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What could affect the price of SEI?

SEI balances promising growth opportunities with some competitive and regulatory challenges.

  1. Giga Upgrade (Positive) – A tech upgrade aiming for 200,000 transactions per second (TPS) could drive more users and developers.
  2. ETF & Stablecoin Pilots (Mixed) – Progress in regulatory approvals is promising but delays remain a concern.
  3. Ecosystem Growth (Positive) – Increasing decentralized finance (DeFi) activity and partnerships with institutional players show strong momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Upgrades & Scalability (Positive Impact)

Overview:
Sei’s upcoming “Giga Upgrade,” planned for late 2025, aims to handle 200,000 transactions per second with final confirmation times under 400 milliseconds by using parallel processing technology. This upgrade could attract developers from Ethereum who want faster and cheaper transaction processing.

What this means:
Faster and cheaper transactions are essential for blockchains focused on trading and finance. If successful, SEI could compete with networks like Solana and Sui, increasing demand for its token as more users and applications join the platform.

2. Regulatory Catalysts & ETFs (Mixed Impact)

Overview:

What this means:
If Wyoming’s pilot or the ETF applications get approved, it would show that SEI meets regulatory standards, potentially attracting more traditional finance investors. However, ongoing regulatory uncertainty could limit SEI’s growth in the near term.

3. Ecosystem & Real-World Asset (RWA) Adoption (Positive Impact)

Overview:
SEI’s decentralized finance total value locked (TVL) reached $682 million in July 2025, a 31% increase from the previous month, led by projects like Yei Finance. Partnerships with companies like Apollo and Securitize, which manage half of the tokenized U.S. Treasury market, highlight SEI’s growing role in institutional real-world asset tokenization (Binance News).

What this means:
Tokenizing real-world assets is a rapidly growing $23 billion market, expanding at 260% annually. SEI’s fast and scalable infrastructure positions it well to capture more of this market, boosting the utility and demand for its token.

Conclusion

SEI’s future value depends on successfully rolling out its technology upgrades, gaining regulatory approval for ETFs, and continuing growth in DeFi and real-world asset adoption. While its technical improvements and partnerships offer strong potential, competition from other blockchains like Solana and Sui, along with regulatory delays, remain risks. Key events to watch include the launch of the Giga Upgrade and Wyoming’s decision on the WYST pilot—these will show if SEI’s speed advantage leads to real-world adoption.


What are people saying about SEI?

The Sei (SEI) community is debating whether the $0.30 price level is a strong launchpad for growth or a trapdoor leading to declines. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Institutional momentum – ETF filings and Wyoming’s stablecoin pilot program are driving optimistic bets.
  2. Tech upgrades – The upcoming Giga upgrade promises a huge boost to speed (200,000 transactions per second), but short-term concerns about token unlocking remain.
  3. Price tug-of-war – Technical indicators show bearish signs, while on-chain data points to bullish potential.

Deep Dive

1. @Kaffchad: Undervalued chain metrics bullish

“Market cap at ~$1.8B vs Sui’s $12B… $SEI is undervalued with $680M TVL ATH and ETF filings.”
– @Kaffchad (182K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-09-23 09:22 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive sign for SEI. Its Total Value Locked (TVL)—the amount of assets held on the network—has grown 31% month-over-month, and institutional interest through ETF filings suggests strong fundamentals that the market hasn’t fully recognized yet.

2. @Tanaka_L2: Giga Upgrade hype mixed

“Giga Upgrade (July) → 50× throughput, but vesting supply drags sentiment. $0.30 = mid-term bid.”
– @Tanaka_L2 (89K followers · 650K impressions · 2025-09-10 06:08 UTC)
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What this means: This is a cautiously optimistic view. The Giga upgrade will increase transaction speed dramatically (up to 200,000 transactions per second), which could attract more developers and users. However, the scheduled unlocking of tokens (vesting supply) may cause some selling pressure in the short term.

3. @gemxbt_agent: Technical breakdown bearish

“SEI below 5/10/20H MAs, minor support at $0.29. MACD hints bounce but structure weak.”
– @gemxbt_agent (312K followers · 2.8M impressions · 2025-08-22 14:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bearish short-term outlook. SEI’s price has fallen below key moving averages (5, 10, and 20-hour averages), and although some technical indicators suggest a possible bounce, overall price structure looks weak. The failure to hold support at $0.30 and negative funding rates indicate traders are cautious.

Conclusion

The outlook for SEI is mixed. On one hand, strong fundamentals like the ETF pipeline and Wyoming’s stablecoin pilot support a bullish case. On the other hand, technical indicators and upcoming token unlocks create short-term risks. The Giga Upgrade positions SEI as a fast and competitive Layer 1 blockchain, but its price will likely remain influenced by Bitcoin’s performance around $119,000. Keep an eye on the SEC’s decision regarding Canary Capital’s staked-SEI ETF expected in Q4 2025, and whether SEI can maintain 1.8 million daily transactions after the upgrade.


What is the latest news about SEI?

