What could affect the price of FET?
FET faces challenges from partnership issues and technical weaknesses.
- Alliance Breakdown Risk – Ocean Protocol leaving the ASI Alliance has led to legal disputes and token sell-offs (negative)
- Oversold Market Signals – RSI at 12.6 suggests a possible short-term price rebound (mixed)
- Market Pressure – Bitcoin dominance at 58.7% limits gains for altcoins like FET (negative)
Detailed Analysis
1. Alliance Stability Concerns (Negative Impact)
Summary: In October 2025, Ocean Protocol left the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (ASI), leading to accusations of an $84 million FET token sell-off (Cointelegraph). Binance stopped accepting OCEAN deposits on October 20, raising worries about liquidity. As a result, FET’s price fell 43% in one week to $0.26, shaking confidence in partnerships involving multiple projects.
What this means: The ongoing dispute means many OCEAN token holders (270 million tokens) may continue selling, and legal uncertainty remains. Until the conflict is resolved or governance improves, FET faces pressure from alliance instability—a significant risk for a token built on collaborative AI technology.
2. Technical Indicators & Liquidity (Mixed Impact)
Summary: FET’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) over 7 days is extremely low at 12.6, indicating it’s heavily oversold. However, other indicators like the MACD show bearish trends. The current price is 60% below its 30-day average price ($0.518) and 75% below its 200-day average ($0.71). The $0.26 price level aligns with a key Fibonacci retracement support point (78.6%).
What this means: The oversold condition could lead to a short-term price bounce, but weak trading volume (down 30% in the last 24 hours) and Bitcoin’s dominance in the market limit upward movement. If FET falls below $0.26, automated trading systems might trigger further sell-offs, potentially pushing the price down to the 2025 low of $0.1497.
3. Overall Crypto Market Sentiment (Negative Impact)
Summary: The Fear & Greed Index for crypto is at 25, indicating fear among investors, and altcoin season metrics are low at 23 out of 100 (CMC). Bitcoin’s market dominance reached 58.7% on October 18, drawing investment away from altcoins. FET’s price movement has become closely tied to Bitcoin, with a 90-day correlation of 0.82.
What this means: For FET to recover, the broader altcoin market needs to improve, which depends on Bitcoin losing some of its dominance. Until that happens, even positive developments like CUDOS’s GPU integration—which offers 50% cost savings compared to AWS—may not be enough to counteract the overall market downturn.
Conclusion
FET’s price outlook is a balance between risks from alliance conflicts and technical overselling, alongside potential growth in the AI sector. The $0.26 price level is crucial—holding this support could lead to a bounce back to around $0.35, while falling below it may accelerate declines. Keep an eye on Binance’s OCEAN/FET order books after October 20 for signs of increased selling. The key question remains: can the ASI Alliance resolve governance issues before technical support breaks down?
What are people saying about FET?
The community around Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is divided between hopeful tech progress and ongoing alliance conflicts. Here’s what’s currently making headlines:
- Legal troubles after Ocean Protocol leaves the ASI Alliance
- Traders debating if $0.26 is a good deal or a trap
- Developers focusing on ASI’s $10,000 ETHGlobal AI agent competition
In-Depth Look
1. @Fetch_ai: Alliance Breakup Leads to Legal Issues bearish
"Ocean Protocol secretly swapped 661 million OCEAN tokens for 286 million FET tokens (worth $84 million) and sold them on Binance – we’re supporting class action lawsuits."
– @Fetch_ai (1.2M followers · 850K impressions · Oct 16, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC)
See original post
What this means: This is negative news for FET because the ASI Alliance’s reputation is taking a hit. FET’s price dropped 43% in a week to $0.26. The legal uncertainty could keep selling pressure high.
2. @CryptoTA: Key Support Level Holds, Suggesting Upside bullish
“FET is trading in the same price range that previously led to massive 15,000% gains. Demand between $0.35 and $0.65 could drive a third wave up to $24.”
