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Why did the price of NEAR go up?

NEAR Protocol (NEAR) jumped 7.27% in the past 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which only gained 0.2%. Here’s why:

  1. Network Upgrade Boost (Positive for NEAR)
  2. Growth in AI Projects (Positive for NEAR)
  3. Strong Technical Signals (Positive for NEAR)

In-Depth Look

1. Network Upgrade Boost (Positive for NEAR)

What happened: On August 18, NEAR rolled out an upgrade that cut its yearly token inflation from 5% down to 2.5%. It also improved how NEAR connects with other blockchains and made it easier for developers to build on the platform.

Why it matters:

What to watch: Keep an eye on how new cross-chain apps like SurgeSwap and the HOT Craft NFT marketplace perform.

2. Growth in AI Projects (Positive for NEAR)

What happened: On September 16, NEAR integrated Allora Network’s decentralized AI layer, which powers predictive models for its Shade Agent system.

Why it matters:

What to watch: Look for increased use of AI-powered apps as the “agent season” kicks off in Q4.

3. Strong Technical Signals (Positive for NEAR)

What happened: NEAR’s price bounced back above a key technical level at $3.09 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement), gaining 17% over the week with rising trading volume (up 1.58% to $355 million).

Why it matters:

What to watch: Watch for NEAR to stay above $3.15 to confirm continued upward momentum.

Summary

NEAR’s recent price jump is driven by three main factors: lower inflation tightening supply, expanding AI capabilities increasing its usefulness, and strong technical signals showing buyer strength. While the Fear & Greed Index sits at 40/100, suggesting some caution, NEAR’s 16 million weekly active users and over $1 billion in institutional investments through Bitwise’s staking ETP provide solid support.

Key point to monitor: Can NEAR maintain its position above $3.09 while Bitcoin dominance remains at 57.72%? If NEAR breaks above $3.33, it could aim for $3.62, based on technical projections.


What could affect the price of NEAR?

NEAR’s price is influenced by growing interest in AI technology and overall market ups and downs.

  1. AI Growth – New AI tools and over $570 million in trading volume in Q3 2025 are boosting adoption.
  2. Lower Inflation – A protocol update in August 2025 cut inflation to 2.5%, easing selling pressure.
  3. Market Risks – Geopolitical issues have caused sharp price drops in the past.

Deep Dive

1. Expansion of AI Infrastructure (Positive for Price)

NEAR is making big moves in AI with its Shade Agent Sandbox and partnerships like the one with Allora Network (source). Since July 2025, NEAR has handled over $570 million in AI-related trades through its NEAR Intents platform.

What this means: As more AI applications use NEAR, demand for the token could rise. Historically, every 1 million new AI agent transactions have been linked to about a 0.8% increase in NEAR’s price (source).

2. Changes in Token Economics (Mixed Effects)

In August 2025, NEAR’s annual inflation rate was cut in half to 2.5%, reducing the number of new tokens entering the market by about 12.4 million each month. However, staking rewards dropped from 9% to 4.5%, which might discourage some validators from participating.

What this means: Lower inflation helps support the token’s price by limiting supply growth (circulating supply rose only 1.2% after the update, compared to 2.8% before). But reduced staking rewards could slow network security if fewer validators join (source).

3. Sensitivity to Altcoin Market Trends (Potential Downside)

NEAR’s price tends to move opposite to Bitcoin dominance, with a 90-day correlation of -0.62. For example, on August 14, 2025, NEAR’s price dropped 7% after trading was suspended on Korean exchanges, showing its vulnerability to regional market shocks.

What this means: Since 23% of NEAR’s trading volume happens on Asian exchanges (source), any regulatory changes in these markets could cause bigger price swings compared to cryptocurrencies with more globally spread trading.

Conclusion

NEAR’s growing AI use and reduced inflation offer strong reasons for price growth. However, its close ties to altcoin market trends mean investors should watch Bitcoin dominance (currently 57.75%) and Asian trading activity closely. With 16 million weekly active users, NEAR’s ability to withstand broader market sell-offs in Q4 will be key. Keep an eye on the $2.76–$3.09 price range for signs of a breakout.


What are people saying about NEAR?

The NEAR Protocol (NEAR) community is divided between excitement about AI developments and doubts based on technical trading signals. Here’s what’s currently trending:

  1. Allora integration boosts excitement around AI-powered tools
  2. Traders debate whether breaking $3.40 signals a rally or if bearish trends will continue
  3. Price predictions for 2030 vary widely, from $3 up to $70

In-Depth Look

1. @NiphermeDave: Allora partnership strengthens NEAR’s AI capabilities — Positive outlook

“Allora’s AI layer now works with NEAR, improving smart AI agents that help with cross-chain swaps and decentralized finance (DeFi).”
– @NiphermeDave (3.2K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-09-16 14:32 UTC)
See original post
What this means: This is good news for NEAR because AI-powered tools that work across different blockchains could attract developers who want to build scalable smart contracts.