Sei is growing its presence in Asia while making important technology advances, attracting more interest from big financial institutions. Here are the key updates:

  1. MIT-Backed Speed Tests (October 7, 2025) – Researchers at MIT recognized Sei’s blockchain for its fast transaction speeds, boosting its credibility.
  2. Major Real-World Asset Players Join (October 2, 2025) – Ondo Finance and Securitize now manage over half of the tokenized U.S. Treasury market on Sei.
  3. Japan Compliance Achieved (October 1, 2025) – Sei received full licensing to list on Binance Japan and OKX Japan, meeting strict local regulations.

In-Depth Look

1. MIT-Backed Speed Tests (October 7, 2025)

What happened: MIT researchers studied Sei’s blockchain technology and found it processes transactions much faster than Ethereum’s network—about 6.5 times quicker. This speed is important for applications like high-frequency trading and stablecoin payments, where every millisecond counts.
Why it matters: This research shows Sei’s technology is solid and reliable, which could attract developers building fast, decentralized finance (DeFi) apps like decentralized exchanges (DEXs). However, these improvements need to be added to Sei’s live network before users can benefit fully. (Decrypt)

2. Major Real-World Asset Players Join (October 2, 2025)

What happened: Ondo Finance and Securitize, two leaders in tokenizing real-world assets like U.S. Treasuries, launched their platforms on Sei. Together, they manage over $1.2 billion in tokenized assets using Sei’s technology, which supports easy transfers across different blockchains.
Why it matters: Controlling half of the tokenized Treasury market on Sei shows strong institutional confidence in Sei’s secure and compliant system. This could lead to more investments in stablecoins like USDY that offer steady returns. However, the growth depends on clear regulations around tokenized assets. (Binance)

3. Japan Compliance Achieved (October 1, 2025)

What happened: Sei earned full approval from Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA), allowing it to be listed on major Japanese exchanges Binance Japan and OKX Japan. The network also integrated popular stablecoins like USDC and tokenized funds from Apollo via Securitize.
Why it matters: Japan’s strict regulations make this a significant achievement, especially for a blockchain that isn’t based on Ethereum’s technology. This opens up access to one of Asia’s largest crypto markets, potentially increasing trading volume and liquidity. To keep growing, Sei will need to balance attracting big investors with offering user-friendly apps for everyday users. (Bitget)

Conclusion

Sei is making strong moves by combining academic research, partnerships with real-world asset platforms, and regulatory approvals. With Asia accounting for 38% of its trading volume in the third quarter, Sei is well-positioned to challenge established players like Solana in the decentralized finance space after its upcoming Giga upgrade.


What is expected in the development of SEI?

Sei’s development is moving forward with these key milestones:

  1. Giga Upgrade (Q4 2025) – A major boost to Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) performance, aiming to increase transaction speed by 50 times, reaching over 200,000 transactions per second (TPS).
  2. Staked SEI ETF Decision (Pending) – The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reviewing a proposal for a staked SEI exchange-traded fund (ETF), which could open the door for more institutional investors.
  3. Ecosystem Expansion (2025) – Increased support for developers, creators, and contributors through grants, funding, and special programs.

Deep Dive

1. Giga Upgrade (Q4 2025)

Overview:
The Giga Upgrade is designed to significantly improve Sei’s EVM capabilities by enabling it to process over 200,000 transactions per second with transaction finality (confirmation) in under 400 milliseconds. This is achieved through advanced parallel processing and storage improvements. The upgrade aims to make Sei a fast and efficient platform for decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and artificial intelligence (AI) applications (CoinDesk).

What this means:
This upgrade is positive for SEI because faster transaction speeds can attract developers who currently use Ethereum but need better scalability. However, if the upgrade faces delays or technical issues, it could slow down adoption and affect market sentiment.


2. Staked SEI ETF Decision (Pending)

Overview:
Canary Capital has proposed a staked SEI ETF, which is currently under review by the SEC. If approved, this ETF could bring in investment similar to what Bitcoin ETFs have seen. If rejected, it might create short-term uncertainty for SEI investors (CoinDesk).

What this means:
This situation is neutral but with strong potential upside. Approval would boost Sei’s credibility among institutional investors, but regulatory uncertainty remains a significant risk.


3. Ecosystem Expansion (2025)

Overview:
The Sei Foundation is increasing its support for the community by offering:

What this means:
This is a positive sign for long-term growth, as expanding the ecosystem encourages more use and development on Sei. However, challenges in execution or misaligned incentives could slow progress.


Conclusion

Sei’s roadmap combines technical improvements (Giga Upgrade), regulatory milestones (ETF decision), and community support to strengthen its position as a high-performance blockchain. While the outlook is generally positive, it’s important to watch how quickly the upgrade is adopted and how the SEC rules on the ETF. Will Sei’s speed advantage help it gain lasting developer interest compared to competitors like Solana?


What updates are there in the SEI code base?

Sei’s latest software updates focus on making Ethereum-compatible apps run faster and easier to build.

