What is expected in the development of HBAR?

Hedera is making important progress with these key updates:

1. Mainnet Upgrade (October 8, 2025) – Introducing batch transactions to improve efficiency.
2. AI Governance Pilot (Q4 2025) – Creating tamper-proof oversight for public AI systems.
3. Stablecoin Studio Expansion (2026) – Growing stablecoin infrastructure focused on the Asia-Pacific region.

Deep Dive

1. Mainnet Upgrade (October 8, 2025)

Overview: On October 8, 2025, Hedera’s network will update to version 0.66, adding batch transactions (Yahoo Finance). This feature lets users combine multiple transactions into one, lowering costs and easing network traffic.

What this means:

• Positive: Makes the network more scalable for business uses like small payments and supply chain tracking.
• Neutral: The upgrade will cause about 40 minutes of downtime, which might lead to slight short-term price changes.

2. AI Governance Pilot (Q4 2025)

Overview: Hedera Foundation is teaming up with Accenture and EQTY Lab to build a verifiable compute platform that audits AI systems (Hedera tweet). Using NVIDIA Blackwell hardware, this platform ensures AI decisions are transparent and follow policies.

What this means:

• Positive: Positions Hedera as a trusted platform for regulated AI, attracting government and public-sector projects.
• Risk: Delays in AI ethics rules or hardware setup could slow down adoption.

3. Stablecoin Studio Expansion (2026)

Overview: Hedera’s Stablecoin Studio toolkit will expand into the Asia-Pacific region through AUDD Digital, focusing on issuing stablecoins for institutions (Hedera tweet). This builds on Lloyds Bank’s successful tokenized foreign exchange trade on Hedera in July 2025.

What this means:

• Positive: Strengthens Hedera’s role in cross-border payments and central bank digital currency (CBDC) projects.
• Risk: Regulatory challenges in Asia-Pacific countries, like China’s crypto restrictions, could limit growth.

Conclusion

Hedera is focusing on scalability improvements, AI transparency, and regulated stablecoins to solidify its position in enterprise blockchain solutions. While technical upgrades like batch transactions bring immediate benefits, long-term success depends on managing AI ethics and regional regulations. Hedera’s emphasis on auditability could set it apart in the race for institutional adoption.

What updates are there in the HBAR code base?

Hedera (HBAR) has rolled out major updates to improve compatibility with Ethereum, enhance developer tools, and promote open-source governance.

1. Mainnet Release 0.62 (July 3, 2025) – Improved Ethereum compatibility with support for larger transactions and reduced gas fees.
2. CLI Launch (June 25, 2025) – A command-line tool that automates deployment and account management, making development easier.
3. Project Hiero (July 22, 2025) – Hedera’s entire codebase is now open-source under a neutral foundation.

Deep Dive

1. Mainnet Release 0.62 (July 3, 2025)

What’s new: Hedera upgraded its Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) support with two key features:

• Jumbo EthereumTransaction: Allows bigger transactions, up to 250 KB, which means more complex smart contracts can run smoothly.
• Zero Cost EthereumTransaction on Success: Removes gas fees for transactions that fail, saving developers money during testing.

Why it matters: These updates make it easier and cheaper for Ethereum developers to build and test decentralized apps (dApps) on Hedera. This could attract more projects, especially in decentralized finance (DeFi), boosting HBAR’s use and value.
(Source)

2. CLI Launch (June 25, 2025)

What’s new: Hedera introduced a Command Line Interface (CLI) tool that automates common tasks like setting up test environments, deploying smart contracts, and managing accounts.

Why it matters: This tool reduces manual work by about 40%, making it faster and easier for developers to create tokens or NFTs on Hedera. Developer-friendly tools like this have historically helped ecosystems grow quickly, as seen with Ethereum’s Truffle suite. This could speed up the number of new dApps on Hedera.
(Source)

3. Project Hiero (July 22, 2025)

What’s new: Hedera’s entire codebase is now open-source under the Linux Foundation’s decentralized infrastructure group.

Why it matters: Open-sourcing means anyone can review, suggest changes, or run nodes with full transparency on how the network reaches consensus and schedules upgrades. While this adds some complexity to governance, it builds trust and aligns Hedera with successful projects like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which also use open-source models. This could increase HBAR’s appeal to institutional investors.
(Source)

Conclusion

Hedera is making smart moves to attract Ethereum developers by improving compatibility and offering better tools, while also boosting transparency through open-source governance. These updates position HBAR as a cost-effective alternative for Ethereum-based projects and address enterprise needs for trust and clarity.

The big question: Will these improvements lead to more active developers and higher total value locked (TVL) in the coming months? Time will tell.

What are people saying about HBAR?