2. @UniChartz: NEAR faces resistance from long-term downtrend — Negative outlook

“NEAR is still below its long-term downtrend line. A false breakout near $8 led to lower highs. The $2.45 support level is crucial.”
– @UniChartz (28K followers · 89K impressions · 2025-08-27 19:20 UTC)
See original post
What this means: This is a warning sign because failing to break above a long-term downtrend suggests traders are cautious and don’t expect strong upward momentum soon.

3. CoinMarketCap: Mixed price forecasts for 2030

“Investing $1,000 in NEAR today could be worth $25,000 by 2030 if the $70 price target is reached, but Changelly’s more conservative $3.13 estimate highlights risks of stagnation.”
– CoinMarketCap Community Post (May 17, 2025)
See full analysis
What this means: Opinions vary widely, showing uncertainty about NEAR’s future. Some expect big growth, while others warn the project might struggle to fully leverage its 46 million users.

Conclusion

The outlook for NEAR Protocol is mixed. Optimism about AI integration and blockchain interoperability competes with technical challenges and concerns about inflation. Partnerships like Allora and Bitwise’s staking exchange-traded product (ETP) show NEAR’s growing appeal to institutions. However, the token’s inability to fully capitalize on its rapidly growing user base (46 million users, up 400% year-over-year) keeps traders cautious. Keep an eye on the $2.45-$2.50 support zone—if NEAR falls below this, it could break the bullish pattern formed earlier this year.


What is the latest news about NEAR?

NEAR Protocol is growing by integrating AI technology and expanding its ecosystem, even as it deals with market ups and downs. Here’s the latest update:

  1. Allora Partnership (September 16, 2025) – Added AI predictive intelligence to NEAR’s platform.
  2. Network Upgrade (August 27, 2025) – Cut inflation in half to 2.5%, with weekly active users reaching 16 million.
  3. Bitwise Staking ETP Launch (July 30, 2025) – New institutional product makes NEAR more accessible to big investors.

Deep Dive

1. Allora Partnership (September 16, 2025)

Overview:
NEAR Protocol integrated Allora Network’s AI layer, improving its “shade agent” system. This allows decentralized AI agents to make smart predictions for things like cross-chain swaps and automated trading within NEAR’s network.

What this means:
This is a positive development for NEAR because it strengthens its role as a blockchain built for AI applications. It’s likely to attract developers creating advanced decentralized apps (dApps). As AI apps grow, NEAR’s fast and low-cost platform could see increased demand. (NiphermeDave)

2. Network Upgrade (August 27, 2025)

Overview:
NEAR’s upgrade cut the annual inflation rate from 5% to 2.5% to reduce selling pressure on the token. The update also improved cross-chain connections and developer tools, helping weekly active users grow to 16 million—surpassing Solana.

What this means:
Lower inflation encourages long-term holding, while the user growth shows more people are using NEAR’s AI projects, which generated $570 million in usage during Q3. However, the token price hit resistance at $2.53 after the upgrade, indicating some investors took profits. (Bitget)

3. Bitwise Staking ETP Launch (July 30, 2025)

Overview:
Bitwise, a $12 billion asset manager, launched a NEAR Staking Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) on Germany’s Xetra exchange. This product lets institutional investors gain exposure to NEAR and earn staking rewards.

What this means:
This move is somewhat positive because it brings NEAR into traditional finance circles, but it hasn’t yet caused a big price jump. The ETP’s success will depend on overall crypto ETF trends and whether NEAR can keep up its recent monthly price gains of 11.8%. (NEAR Protocol)

Conclusion

NEAR Protocol is advancing AI innovation while managing its token economics, but its price still reacts to overall market swings. The key question is whether institutional investments through Bitwise’s ETP can balance out retail investors selling after the August dip. Watch trading volumes near the $2.80–$3.00 price range for signs of what’s next.


What is expected in the development of NEAR?

NEAR Protocol is making significant progress with these key updates:

  1. Shade Agent Sandbox Expansion (Q4 2025) – Growing its AI agent system by adding smart predictive features.
  2. Chain Abstraction Upgrades (2025–2026) – Improving how NEAR connects and works with other blockchains.
  3. Inflation Reduction Implementation (Late Q3 2025) – Lowering token inflation to encourage holding and reduce selling pressure.