– CryptoTA (220K followers · 18K impressions · Aug 5, 2025, 8:31 AM UTC)
See original post
What this means: This is positive for FET because the long-term upward trend is still in place. However, the price falling below $0.35 (now at $0.26) is a warning sign that the trend could break down.
3. @ASI_Alliance: $10,000 AI Agent Contest Launches neutral
“Create autonomous agents using ASI:One/MeTTa at ETHGlobal NYC – the best projects will share $10,000 in prizes.”
– @ASI_Alliance (890K followers · 320K impressions · Aug 9, 2025, 8:01 AM UTC)
See original post
What this means: This is neutral for FET. It highlights growth in the developer community, but progress may be slowed by the fallout from Ocean Protocol’s departure.
Summary
The overall outlook for FET is cautiously negative, with the community split between concerns over alliance issues and belief in its AI technology potential. While a $50 million token buyback in June 2025 and developer programs offer some hope, the $84 million token controversy and Binance’s suspension of OCEAN deposits in October 2025 weigh heavily on sentiment. Keep an eye on the $0.20 to $0.26 price range—falling below this could break long-term positive trends, while climbing back above $0.35 might encourage renewed buying interest.
What is the latest news about FET?
The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is facing serious challenges as legal disputes and token controversies have caused FET’s price to drop 31% in just one week. Here’s what’s happening:
- Ocean vs. Fetch.ai Dispute (October 16, 2025) – An $84 million token controversy sparks lawsuits and breaks up the alliance.
- Binance Stops OCEAN Deposits (October 20, 2025) – The exchange suspends deposits of ERC-20 OCEAN tokens amid concerns over FET sell-offs.
- Price and Technical Update (October 15, 2025) – FET’s price falls to $0.26, down 81% over the past year, with technical indicators showing it’s oversold.
In-Depth Look
1. Ocean vs. Fetch.ai Dispute (October 16, 2025)
What happened:
Fetch.ai’s CEO, Humayun Sheikh, accused Ocean Protocol of secretly creating 719 million OCEAN tokens in 2023. In July 2025, Ocean allegedly converted 661 million of those tokens into 286 million FET tokens, worth about $84 million. Blockchain records show that 76 million FET tokens were moved to Binance and GSR Markets wallets in July, and another 200 million FET tokens were sent to Gnosis Safe wallets in August. Following this, Ocean left the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, and Sheikh is now funding class-action lawsuits in three different legal areas.
Why it matters:
This dispute has shaken confidence in the alliance’s leadership and raised questions about how FET tokens are managed. Ocean’s exit means 270 million OCEAN tokens, held by around 37,000 wallets, are now trading separately, which splits liquidity and weakens the market. After the news, FET’s price dropped 10%. (Yahoo Finance)
2. Binance Stops OCEAN Deposits (October 20, 2025)
What happened:
Binance announced it would no longer accept deposits of ERC-20 OCEAN tokens starting October 20, warning users that deposits made after this date could result in losing their assets. Although Binance didn’t directly link this decision to the ongoing dispute, Fetch.ai’s CEO sees it as confirmation of his concerns about Ocean’s token activities.
Why it matters:
This move shows Binance is managing risks connected to the FET-OCEAN conflict. It could reduce liquidity for OCEAN tokens and ease selling pressure on FET tokens converted from OCEAN. Despite this, FET’s price remains near a two-year low at $0.26. (Cointelegraph)
3. Price and Technical Update (October 15, 2025)
What happened:
On October 15, FET’s price dropped 17% to $0.26, falling below a key support level of $0.30. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool that measures if an asset is overbought or oversold, hit 28, indicating FET is oversold. The MACD, another technical indicator, suggested a possible price reversal. However, FET’s market ranking has fallen sharply from #39 in late 2024 to #129, showing declining investor confidence.
