Why did the price of HBAR fall?
Hedera (HBAR) dropped 0.5% in the last 24 hours, continuing a 21% decline over the past month. This fall is due to technical weaknesses, large investors selling off, and a generally weak crypto market.
- Technical Breakdown – HBAR couldn’t break above $0.1716, leading to downward momentum.
- Institutional Selling – Big investors sold large amounts, shown by spikes in trading volume.
- Market Conditions – Investors favored Bitcoin over altcoins like HBAR amid uncertainty.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: HBAR struggled to stay above the $0.170 support level after failing to break through resistance at $0.1716 (CoinDesk). The price fell below its upward trend line, with trading volume jumping 68% during the selloff.
What this means: Traders see this as a sign that prices may continue to fall, triggering automatic sell orders. HBAR is now trading below its 30-day average price ($0.1958) and 200-day average ($0.2068). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.9, showing weak buying momentum.
Key level to watch: If HBAR falls below $0.1633, it could lead to faster selling, possibly down to $0.12, which is a key retracement level.
2. Institutional Selling Signals (Bearish Impact)
Overview: Data from the blockchain shows a spike in HBAR trading volume to 109 million, which is 87% higher than usual, indicating big investors are selling (Yahoo Finance).
What this means: Large holders likely took advantage of a recent 3.87% weekly price increase to sell their HBAR, putting downward pressure on the price. Technical indicators like the MACD histogram and lower highs since October 22 support this selling trend.
What to watch: If trading volume stays below 58.5 million (the 24-hour average), it might mean selling pressure is easing.
3. Macro Market Weakness (Mixed Impact)
Overview: The overall crypto market dropped slightly by 0.13%, with altcoins like HBAR underperforming Bitcoin, which holds 59.2% market dominance. HBAR’s trading volume fell 16.2%, matching a 15% drop in total crypto trading.
What this means: Investors are cautious and prefer Bitcoin over altcoins due to geopolitical concerns and large outflows from Bitcoin ETFs ($101 million withdrawn on October 22). Hedera’s small market share (0.19%) makes it vulnerable to these shifts.
Conclusion
HBAR’s recent decline is driven by a combination of technical setbacks, profit-taking by large investors, and cautious market sentiment. While the upcoming SEC decision on the Canary HBAR ETF (CoinGape) could boost prices, traders should closely watch the $0.1633 support level for signs of recovery.
Key question: Will HBAR bounce back above $0.170 with strong trading volume, or will Bitcoin’s dominance keep altcoins like HBAR under pressure?
What could affect the price of HBAR?
Hedera’s price is currently caught between growing business use and broader economic uncertainties.
- ETF Speculation & Regulatory Decisions – The SEC’s ruling on HBAR ETFs expected in November 2025 could open the door for big investors.
- Growth in Real-World Asset Tokenization – Partnerships with banks and governments are increasing Hedera’s practical uses.
- Stablecoin Liquidity Fluctuations – The amount of USDC stablecoin on Hedera has tripled to $172 million, but sudden changes affect network activity.
Deep Dive
1. Spot ETF Approval Timeline (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Companies like Grayscale and Canary Capital have applied for spot HBAR ETFs, with the SEC’s decision deadlines set for September 9 and November 11, 2025. Experts believe there’s about a 90% chance of approval if Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs get the green light first. Hedera’s governance, which includes major companies like Google and IBM, helps its regulatory appeal.
What this means: If approved, institutional investors could bring significant capital into HBAR, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs. However, any delays might keep the price under pressure. For example, XRP’s price rose 65% before its ETF decisions (Bloomberg).
2. Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization Momentum (Bullish Impact)
Overview: Hedera’s Stablecoin Studio and partnerships with groups like Swarm and Wyoming’s FRNT stablecoin have enabled over $100 million in tokenized real estate and carbon credits. Lloyds Bank uses Hedera for money market funds, and Australia’s Project Acacia is testing central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) on the platform.
What this means: Each new business use locks up HBAR tokens for transaction fees and staking rewards. According to Messari, smart contract deployments on Hedera jumped 213% in Q2 2025, showing growing developer interest. Continued adoption like this could help offset broader market downturns.
3. Stablecoin Volatility Risk (Bearish Impact)
Overview: The supply of stablecoins on Hedera dropped from $212 million in May to $76 million in August 2025, according to DeFi Llama. While the growth of USDC stablecoin boosts liquidity, sudden large withdrawals—like a $40 million outflow in June—can put downward pressure on HBAR’s price.
What this means: Stablecoins account for about 80% of Hedera’s decentralized finance (DeFi) activity. Sharp declines in stablecoin reserves could reduce network revenue and staking rewards, leading to sell-offs. Traders should keep an eye on stablecoin reserves.
Conclusion
HBAR’s future depends on turning growing business use into steady demand while managing uncertainty around ETF approvals. The current price range of $0.16 to $0.20 reflects this balance. A move above $0.23 likely depends on positive ETF decisions. Keep an eye on the SEC’s November 11 ruling and Hedera’s upcoming partnerships in Q4—will real-world asset tokenization outshine Bitcoin’s influence?