In-Depth Look

1. Shade Agent Sandbox Expansion (Q4 2025)

What’s happening: NEAR’s Shade Agents are AI-powered programs that perform tasks directly on the blockchain. They’re getting an upgrade by teaming up with Allora Network’s predictive intelligence layer (Allora x NEAR). This means these agents can better manage decentralized finance (DeFi) activities and interact across different blockchains on their own.
Why it matters: This makes NEAR more useful, especially for AI-driven applications like automated trading and decision-making in governance. It could attract more developers and big investors. However, it’s a complex technology and faces competition from similar projects on Ethereum.

2. Chain Abstraction Upgrades (2025–2026)

What’s happening: NEAR Intents is a tool that simplifies how NEAR communicates with other blockchains. Recently, it added support for Sui (which holds $2 billion in assets) and partnered with Everclear (handling $1 billion in transaction volume) to make settlements faster and cheaper (July 2025 update). Future plans include supporting advanced features like dynamic sharding and stablecoins designed for institutions.
Why it matters: These upgrades improve NEAR’s ability to work within a multi-blockchain environment, which is important as users and businesses want seamless access across networks. While this is a positive step, NEAR still competes with other popular blockchains like Solana.

3. Inflation Reduction Implementation (Late Q3 2025)

What’s happening: In August 2025, NEAR validators voted to cut the annual inflation rate from 5% to 2.5%. This change aims to encourage people to hold NEAR tokens longer by reducing the amount of new tokens created and sold on the market. The update should take effect by late September 2025.
Why it matters: Lower inflation can help stabilize NEAR’s price by reducing selling pressure from staking rewards. This is attractive to institutional investors, such as Bitwise, which offers a staking exchange-traded product (ETP). However, the success depends on smooth coordination among validators.

Conclusion

NEAR Protocol is focusing on integrating AI, enhancing cross-chain capabilities, and creating a more sustainable token economy. While the technical challenges are significant, recent partnerships and a growing user base (16 million weekly users) show the ecosystem is maturing. The big question is whether NEAR’s Chain Abstraction upgrades will make it a key player in a future multi-chain AI-powered economy.


What updates are there in the NEAR code base?

NEAR Protocol is making big improvements focused on scaling up, adding AI features, and improving how it works with other blockchains.

  1. Shade Agent Sandbox Release (July 30, 2025) – Lets developers create AI-powered apps using NEAR’s fast and low-cost blockchain.
  2. Resharding V3 Update (March 2025) – Upgrades the network to handle more transactions at once.
  3. Allora Network Integration (September 16, 2025) – Brings smart AI predictions to NEAR’s platform.

Deep Dive

1. Shade Agent Sandbox Release (July 30, 2025)

What it is: This new tool lets developers build and test AI agents directly on NEAR’s blockchain. Because NEAR offers low fees and quick transaction finalization, it’s a great place for AI apps to run smoothly.

The sandbox supports creating AI apps that can interact with smart contracts—automated programs on the blockchain. NEAR aims to become the first blockchain designed specifically for AI, creating an “agentic internet” where AI agents can operate and make decisions on their own.

Why it matters: This is a positive step for NEAR. It could attract developers interested in combining AI with blockchain technology, helping NEAR stand out as a leader in this emerging space. (Source)

2. Resharding V3 Update (March 2025)

What it is: NEAR improved its “sharding” system, which splits the network into smaller parts (shards) to process transactions faster and in parallel. The update increased the number of shards from 6 to 8 and improved how data moves between them.

These changes reduced transaction delays by about 40% during testing. However, validators (network participants who confirm transactions) needed to temporarily upgrade their hardware to handle the new system.

Why it matters: This update helps NEAR handle more transactions at once, making it more scalable. While it requires some technical upgrades from validators, it sets the stage for NEAR to support larger, enterprise-level applications. (Source)

3. Allora Network Integration (September 16, 2025)

What it is: NEAR partnered with Allora Network to add a decentralized AI layer that enhances its Shade Agent system. This allows AI models to make predictions and automate decisions directly on the blockchain.

For example, decentralized finance (DeFi) apps on NEAR could use this to better assess risks or optimize returns automatically.

Why it matters: This integration adds powerful AI capabilities to NEAR’s platform, helping it stand out from other blockchains by combining AI and blockchain technology in a unique way. (Source)

Conclusion

NEAR Protocol’s recent updates focus on making the network faster and more scalable (Resharding V3), integrating AI tools (Shade Agent Sandbox), and adding smart AI features (Allora Network). These improvements strengthen NEAR’s position as a blockchain designed for high-performance, AI-driven applications. With strong developer activity (over 950 GitHub commits in the first half of 2025), the big question is whether NEAR can keep up this momentum against other top Layer 1 blockchains.