentum independently from the broader crypto market’s ups and downs.