What could affect the price of VET?
VeChain's price is balancing between technical signals and real-world use cases.
- Upcoming Protocol Upgrades – The Renaissance roadmap’s Hayabusa update (expected Q4 2025) will introduce decentralized staking and a new fee-burning system.
- Cross-Chain Expansion – Integration with Wanchain opens up decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity across more than 40 blockchains, supported by secure bridges handling over $1.5 billion.
- Institutional Adoption – Partnerships like BitGo custody and compliance with MiCA regulations are encouraging more enterprise involvement, backed by $15 million in staking rewards.
Deep Dive
1. Protocol Upgrades & Tokenomics (Positive Outlook)
Overview: The Renaissance upgrade includes the Hayabusa update (VIP-253/254), which will change VeChainThor’s consensus from Proof of Authority to Delegated Proof of Stake by the end of 2025. This shift will offer dynamic rewards in VTHO tokens for stakers and burn 100% of base transaction fees, helping reduce inflation. The StarGate staking program has already set aside 5.48 billion VTHO (about $15 million) to encourage participation.
What this means: By slowing the growth of VTHO supply, the economic relationship between VET and VTHO could strengthen, which has historically been linked to price increases. Staking yields around 9% annual percentage yield (APY) might attract long-term investors. However, a 41% drop in on-chain activity during Q2 suggests some caution (MEXC News).
2. Cross-Chain Liquidity & Partnerships (Mixed Impact)
Overview: In July, VeChain integrated with Wanchain, enabling VET and VTHO tokens to move across Ethereum, Bitcoin, Solana, and other blockchains. VeChain also teamed up with Visa for Stella Pay cards and with 4ocean for environmental token projects.
What this means: Expanding across multiple blockchains could increase demand for VET, but competition from other Layer 1 blockchains like Hedera and Chainlink may limit its uniqueness. The bridge connects to a DeFi market with $116 billion in total value locked (TVL), but VeChain’s 24-hour trading volume of $36.6 million remains relatively low compared to competitors (Bitcoinist).
3. Regulatory Tailwinds & Market Sentiment (Positive with Risks)
Overview: The SEC’s July 2025 guidance on staking and VeChain’s MiCA license in Europe make it easier for institutions to invest. Analysts such as Michaël van de Poppe see potential for a “200% breakout” if VET holds above $0.025.
What this means: Clearer regulations reduce legal uncertainties, but the market’s Fear & Greed Index at 43 (neutral) and a 12% price drop over the past month suggest cautious investor sentiment. Interestingly, large holders (whales) have increased their VET holdings by 12% in wallets with over 1 million VET, while smaller investors appear to be selling (CoinMarketCap).
Conclusion
VeChain’s price will depend heavily on the success of the Hayabusa upgrade and whether cross-chain liquidity can compensate for weaker on-chain activity. The $0.021 to $0.025 price range is key: breaking above the 20-week exponential moving average (EMA) at $0.025 could confirm a bullish trend, while failing to hold this level might lead to retesting lows seen earlier in 2025. A critical question remains—how quickly will increased staking participation offset the current 3.8% quarterly growth in VTHO supply?
What are people saying about VET?
VeChain’s community is debating whether its new focus on staking can overcome recent downward price trends. Here’s what’s happening:
- Analysts disagree on whether VeChain will break above $0.0232 resistance or drop to test $0.01771 support next
- Stargate Staking is gaining attention with 5 billion VET tokens locked, but price momentum is slowing
- Partnership with BitGo is boosting hopes for more institutional interest, despite a 12% price drop over the past month
Deep Dive
1. @CryptoMichNL: Staking Scarcity Thesis Bullish
"Fundamental growth isn’t priced in – Stargate locks 5B VET, cutting inflation"
– @CryptoMichNL (391K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-05-15 18:33 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for VeChain because staking has locked up 5 billion VET tokens since July, reducing the number of tokens available for trading. If demand picks up, this could push prices higher. However, the recent 12% monthly price drop shows that many investors remain cautious.
2. @johnmorganFL: $0.0232 Breakout Setup Mixed
Trade setup: Entry $0.02310, Take Profit $0.02400, Stop Loss $0.02270
– @johnmorganFL (82K followers · 480K impressions · 2025-08-02 05:46 UTC)
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What this means: The short-term outlook is uncertain. VeChain faces strong resistance at $0.0232, which it has tested three times in August. Limited trading volume around this price could lead to bigger price swings.