What are people saying about HBAR?
The Hedera (HBAR) community is divided between hopes for a price breakout and concerns about a possible correction. Here’s what’s currently trending:
- Traders are watching for a breakout above $0.26 after HBAR jumped 12% following its Robinhood listing.
- Speculation about an HBAR ETF is growing as Grayscale files for an HBAR trust, with technical signals hinting at a potential rally.
- Bearish signs are appearing after HBAR failed to hold $0.30 and trading volume has weakened.
Deep Dive
1. Robinhood Listing Sparks Optimism
@johnmorganFL reports that HBAR surged 12% after being listed on Robinhood, with trading volume increasing by 58%. The price is now testing resistance around $0.27.
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What this means: The Robinhood listing makes HBAR more accessible to millions of retail investors, which could boost demand. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66, suggesting the price might be somewhat overextended in the short term.
2. ETF Speculation and Technical Patterns
@Grayscale highlights a "golden cross" pattern, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average—a signal that has historically preceded big rallies, including a 500% rise leading to HBAR’s 2021 peak at $0.57.
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What this means: This technical pattern is encouraging but depends on HBAR maintaining support at $0.185. If it holds, the pattern could signal a strong upward move.
3. Bearish Warning from Double Top Pattern
@ChartNerd points out a double top pattern near $0.2976, which often signals a potential price drop. If HBAR falls below $0.23, it could retest lows around $0.16.
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What this means: This pattern, combined with a high RSI of 85 and a 6.65% drop in derivatives open interest, suggests some traders are taking profits, which could lead to a price decline.
Conclusion
The outlook for Hedera (HBAR) is mixed. Technical traders are hopeful for a breakout above $0.263, but some analysts caution that after a 140% rally in July, the price may be overvalued. Key levels to watch include the $0.170 support (50-day moving average) and the SEC’s decision on the HBAR ETF expected in November. Additionally, partnerships with companies like Google and IBM could help HBAR gain traction despite Bitcoin’s dominant 59% share of the crypto market.
What is the latest news about HBAR?
HBAR is navigating some ups and downs with recent ETF news and technical shifts. Here’s a quick summary:
- ETF Filing Resubmitted (October 24, 2025) – Canary Capital updated its plans for an HBAR ETF amid price swings.
- Support Level Breaks (October 24, 2025) – HBAR dropped 1.7% after falling below a key price level at $0.170.
- Staking Boost (October 24, 2025) – Hedera moved 250 million HBAR (worth $42.5 million) into staking, sparking positive market interest.
In-Depth Look
1. ETF Filing Resubmitted (October 24, 2025)
What happened: Canary Capital revised and refiled its application for a spot HBAR ETF through Nasdaq. This follows their initial filing from November 2024 and aligns with the SEC’s guidance on crypto ETFs that are not classified as securities. After the announcement, HBAR’s price volatility jumped to 5.2% in 24 hours.
Why it matters: This is a neutral development for HBAR right now. Approval of the ETF, expected by November 7, could attract more institutional investors. However, the SEC is still cautious. Analysts point out that HBAR’s classification as a “non-security” coin, unlike some others such as SOL, improves its chances, but regulatory uncertainty remains. (crypto.news)
2. Support Level Breaks (October 24, 2025)
What happened: HBAR’s price fell 1.7% to $0.170 after breaking below an important upward price channel. Trading volume spiked to 87% above average during this drop, with 4.72 million HBAR traded in just one minute at 13:39 UTC. A brief 3-minute trading halt at 14:14 UTC added to market uncertainty.
Why it matters: This is a bearish sign in the short term. The coin has repeatedly failed to break above resistance at $0.1716, and the heavy trading volume during the breakdown suggests that large holders may be selling. The next key support level is $0.1633, which was a low point in June 2025. If HBAR falls below this, it could trigger further sell-offs. (Coindesk)
3. Staking Boost (October 24, 2025)
What happened: The Hedera Foundation moved 250 million HBAR (valued at $42.5 million) into a staking account (0.0.800). This is part of their automated rewards system. This move happened alongside a 67% price rebound from the October low of $0.1547 and a 92% increase in the market cap of stablecoins on the Hedera network.
Why it matters: This is a positive development. More staking means fewer coins available for trading, which can reduce supply and support prices. The growth in stablecoins suggests more real-world use of the Hedera network. Technical analysis shows a potential bullish pattern called an inverse head-and-shoulders, which could push HBAR’s price up to around $0.2550 — a 50% increase — if it holds above $0.1547. (Coingape)
Conclusion
HBAR is currently facing mixed signals. On one hand, technical indicators look bearish, but on the other, ETF optimism and increased staking activity offer hope for price gains. With the SEC’s decision on the Canary ETF expected by November 7 and the critical support level at $0.1633 in focus, traders are watching closely. The big question: will new institutional investments through ETFs balance out selling pressure?