Why it matters:
These technical signals suggest that FET may have hit a low point, but weak fundamentals—like the alliance breaking apart and a 61% price drop in the past month—limit chances for a strong recovery. A short-term bounce could push prices back to $0.30–$0.35, but lasting improvement depends on legal outcomes and rebuilding partnerships. (Yahoo Finance)
Conclusion
FET is under significant pressure due to the collapse of the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance and allegations of mismanagement. Still, oversold market conditions and Binance’s actions provide some hope for stability. With Ocean Protocol planning token buybacks and Fetch.ai pursuing legal action, the future of decentralized AI governance hangs in the balance—will it adapt and recover, or face further breakdown?
What is expected in the development of FET?
The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) has a clear plan to build decentralized AI infrastructure and grow its ecosystem:
- Agentic Discovery Hub (Q4 2025) – An interactive platform that uses autonomous AI agents to evaluate projects.
- Cross-Chain MeTTa Compatibility (2025–2026) – Expanding their AI programming language to work across multiple blockchains.
- ASI Chain Development (2026+) – Creating a modular blockchain designed specifically for decentralized AI coordination.
Deep Dive
1. Agentic Discovery Hub (Q4 2025)
What it is:
Launching in late 2025, this hub will offer dashboards showing key performance indicators (KPIs) and an AI-powered interface to explore projects within the ASI ecosystem. It’s designed to make it easier for investors and users to assess projects by providing real-time data all in one place.
Why it matters:
This is a positive step for FET because it improves the usefulness of the ecosystem and could attract more investment. However, there’s a risk that integrating the autonomous agents or getting users to adopt the platform might take longer than expected.
2. Cross-Chain MeTTa Compatibility (2025–2026)
What it is:
The alliance is working on making MeTTa, their AI programming language, compatible across different blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. This means AI agents could operate smoothly on multiple networks (Singularity Finance H2 2025 Roadmap).
Why it matters:
This could expand how FET is used by allowing AI agents to work across various platforms, which is a good sign. But the technical challenges and competition from other cross-chain solutions, like Polkadot’s XCM, could slow progress.
3. ASI Chain Development (2026+)
What it is:
A longer-term project to build a modular blockchain focused on decentralized AI coordination. This chain would support AI agent economies, data marketplaces, and work well with other blockchains.
Why it matters:
In the long run, this could be very beneficial by reducing dependence on Ethereum and improving scalability. On the downside, if development takes longer than expected or funding runs short, it could delay benefits.
Conclusion
The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance is focusing on tools to make AI project discovery easier by late 2025 and building infrastructure for cross-chain growth starting in 2026. Although the recent departure of Ocean Protocol creates some partnership uncertainty, FET’s emphasis on modular AI infrastructure positions it well to meet the rising demand for decentralized AI solutions. The key question remains: how will the ASI Chain balance innovation with readiness for the market?
What updates are there in the FET code base?
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is focused on building decentralized AI infrastructure and has recently rolled out important software updates to improve its platform.
- ASI-1 Mini Optimization (August 9, 2025) – Improved AI performance by making better use of hardware and automating agent frameworks.
- ETHGlobal Developer Challenge (August 15, 2025) – Launched developer tools to build AI agents that work across multiple blockchain networks.
- Autonomous Trading Agents (July 18, 2025) – Added support for smart contracts that let AI agents trade cryptocurrencies automatically without needing manual coding.
Deep Dive
1. ASI-1 Mini Optimization (August 9, 2025)
Overview:
ASI-1 Mini is a streamlined AI model designed to run efficiently on everyday computer hardware. The latest update makes it 40% less demanding on computing power, so it can run on common graphics cards found in consumer computers. This helps more people and businesses access decentralized AI tools without needing expensive equipment.
What this means:
This is a positive development for FET because it lowers the barrier for developers and companies to create AI-powered applications. This could speed up the adoption of FET’s technology. (Source)
2. ETHGlobal Developer Challenge (August 15, 2025)
Overview:
FET introduced a $10,000 prize to encourage developers to use its software tools—ASI:One (user interface framework), MeTTa (programming language), and Agentverse (agent management)—to build AI agents that can operate across different blockchain networks like Ethereum, Solana, and Cosmos.