Hedera (HBAR) is seeing mixed excitement, swinging between technical price moves and hopes for an ETF approval. Here’s the latest:

1. Robinhood listing boosts hopes for $0.30 price
2. ETF rumors split optimistic and cautious investors
3. Short-term traders face resistance around $0.26–$0.27

Deep Dive

1. Robinhood Listing Sparks Buying Interest

According to @johnmorganFL,
"HBAR surged 12% after Robinhood listing – next target $0.30 if volume holds."
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What this means: The Robinhood listing makes it easier for everyday investors to buy HBAR, which is a positive sign. However, to keep the momentum going, the price needs to stay above $0.26 support.

2. ETF Speculation Creates Mixed Feelings

From the CoinMarketCap Community:
"90% chance of ETF approval could turn $2K HBAR into $12K by 2026."
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What this means: Some investors are very optimistic about an ETF approval boosting HBAR’s price, but others warn that the coin might be overbought right now (RSI at 85), which could lead to price swings.

3. Technical Resistance at $0.26–$0.27

As noted by @gemxbt_agent:
"HBAR is fighting resistance at $0.265 – breaking above $0.27 could open the way to $0.30."
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What this means: The price is stuck in a tug-of-war near $0.26–$0.27. With $425 million in open derivative positions, volatility could increase, making short-term moves unpredictable.

Conclusion

Overall, the outlook for Hedera (HBAR) is cautiously optimistic. The Robinhood listing and potential ETF approval are positive drivers, but technical resistance and crowded trades could limit gains. Keep an eye on the SEC’s decision on Grayscale’s HBAR ETF, expected in November 2025. Approval could boost confidence and price, while delays might push HBAR back toward the $0.20 support level.

Why did the price of HBAR fall?

Hedera (HBAR) dropped 0.8% in the past 24 hours, while the overall crypto market saw a slight gain of 0.57%. The main reasons for this include delays in ETF approvals, mixed technical signals, and a shift away from altcoins.

1. ETF Approval Delays Hurt Sentiment – The U.S. government shutdown paused the SEC’s review of Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF.
2. Technical Indicators Show Weakness – HBAR’s price is below important moving averages, with bearish momentum signals.
3. Shift Away from Altcoins – Investors are moving funds out of altcoins, as shown by a 7.8% drop in the Altcoin Season Index.

In-Depth Analysis

1. ETF Approval Delayed (Negative Impact)

Summary:
The SEC’s decision on Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF (source) has been postponed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Analysts had expected approval soon, calling it “at the goal line” with all filings complete.

What this means:

• Investors had already priced in strong demand from institutions, so the delay is causing some to take profits.
• The ETF’s 0.95% fee is higher than Bitcoin ETFs, which has made some investors cautious about short-term inflows.

What to watch:
Once the SEC resumes work after the shutdown, ETF approvals could boost HBAR’s price again.

2. Technical Resistance Persists (Mixed Signals)

Summary:
HBAR is trading at $0.215, below its 7-day average ($0.222) and 30-day average ($0.228). Momentum indicators like MACD show weak bullish signs, while the RSI at 47 suggests neutral to slightly bearish sentiment.

What this means:

• The price has struggled to break above the $0.23 resistance level, which is a key Fibonacci retracement point. This keeps the short-term outlook bearish.
• Trading volume dropped 7% to $285 million, indicating less buying interest.

Key levels:

• Closing above $0.23 could signal a positive trend reversal.
• Falling below $0.21 might lead to testing the yearly lows again.

3. Altcoin Sentiment Weakens (Negative Impact)

Summary:
The Altcoin Season Index dropped to 47, down 7.8% in 24 hours, showing that investors are moving money from altcoins to Bitcoin, whose market dominance rose slightly to 58.33%.

What this means:

• HBAR’s nearly 20% decline over 60 days fits the broader trend of altcoin weakness as traders prefer Bitcoin and Ethereum.
• Low trading turnover (3.14% of market cap) means less liquidity, which can cause bigger price swings.

Conclusion

HBAR’s recent decline is due to delayed ETF approvals, technical resistance, and a general drop in altcoin interest. While the long-term outlook for the ETF remains positive, short-term risks include continued SEC delays and Bitcoin’s growing dominance.

Watch closely: Will the SEC resume operations by mid-October to move ETF approvals forward?

What could affect the price of HBAR?

HBAR’s price depends on three main factors: the approval of ETFs, adoption by big companies, and how the token supply changes over time.

1. ETF Approval Delayed – The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has paused approvals due to a government shutdown. Once resolved, an ETF launch looks likely.
2. Growing Enterprise Use – Big names like Google and IBM support Hedera, and real-world projects are increasing demand for HBAR.
3. Token Supply Increases – A significant portion of tokens will become available by 2025, which could lower prices if demand doesn’t keep up.

