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What could affect the price of SEI?

SEI balances strong technical improvements with some risks in its growing ecosystem amid a changing altcoin market.

  1. Giga Upgrade Adoption – Big boost in speed but faces competition from Layer 2 solutions (Mixed Impact)
  2. ETF Regulatory Path – SEC decisions on SEI-based ETFs coming soon, could drive price up (Bullish Catalyst)
  3. Token Unlock Dynamics – $20 million worth of tokens unlocking may put selling pressure on price (Bearish Risk)

Deep Dive

1. Giga Upgrade Adoption (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
In July 2025, Sei rolled out the “Giga Upgrade,” boosting its transaction speed to 200,000 transactions per second (TPS) with very fast confirmation times under 400 milliseconds. This makes SEI a strong player among Ethereum-compatible blockchains. However, competitors like Solana (65,000 TPS) and Hyperliquid (300,000 TPS) are also targeting similar users, especially institutions.

What this means:
For SEI to succeed, it needs Ethereum developers to build apps on its platform. Its higher speed could attract decentralized apps (dApps) that need fast processing (CoinDesk). But Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum’s Atlas upgrade offer cheaper ways to scale Ethereum, which could limit SEI’s growth. SEI must show real dApp migration by the end of 2025 to prove its advantage.

2. ETF Regulatory Path (Bullish Catalyst)

Overview:
Two companies, Canary Capital and 21Shares, have filed for SEI exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in April and August 2025. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to decide by early 2026. Approval could bring large institutional investments, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs. If rejected, SEI’s price could drop by 30% or more.

What this means:
If ETFs are approved, it would increase SEI’s market liquidity and attract big investors. For example, Grayscale’s Ethereum ETF saw trading volume increase over four times after approval. However, SEI’s market cap of $1.64 billion means it could experience sharp price swings if the ETF process stalls (The Block).

3. Token Unlock Dynamics (Bearish Risk)

Overview:
On July 15, 2025, 55.56 million SEI tokens worth about $20 million will become available for trading. This is less than some other projects’ unlocks but comes after SEI’s price has already dropped 17% since August.

What this means:
Historically, altcoins tend to drop about 9% after token unlocks (source: Messari). SEI’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 42, indicating a neutral market. If a large portion of these unlocked tokens (more than 15%) are sold quickly, it could push SEI’s price below the $0.25 support level. Watch for increased token flows into exchanges as a warning sign.

Conclusion

SEI’s price will depend on balancing positive ETF news with risks from new tokens entering the market and proving its technical strengths. The $0.25 to $0.30 price range will be critical to see if institutional investments can offset selling by regular investors. Also, keep an eye on SEI’s decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked (TVL) growth, which needs to stay above 30% quarterly despite a slow overall market. Upcoming SEC decisions and developer activity in October will provide important signals for SEI’s future direction.


What are people saying about SEI?

The Sei (SEI) community is divided between frustration over recent price drops and optimism about its strong technology. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Giga Upgrade excitement – Ambitious goal of 200,000 transactions per second (TPS) faces bearish price trends
  2. ETF filings vs. SEC delays – Traditional finance investments are on hold
  3. Wyoming’s stablecoin pilot – Regulatory support meets stagnant total value locked (TVL)

Deep Dive

1. @Kaffchad: Strong network metrics but undervalued price – bullish

“$SEI market cap is about $1.8 billion compared to Sui’s $12 billion. TVL is $680 million, up 31% month-over-month, with $300 million in stablecoin inflows. The market isn’t pricing in the Giga Upgrade’s leap to 200K TPS.”
– @Kaffchad (89K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-09-23 09:22 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive sign for SEI. Its network activity and locked value are growing faster than its price suggests, especially compared to competitors like Sui. If ETFs get approved, SEI’s price could catch up.

2. @gemxbt_agent: Price downtrend with possible rebounds – mixed

“SEI is trading below key moving averages, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35.2, recovering from oversold levels. There’s minor support at $0.29, but a drop to $0.27 is likely unless buyers push it above $0.3050.”
– @gemxbt_agent (142K followers · 850K impressions · 2025-08-22 14:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: The short-term outlook is uncertain. The technical indicators suggest SEI might bounce back from being oversold, or it could continue to fall, depending largely on Bitcoin’s price movements.

3. CoinMarketCap Community: Wyoming’s WYST stablecoin pilot – bullish

“SEI has been selected for Wyoming’s state stablecoin pilot program, with deployment expected by July 17. This could boost institutional interest.”
– CMC Community Post (Quality Score 9.0 · 2025-07-17 12:22 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive development for SEI. Being part of a government-backed blockchain project could prove its regulatory compliance and attract institutional investors. However, delays in SEC decisions on ETFs still create uncertainty.