  1. Parallelized EVM Upgrade (June 2025) – Launched Sei v2 Devnet, which supports Ethereum apps running up to 100 times faster.
  2. SeiDB Storage Overhaul (Q2 2025) – Improved how data is stored, speeding up node syncing and lowering hardware needs.
  3. Developer Tooling Updates (July 2025) – Released new tools and libraries to help developers build apps that work across Ethereum and Cosmos blockchains.

Deep Dive

1. Parallelized EVM Upgrade (June 2025)

What happened: Sei v2 introduced a new way to run Ethereum smart contracts that processes many transactions at the same time. This means developers can move their Ethereum apps to Sei without changing their code, while benefiting from Sei’s very fast transaction finality (under 400 milliseconds).

This upgrade uses a method called optimistic concurrency control, similar to what Solana uses, but adapted for Ethereum’s system. It allows Sei to handle 20,000 to 30,000 transactions per second (TPS), solving Ethereum’s speed bottleneck.

Why it matters: This is great news for SEI because it connects Ethereum’s large developer community with Sei’s fast network. It’s especially attractive for apps like high-frequency trading and decentralized finance (DeFi) that need quick transaction speeds. (Source)

2. SeiDB Storage Overhaul (Q2 2025)

What happened: Sei redesigned its data storage system to reduce unnecessary data buildup and speed up how quickly nodes (computers that maintain the network) can sync with the blockchain. Syncing is now 80% faster, and validators need less powerful hardware—64GB RAM and 1TB SSD instead of more demanding setups.

SeiDB now keeps transaction history separate from the current state, making data access more efficient for the high volume of daily transactions (about 1.6 million).

Why it matters: This update doesn’t immediately impact SEI’s price but is important for keeping the network healthy and scalable as it grows. It makes running a node easier and more cost-effective.

3. Developer Tooling Updates (July 2025)

What happened: The @sei-js software package was expanded with new modules specifically for Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility, like @sei-js/evm and @sei-js/precompiles. New command-line tools were also added to help developers build apps that work across both Cosmos and Ethereum blockchains.

Recent updates included support for EIP-6963 wallets and Ledger hardware wallets, making it simpler for users to manage assets across chains. Sei aims to be the “JavaScript of blockchains,” focusing on easy-to-use tools for developers.

Why it matters: This is positive for SEI because easier development tools can speed up the growth of its app ecosystem. However, success depends on whether Ethereum-based projects decide to move or build on Sei. (Source)

Conclusion

Sei is evolving its technology to be a fast, scalable alternative for running Ethereum-compatible apps. Core upgrades like the parallelized EVM and SeiDB storage improvements build a strong technical foundation, while new developer tools aim to attract more builders. The big question remains: can Sei’s hybrid approach draw enough Ethereum projects to support its $1.86 billion market value, especially with competition from other Layer 2 solutions?


Why did the price of SEI fall?

Sei (SEI) dropped 5.67% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 3.46%. Three main reasons explain this decline:

  1. Profit-taking after recent price gains
  2. Technical resistance at important moving averages
  3. Delays in ETF approvals affecting market sentiment

1. Profit-Taking Pressure (Negative Impact)

What happened: SEI’s price increased 5.67% over the past week, briefly hitting $0.30 before pulling back today. Trading volume over 24 hours dropped by 8.82% to $158 million, showing less buying activity.

What it means: Traders who made profits during SEI’s recent rally likely sold some of their holdings. This comes after SEI’s price surged 72% in September 2025, partly due to Wyoming selecting it for a stablecoin pilot program. The turnover ratio (volume divided by market cap) of 0.0901 indicates there’s moderate liquidity to handle these sales.

2. Technical Resistance at Key Levels (Negative Impact)

What happened: SEI is facing resistance near its 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $0.305 and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.300. The MACD indicator shows weak bullish momentum (+0.0011), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.43 suggests the market is neutral.

What it means: The price struggled to stay above the important $0.30 level, which caused some stop-loss orders to trigger, leading to more selling. The Fibonacci retracement tool shows immediate support at $0.285, but this level didn’t hold during the recent sell-off.

What to watch: If SEI closes below $0.285, it could test the next support level at $0.266.

3. Macro Sentiment Drag (Mixed Impact)

What happened: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) delayed decisions on over 100 crypto ETFs, including those related to SEI, due to a government shutdown, as reported by AMBCrypto on October 2.

What it means: Although SEI’s institutional adoption is growing—Ondo and Securitize control 50% of tokenized U.S. Treasuries—regulatory uncertainty has created some hesitation among investors. The crypto Fear & Greed Index stands at 62, indicating traders are still optimistic but cautious.


Conclusion

SEI’s recent price drop is a natural result of profit-taking after strong gains in September, combined with technical resistance and delays in ETF approvals. Long-term, SEI benefits from expanding partnerships in Real-World Assets (RWA) and an upcoming “Giga Upgrade” expected to boost transaction speeds to 200,000 per second in Q4 2025. However, short-term price swings are likely to continue.

What to watch: Can SEI maintain support at $0.272 (the July low) as derivatives open interest rises by 13.62% in 24 hours? Keep an eye on SEC ETF approval timelines once the government reopens.