Deep Dive

1. ETF Launch Delay (Mixed Impact)

What’s happening: Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF (HBR) is close to approval, with a management fee set at 0.95%. However, the SEC’s approval process is on hold due to the U.S. government shutdown, delaying institutional investors from entering the market.

Why it matters: If approved, the ETF could bring large-scale investments similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs, which helped boost prices. Past examples show altcoins like Litecoin jumped about 10% before their ETFs launched, suggesting HBAR might see a similar boost once the ETF goes live.

2. Corporate Adoption & Use Cases (Positive Impact)

What’s happening: Hedera is backed by major companies like Google and IBM. It also partners with groups like Blockchain for Energy (B4E) and OneWave, which has 169 million users in Southeast Asia. These partnerships help expand how HBAR is used, including tokenizing assets and supporting AI tools like the Hedera Agent Kit.

Why it matters: More real-world use means more transactions using HBAR, which can increase demand. Projects focused on tracking carbon emissions align with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals, potentially attracting investors interested in sustainable initiatives.

3. Token Unlocks & Inflation Risk (Potential Downside)

What’s happening: Hedera has a maximum supply of 50 billion HBAR tokens. Founders and executives have tokens that unlock gradually—about 4% each until 2031. By 2025, about 34% of the total supply (17 billion tokens) will be in circulation, according to Hedera’s whitepaper.

Why it matters: If more tokens enter the market without a matching increase in demand, prices could drop. Despite this, HBAR has shown strength recently, with a 9.45% gain over the past 90 days. Still, ongoing token releases might challenge buyers to keep up.

Conclusion

HBAR’s near-term outlook depends heavily on the ETF approval process, while its long-term success relies on growing enterprise use outpacing the increase in token supply. Investors should watch for updates on SEC decisions and token release schedules. The key question remains: Will institutional buying from ETFs balance out the selling pressure from token unlocks?

What is the latest news about HBAR?

Hedera’s plans for an ETF face a regulatory delay, but interest from big investors is growing. Here’s the latest:

1. HBAR ETF Launch Delayed (October 9, 2025) – The U.S. government shutdown has paused SEC approval, even though filings were nearly complete.
2. Grayscale Adds HBAR to Smart Contract Fund (October 8, 2025) – Institutional exposure increases with a 5.5% allocation to HBAR.
3. HBAR Breaks Key Price Level (October 8, 2025) – The price rose 2% on optimism about the ETF and higher trading volume.

In-Depth Look

1. HBAR ETF Launch Delayed (October 9, 2025)

What’s Happening:
Canary Capital’s spot HBAR ETF (ticker HBR) is on hold because the U.S. government shutdown has stopped the SEC from processing approvals. The ETF’s filings show a 0.95% management fee and the ticker symbol, and Bloomberg analysts say the approval was “finalized” and “at the goal line.” More than 16 crypto ETFs are delayed, but issuers are ready to launch once the shutdown ends.

Why It Matters:
This delay doesn’t change much for HBAR right now, but it does show strong confidence from big investors. If approved, the ETF could increase demand for HBAR over time. The 0.95% fee is a bit higher than Bitcoin ETFs but typical for specialized products. (AMBCrypto)

2. Grayscale Adds HBAR to Smart Contract Fund (October 8, 2025)

What’s Happening:
Grayscale updated its Smart Contract Fund (GSC), adding 5.5% of HBAR to the portfolio. The fund also holds Avalanche (7.57%) and Sui (7.35%), showing a focus on blockchains designed for business use.

Why It Matters:
This is good news for HBAR because Grayscale’s choice highlights it to large investors. Hedera’s governance system and energy efficiency likely influenced this decision, fitting the demand for reliable and scalable blockchain solutions. (Binance News)

3. HBAR Breaks Key Price Level (October 8, 2025)

What’s Happening:
HBAR’s price jumped 2% to $0.22 on October 8, breaking out of a period of steady trading. Trading volume increased to 4.3 million tokens, with analysts linking this to ETF excitement and shifts in altcoin investments.

Why It Matters:
This price move is cautiously positive, showing renewed buying interest. However, low liquidity (turnover ratio: 3.13%) means the price could be volatile. Holding above $0.22 might lead to more gains, while dropping below $0.21 could cause some investors to sell. (Yahoo Finance)

Conclusion

Hedera is navigating regulatory delays while gaining support from major investors. The government shutdown has paused ETF approval, but Grayscale’s endorsement and recent price strength show promise. The question remains: will the reopening of the U.S. government spark the next growth phase for HBAR, or will broader economic uncertainties hold it back?