Conclusion

The overall view on SEI is mixed. Its upcoming Giga Upgrade and Wyoming partnership show strong long-term potential, but daily active users have remained flat at around 800,000 since August, indicating some adoption challenges. Keep an eye on how quickly developers move to the new Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) after the upgrade—successful migration could spark a significant price rally, with some analysts predicting a 4.6x increase to $1.42 by 2028.


What is the latest news about SEI?

Sei is facing some challenges but also making important moves with big investors. Here’s the latest update:

  1. Bearish Signals Appear (September 29, 2025) – Transactions dropped 87%, and the price is close to a key support level.
  2. Securitize Grows Real-World Asset Tokenization (September 26, 2025) – A BlackRock-backed platform launched a new fund on Sei.
  3. Sei V2 Upgrade Underway (September 26, 2025) – Aiming to make DeFi and trading 20 times faster.

Deep Dive

1. Bearish Signals Appear (September 29, 2025)

What happened:
The price of SEI fell to $0.2645, matching lows from August and September. Network activity dropped sharply: monthly transactions fell by 87% to 57 million, active users decreased by 24%, and stablecoin holdings hit a six-month low of $140 million. The price chart shows a pattern called a descending triangle, which often signals further drops. Analysts warn that if the price breaks below support, it could fall another 50% to around $0.1325.

What this means:
This is a negative sign for SEI because fewer transactions and less liquidity usually mean less demand. The technical chart suggests the price could drop more. However, if SEI’s price climbs above $0.35, it could break this downtrend and improve the outlook.
(Source: crypto.news)

2. Securitize Grows Real-World Asset Tokenization (September 26, 2025)

What happened:
Securitize, a platform supported by BlackRock, launched the Apollo Diversified Credit Fund (ACRED) on the Sei blockchain. This fund manages $112 million in private credit assets and uses Sei’s technology to price assets daily and enable liquidity across different blockchains.

What this means:
This is good news for SEI because it shows growing interest from big financial players in using Sei for real-world assets (RWA). Demand for RWA tokenization has increased by 260% in 2025, and Sei is positioning itself as a key platform for regulated finance. More institutional investment could help balance out the ups and downs caused by retail traders.
(Source: The Defiant)

3. Sei V2 Upgrade Underway (September 26, 2025)

What happened:
The upcoming Sei V2 upgrade aims to make transactions 20 times faster by using parallel processing technology. The goal is to achieve transaction finality in under 300 milliseconds. Currently, over 81% of SEI tokens are staked, earning a 5.41% yield, and the total value locked (TVL) on the network is $113.88 million, despite a weak market.

What this means:
This is a cautiously positive development. The upgrade should improve Sei’s scalability and performance, but the price has dropped nearly 9% in the past week and hasn’t yet reflected these improvements. The success of the upgrade depends on attracting developers from Ethereum and other platforms after it launches.
(Source: MEXC News)

Conclusion

SEI is currently under pressure due to declining network activity and price weakness. However, growing institutional adoption through real-world asset tokenization and important technology upgrades offer hope for a turnaround. The price range between $0.26 and $0.35 will be critical to watch. Regulatory developments, like potential ETF approvals, and increased developer interest after the upgrade could change SEI’s momentum. The big question is whether Sei’s investments in infrastructure will outweigh the current drop in on-chain activity in the coming months.


What is expected in the development of SEI?

Sei’s roadmap highlights key technical improvements, ecosystem growth, and moves toward institutional adoption.

  1. Giga Upgrade (July 2025) – Aims for 200,000 transactions per second (TPS) and transaction finality under 400 milliseconds.
  2. Ecosystem Growth Programs (2025) – Includes grants, hackathons, and incentives to support developers and creators.
  3. Wyoming WYST Stablecoin Pilot (July 17, 2025) – Potential launch of a state-backed stablecoin on Sei.

In-Depth Look

1. Giga Upgrade (July 2025)

What it is:
The Giga Upgrade plans to significantly increase Sei’s speed by processing blocks in parallel, reaching up to 200,000 TPS and confirming transactions in less than 400 milliseconds. This makes Sei a strong candidate for fast, reliable applications like decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and real-time financial settlements.

Why it matters:
Faster speeds and lower delays could attract developers who are frustrated with slower networks like Ethereum. However, there’s still competition from other fast blockchains like Solana, so Sei will need to prove itself in key markets.

2. Ecosystem Growth Programs (2025)

What it is:
The Sei Foundation plans to support its community with:

Why it matters:
These programs aim to grow and diversify the Sei ecosystem. While promising, their success depends on attracting and keeping active developers and users. Key indicators to watch include total value locked (TVL), which is currently $682 million, and the number of active wallets, over 800,000 as of September 2025.

3. Wyoming WYST Stablecoin Pilot (July 17, 2025)

What it is:
Sei is a candidate for Wyoming’s WYST pilot, a program to launch a state-backed stablecoin. If chosen, this would demonstrate Sei’s ability to meet regulatory standards and handle large-scale, institutional use.

Why it matters:
Approval could bring significant institutional investment and credibility to Sei. However, delays or other blockchains like Aptos winning the pilot could slow this progress.