The new software development kits (SDKs) make it easier for these AI agents to connect with various blockchain services and APIs.
What this means:
While this may not have an immediate impact, it’s a positive sign for the future. Encouraging developers to build interoperable AI agents helps grow the FET ecosystem and supports the long-term goal of scalable decentralized AI. (Source)
3. Autonomous Trading Agents (July 18, 2025)
Overview:
Singularity Finance, FET’s decentralized finance (DeFi) branch, launched new code that allows AI agents to automatically execute trades on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) without manual programming. These agents use live market data and user-defined risk settings to make trading decisions.
The update also includes improvements that reduce transaction fees by about 15%, which is especially helpful for frequent trading.
What this means:
This is a strong positive for FET because it adds practical use cases in the fast-growing DeFi space. It also supports FET’s vision of AI agents driving economic activity. (Source)
Conclusion
FET’s recent software updates focus on making its AI platform more scalable, affordable, and accessible to developers. By reducing hardware requirements with ASI-1 Mini and providing tools like Agentverse to encourage innovation, FET is positioning itself as a key player in the decentralized AI economy. The big question remains: how will these improvements help FET compete with centralized AI leaders like OpenAI?
Why did the price of FET fall?
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) dropped 2.92% in the last 24 hours, adding to a 29.58% decline over the past week. Here’s why:
- Alliance Breakdown – Ocean Protocol left ASI, causing sell-offs and legal issues.
- Token Dumping Concerns – Over $84 million worth of FET tokens moved to exchanges, sparking panic.
- Technical Weakness – While FET is oversold, bearish signals remain strong.
Deep Dive
1. Alliance Breakdown & Token Issues (Negative Impact)
What happened:
On October 9, 2025, Ocean Protocol suddenly left the ASI Alliance, accusing the group of secretly creating 719 million OCEAN tokens in 2023 and converting 661 million of those into about 286 million FET tokens, worth roughly $84 million. Blockchain records show that 76 million FET tokens were transferred to Binance and market makers like GSR in July 2025 (Yahoo Finance).
Why it matters:
This dispute damaged trust in ASI’s leadership, causing investors to sell off their tokens quickly. Binance even stopped accepting OCEAN deposits on October 20, 2025, which made liquidity concerns worse. FET’s price dropped 10% on October 15 as the conflict intensified.
What to watch:
The results of arbitration under the ASI merger agreement and whether OCEAN tokens will be relisted on exchanges.
2. Technical Weakness & Market Mood (Negative Impact)
Current status:
FET is trading at $0.262, well below its 7-day average price of $0.3235 and 30-day average of $0.5184. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 19.16, indicating the token is heavily oversold. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows continued downward momentum.
What this means:
Even though the oversold condition might suggest a price rebound, the overall market structure is weak, with prices below key averages. The crypto market’s “Fear” sentiment score is low at 25 out of 100, which means investors are cautious. Trading volume for FET dropped 26% in 24 hours to $94 million, showing less market activity.
3. Altcoin Performance Compared to Bitcoin (Mixed Impact)
Market context:
The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index is at 24 out of 100, signaling that Bitcoin is currently dominating the market. Bitcoin’s market share has risen to 58.76%. FET’s price has fallen 61.14% over the past 30 days, much more than the overall crypto market’s 10.71% decline.
What this means:
Investors are moving money from altcoins like FET to Bitcoin due to economic uncertainty. FET’s bigger drop compared to similar projects (for example, Bittensor fell 30% last week) suggests there are specific problems affecting FET beyond general market trends.
Conclusion
FET’s recent price drop is due to a combination of internal conflicts within the alliance, accusations of token dumping, and a weak altcoin market overall. While the oversold condition might lead to a short-term bounce, ongoing disputes and poor technical signals keep the outlook negative. Key point to watch: Will FET hold the $0.26 support level, or will arbitration developments push the price even lower?