3. Crypto Patel (CryptoFrontNews): Bearish Liquidation Target
"Untouched $0.01771 liquidity pool magnetizes price after failed $0.024 reclaim"
– Crypto Patel (Source: CryptoFrontNews, 2025-06-15 23:00 UTC)
What this means: This is a negative signal for VeChain. The price has repeatedly failed to stay above $0.024, indicating weak buying interest. If the $0.022 support level breaks, the price could fall by about 19% toward $0.01771.
Conclusion
Opinions on VeChain are divided. Supporters point to the benefits of staking reducing token supply and growing enterprise partnerships, while skeptics focus on failed price breakouts and weakening technical indicators. Keep an eye on the $0.022 support level (last tested on September 28) and whether daily closing prices can rise above $0.0232 to see if buyers or sellers are in control.
What is the latest news about VET?
VeChain is tackling challenges in the second quarter with important upgrades, while analysts watch for key technical signals. Here’s the latest update:
- Galactica Mainnet Launch (July 1, 2025) – Introduced dynamic fees and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility.
- Wanchain Cross-Chain Partnership (June 24, 2025) – Connected VeChain to 42 blockchains for easier token transfers.
- Analyst Sees Bullish Potential (September 22, 2025) – Michaël van de Poppe predicts a rise to $0.12 if VET breaks key resistance.
In-Depth Look
1. Galactica Mainnet Launch (July 1, 2025)
What happened:
VeChain rolled out the Galactica upgrade, which brought in dynamic VTHO fee burning, made the network compatible with Ethereum’s smart contracts (EVM), and improved the staking system. This follows the earlier StarGate update in April, which shifted rewards to NFT-based staking and increased incentives for validators.
Why it matters:
These changes aim to attract more developers by making smart contracts more flexible and lowering transaction costs through fee burning. However, network activity dropped by 9.7% in Q2, and the price of VTHO fell by 14%, showing that adoption still faces hurdles. (MEXC)
2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Partnership (June 24, 2025)
What happened:
VeChain teamed up with Wanchain to link its blockchain with 42 others, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. This allows users to transfer VeChain tokens like VET, VTHO, and B3TR across different blockchains. The bridge has handled $1.5 billion in transactions so far without any security issues.
Why it matters:
This connection could increase the use and liquidity of VeChain’s tokens, especially in decentralized finance (DeFi). It supports VeChain’s goal of enterprise adoption but will need steady demand to make up for a 41% drop in transaction clauses during Q2. (MEXC)
3. Analyst Sees Bullish Potential (September 22, 2025)
What happened:
Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe pointed out that VET could break above its 20-week moving average at $0.025, potentially leading to a 200% price increase to $0.12. This outlook came after VeChain announced plans to integrate AI through its VeBetterDAO whitepaper.
Why it matters:
While the technical indicators look promising, VET has faced some pressure, dropping 12% over the past month and 4.8% in the last week. Holding above $0.025 will be key to confirming a bullish trend. (DailyHODL)
Conclusion
VeChain is working through challenges like lower network activity and excess VTHO supply while rolling out important upgrades like Galactica and the Wanchain bridge. Positive technical signals add to the optimism. Upcoming developments in Q3 and Q4, including full delegated Proof of Stake (dPoS) and JSON-RPC support, could bring more developers back to the platform. The big question is whether cross-chain adoption will make up for the recent slowdown in on-chain activity.
What is expected in the development of VET?
VeChain’s 2025 roadmap centers on improving its technology, updating how its tokens work, and growing its community.
- Hayabusa Mainnet (Q3 2025) – Updates to token rules and consensus to encourage more staking.
- Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025) – New staking levels and a better way to distribute VTHO rewards for active users.
- Interstellar Phase (2026) – Making VeChain work smoothly with other blockchains and expanding global use.
Deep Dive
1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Q3 2025)
Overview: The Hayabusa update brings new tokenomics, including fewer VTHO tokens being created and changes to how the network reaches agreement (consensus). The goal is to give users more control and reward those who participate, like staking or building apps.