What is expected in the development of HBAR?
Hedera is making important progress with these key developments:
- AI Governance Integration (Q4 2025) – Teaming up with Accenture and EQTY Lab to create secure, transparent oversight tools for government AI systems.
- Real-World Asset Tokenization (Q4 2025) – Expanding the tokenization of over $100 million in real estate through StegX Finance.
- Global Stablecoin Expansion (2026) – Growing the use of AUDD and PHPX stablecoins in Asia-Pacific markets.
In-Depth Look
1. AI Governance Integration (Q4 2025)
What’s happening: Hedera is working with Accenture and EQTY Lab to build tools that make public-sector AI systems easier to audit and regulate. These tools use Hedera’s technology to create permanent, tamper-proof records of AI decisions (Hedera Blog).
Why it matters: This could be a big win for HBAR because it positions Hedera as a trusted platform for managing AI in government settings, which may lead to new contracts and increased use of the network.
2. Real-World Asset Tokenization (Q4 2025)
What’s happening: StegX Finance and Zoniqx Inc. are turning real estate worth over $100 million into digital tokens on Hedera. This allows people to own small shares of properties and makes it easier to buy and sell these assets. The project uses Hedera Token Service (HTS) to ensure everything follows regulations (Hedera Tweet).
Why it matters: This development could boost Hedera’s network activity and fees if institutions adopt it widely. It fits with a growing trend of turning physical assets into digital tokens, which can increase liquidity in markets that are usually hard to trade.
3. Global Stablecoin Expansion (2026)
What’s happening: Hedera’s Stablecoin Studio is helping AUDD Digital and Berryfox grow the use of AUDD (Australian Dollar stablecoin) and PHPX (Philippine Peso stablecoin) in the Asia-Pacific region. These stablecoins aim to capture part of the $19.4 billion stablecoin payment market expected in 2025 (CoinDesk).
Why it matters: This is a positive sign for Hedera’s future, as stablecoins are key for fast, low-cost cross-border payments and decentralized finance (DeFi). However, regulatory challenges in the region could slow progress.
Conclusion
Hedera is focusing on building strong tools for AI governance, turning real-world assets into digital tokens, and expanding stablecoin use to strengthen its role in regulated digital economies. While technical upgrades like mainnet improvements are done, the next step is growing partnerships and real-world applications. The big question is whether clearer regulations around AI and tokenized assets will help HBAR become more widely used beyond just trading.
What updates are there in the HBAR code base?
Hedera is making its technology more open, easier for developers to use, and compatible with Ethereum, one of the biggest blockchain platforms.
- Fully Open-Source Code (July 22, 2025) – Hedera’s software is now completely open-source through Project Hiero.
- Mainnet 0.62 Ethereum Upgrades (July 3, 2025) – Added support for larger transactions and zero-cost Ethereum transactions when successful.
- Hedera CLI Released (June 25, 2025) – A new tool that simplifies tasks for developers.
In-Depth Look
1. Fully Open-Source Code (July 22, 2025)
What Happened: Hedera made its entire codebase open-source under Project Hiero, which is managed by the Linux Foundation’s decentralized group (Hedera). This means anyone can contribute to the code and suggest improvements through Hedera Improvement Proposals (HIPs).
This change shifts control from a central team to the community, allowing developers and network operators to help shape the platform. It supports transparency and aligns with the core ideas of Web3, which promotes decentralized control rather than relying on a single company.
Why It Matters: Open-source projects usually attract more developers and build trust because the code is open for review. Community-led decision-making can speed up innovation while keeping the platform secure enough for businesses.
2. Mainnet 0.62 Ethereum Upgrades (July 3, 2025)
What Happened: The latest mainnet update introduced “Jumbo EthereumTransaction,” which handles larger data transactions, and “Zero Cost EthereumTransaction on Success” (Hedera).
These improvements make Hedera more compatible with Ethereum by allowing bigger batch operations and eliminating fees for successful Ethereum transactions. This helps developers build more complex decentralized applications (dApps) without worrying about high transaction costs.
Why It Matters: Lower fees and better Ethereum compatibility can attract developers who want to connect different blockchain ecosystems. This could increase activity across blockchains and make HBAR more useful.
3. Hedera CLI Released (June 25, 2025)
What Happened: Hedera introduced a Command Line Interface (CLI) tool that makes it easier for developers to deploy smart contracts and manage accounts (CoinMarketCap).
The CLI automates repetitive tasks, reducing the need for manual coding. It was built with input from developers and works smoothly with Hedera’s software development kits (SDKs) and test network.
Why It Matters: Developer-friendly tools like the CLI lower the barrier to entry, helping developers build apps faster and grow the Hedera ecosystem.
Conclusion
Hedera’s recent updates focus on decentralizing control, improving compatibility with Ethereum, and making development easier. These changes strengthen HBAR as a flexible platform for both business and decentralized applications. The big question is whether community-led governance through Project Hiero will speed up Hedera’s adoption, especially in regulated industries.