Conclusion

Sei’s roadmap combines cutting-edge technology upgrades with community support and regulatory partnerships. The biggest potential boost comes from institutional adoption through the WYST stablecoin pilot and upcoming ETF filings, such as Canary Capital’s pending review with the SEC. With growing interest in altcoins (the CMC Altcoin Season Index is at 64), Sei’s focus on speed and compliance could help it stand out against competitors like Sui and Aptos.


What updates are there in the SEI code base?

Sei's recent software updates focus on improving Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) performance and making the network more stable.

  1. RPC & Mempool Fixes (September 18, 2025) – Made transactions more reliable and improved how gas fees are estimated.
  2. EVM Precompile Upgrades (July 2025) – Made smart contract operations more efficient.
  3. Parallelized EVM Launch (Q2 2025) – Enabled transaction processing that’s 100 times faster.

Deep Dive

1. RPC & Mempool Fixes (September 18, 2025)

What happened: The v6.1.10 update focused on making the network’s communication and transaction handling more stable and efficient.
Key improvements:

Why it matters: These fixes help reduce failed transactions and improve the experience for users and developers working with decentralized apps on Sei. It also makes it easier for node operators to keep the network running smoothly. (Source)

2. EVM Precompile Upgrades (July 2025)

What happened: Updates to the evmrpc and precompiles parts of the code lowered the gas costs for common cryptographic tasks like hashing.
Key points:

Why it matters: This update is mostly routine maintenance. It helps developers save on fees but doesn’t introduce major new features. Still, it supports Sei’s goal of being compatible with Ethereum’s technology.

3. Parallelized EVM Launch (Q2 2025)

What happened: The v2 upgrade introduced a way to process many transactions at the same time instead of one after another.
Key features:

Why it matters: This is a big win for Sei. It makes the network much faster and more scalable, which can attract developers who want an Ethereum-compatible platform with better speed. Plus, it still supports CosmWasm, so existing apps won’t be left behind. (Source)

Conclusion

Sei’s recent updates show a clear focus on making the network faster and easier for developers to use. While there weren’t any groundbreaking changes in late Q3 2025, these steady improvements indicate that Sei is maturing as a platform. With institutions like Wyoming exploring Sei for stablecoin projects, it will be interesting to see if these technical advantages help Sei gain more users compared to competitors like Solana.


Why did the price of SEI fall?

Sei (SEI) dropped 2.55% to $0.272 in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 0.69%. Here’s why:

  1. Network activity sharply declined – Transactions fell 87% compared to last month, and active users dropped 24%.
  2. Price broke key support level – SEI’s price fell below $0.2645, triggering automatic sell orders.
  3. Shift toward Bitcoin – Investors moved money into Bitcoin, with its market dominance rising 0.59%, as risk appetite decreased.

In-Depth Analysis

1. Network Activity Decline (Negative for SEI)

Sei’s blockchain processed only 57 million transactions in September 2025, down from 440 million in August—an 87% drop (Crypto.News). The number of active addresses also fell 24% to 13 million. Additionally, stablecoin reserves on the network hit a 7-month low of $140 million.

Why this matters: Lower network use means less demand for SEI tokens, especially in decentralized finance (DeFi) and gaming applications. Since over 81% of SEI tokens are staked (locked up), validators who run the network may sell tokens to cover costs, adding selling pressure.

What to watch: Network fees on September 30. If daily fees stay below $20,000, it would confirm the downward trend.

2. Technical Price Breakdown (Negative for SEI)

SEI’s price fell below a key support level at $0.2645, which had held since August, forming a pattern called a descending triangle. Technical indicators like the MACD turned negative, and the RSI is at 38, suggesting there’s room for the price to fall further before it becomes oversold.

What this means: The next major support level could be around $0.1325, about 50% lower than the current price. The bearish trend would be reversed only if SEI’s price climbs back above $0.35.

Important level: The $0.25 price point is a psychological support. If SEI closes below this on high trading volume, it could lead to faster selling.

3. Broader Market Trends (Mixed Impact)

Bitcoin’s market dominance increased to 58.36% (+0.59% in 24 hours), while the Altcoin Season Index dropped to 56 out of 100. SEI’s 2.55% decline was steeper than the overall crypto market’s 0.69% drop.

What this means: Investors are favoring Bitcoin due to uncertainty around altcoin-related exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, SEI’s partnerships with big players like BlackRock-backed Securitize and PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin may help limit losses compared to smaller altcoins.

Summary

SEI’s recent price drop reflects a sharp decline in network use and a technical breakdown, worsened by a broader move away from altcoins. While its institutional partnerships add credibility and potential for long-term growth, traders should closely watch the $0.25 support level and September’s transaction data for signs of recovery.

Key point to watch: Can SEI maintain support at $0.25 ahead of the upcoming Sei V2 upgrade in October, which promises up to 20 times better performance?