What this means: This is good news for VET holders because it could make VTHO tokens (used for transactions) scarcer and encourage people to hold their tokens longer. However, sudden changes might cause short-term price swings if people don’t adopt the updates quickly.
2. Upgraded Node System (Q4 2025)
Overview: VeChain will introduce new Economic Node levels where users can stake VET to become validators or earn rewards. Unlike previous X Nodes, this system links VTHO rewards directly to how much users contribute.
What this means: This is somewhat positive—smaller holders get more chances to stake, but some long-time users might be disappointed by no new X Node options. The success depends on how attractive the rewards are compared to other options like Ethereum staking.
3. Interstellar Phase (2026)
Overview: This phase aims to connect VeChain with other blockchains using JSON RPC technology and build infrastructure to support businesses. Partnerships like the Wanchain Bridge (July 2025) help VeChain access decentralized finance (DeFi) across multiple chains.
What this means: This is promising for VeChain’s usefulness—being able to work with other blockchains can attract developers building cross-chain apps. But there’s risk since this will take over a year and depends on growth in the wider blockchain ecosystem.
Conclusion
VeChain’s roadmap focuses on making its economy sustainable (Hayabusa) and integrating with real-world businesses (Interstellar), with node upgrades connecting these goals. While the technical plans are ambitious, key indicators like VTHO burn rates after the Galactica update and cross-chain total value locked (TVL) will be important to watch.
Could VeChain’s emphasis on regulated partnerships, like BitGo custody, help it become a leader in enterprise Web3 adoption?
What updates are there in the VET code base?
VeChain’s latest updates focus on improving cross-chain connections, enhancing staking options, and providing better tools for developers.
- Cross-Chain Bridge Integration (May 21, 2025) – VeChain connected to Ethereum, Bitcoin, and over 40 other blockchains through Wanchain.
- Galactica Upgrade (July 1, 2025) – Added full Ethereum compatibility and easier developer access with JSON RPC.
- StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025) – Revamped staking with NFT-based participation and improved token economics.
Deep Dive
1. Cross-Chain Bridge Integration (May 21, 2025)
Overview: VeChain teamed up with Wanchain to launch its first cross-chain bridge. This allows users to move VeChain tokens like VET, VTHO, and B3TR smoothly between Ethereum, Bitcoin, Solana, and more than 40 other blockchain networks.
Wanchain’s decentralized system has handled billions in cross-chain transactions since 2017. This integration also brings wrapped versions of USDT and USDC stablecoins to VeChainThor, opening up new opportunities for decentralized finance (DeFi) activities like swapping tokens, lending, and supporting business uses such as tokenized commerce.
What this means: This is a positive development for VeChain because it increases the usefulness and liquidity of its ecosystem. It also attracts developers and businesses looking for multi-chain solutions. (Source)
2. Galactica Upgrade (July 1, 2025)
Overview: As part of VeChain’s “Renaissance” plan, this upgrade made VeChainThor fully compatible with Ethereum’s tools by adding EVM equivalence and JSON RPC support.
This means developers can now easily move Ethereum-based decentralized apps (dApps) to VeChain with little effort. JSON RPC support also makes it simpler to connect wallets and analytics tools. Additionally, the upgrade burns all base transaction fees to reduce inflation of the VTHO token.
What this means: While the short-term impact is neutral, this upgrade is promising for the future. It lowers the barrier for Ethereum developers to build on VeChain’s network, which offers lower fees. (Source)
3. StarGate Staking Launch (July 1, 2025)
Overview: The StarGate program introduced a new staking method called Weighted Delegated Proof-of-Stake. Users can stake VET tokens through NFTs, with a minimum of 10,000 VET required.
A bonus pool of 5.48 billion VTHO tokens (about $15 million) will be distributed over six months to reward early participants. The update also removes centralized validators who required KYC, making block production more decentralized.
What this means: This is a strong positive for VeChain because it encourages users to hold their tokens longer and improves network security by involving more participants. (Source)
Conclusion
VeChain’s recent updates focus on making the network more connected, developer-friendly, and sustainable. The Wanchain bridge and Ethereum compatibility position VeChain as a key player in cross-chain DeFi, while the StarGate staking program aligns with clearer regulations. The big question is how VeChain will use these improvements to boost enterprise adoption in the last quarter of 2025.