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What could affect the price of ETC?

Ethereum Classic is navigating a mix of upcoming upgrades, competition with other blockchain models, and changing market conditions.

  1. Olympia Upgrade (2026) – Adds community governance and fee burning
  2. Proof-of-Work vs. Proof-of-Stake – Balancing regulatory challenges and decentralization
  3. Altcoin Market Trends – Bitcoin’s strength limits Ethereum Classic’s trading activity

Deep Dive

1. Olympia Upgrade & Treasury Model (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
The Olympia Upgrade, planned for late 2026, will introduce a system similar to Ethereum’s EIP-1559 fee burning. About 80% of transaction fees will be burned and redirected to a decentralized treasury controlled by a DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization). This treasury will fund development projects through ETC Grants DAO, which already raised $10 million from BITMAIN/ANTPOOL in 2022.

What this means:
Burning fees can reduce the yearly increase in Ethereum Classic’s supply (currently about 3.7%), potentially increasing scarcity and value. The new DAO governance model encourages developers to build on ETC by providing censorship-resistant funding. When Ethereum implemented EIP-1559, its price rose by 58% in late 2021. However, Ethereum Classic’s ecosystem is much smaller (around $300 million in total value locked, compared to Ethereum’s $65 billion), so the immediate impact may be limited.

2. Proof-of-Work Regulatory Challenges (Potential Risk)

Overview:
Ethereum Classic uses a Proof-of-Work (PoW) system, which requires significant energy consumption. Regulators, especially in the European Union, are pushing for more energy-efficient blockchains. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to introduce new crypto rules in 2025 that could indirectly pressure miners through climate-related disclosures. Despite this, ETC’s mining power (hashrate) has increased by 525% since Ethereum switched to Proof-of-Stake, reaching 150 terahashes per second, which improves network security.

What this means:
PoW appeals to users who value decentralization, but environmentally conscious investors and institutions might avoid ETC. Mining is somewhat centralized, with AntPool controlling 32% of ETC’s hashrate (compared to Bitcoin’s largest pool at 22%). This concentration raises the risk of a 51% attack, where a miner or group controls the majority of the network, potentially costing about $144,000 per day to execute (The Defiant). If mining becomes less profitable, ETC could become more vulnerable.

3. Altcoin Market Liquidity (Mixed Effects)

Overview:
Bitcoin’s market dominance reached 59.3% in October 2025, its highest since June 2025, as investors moved away from alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins). Ethereum Classic’s price movements have become closely tied to Bitcoin, with a 30-day correlation of 0.84. However, ETC’s trading volume relative to its market size (turnover ratio) is 3.4%, much lower than Ethereum’s 9.1%, indicating thinner markets.

What this means:
During periods when Bitcoin is strong (“Bitcoin Season”), ETC may experience heavier selling pressure. However, technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) at 38.02 and a 32% price drop over 60 days suggest ETC might be oversold and due for a rebound. For sustained demand, the broader altcoin market needs to recover — the Altcoin Season Index currently stands at 24 and would need to rise above 75 to support a lasting increase in ETC interest.

Conclusion

Ethereum Classic’s future depends on successfully implementing the Olympia Upgrade’s deflationary features while managing the challenges of its Proof-of-Work system amid tightening regulations. Keep an eye on the DAO’s first funding proposals expected in early 2026 and Bitcoin’s market dominance — if Bitcoin’s share falls below 55%, altcoins like ETC could see renewed interest. The big question is whether Ethereum Classic’s commitment to “Code is Law” will outweigh concerns about energy use in the regulatory environment of 2026.


What are people saying about ETC?

The Ethereum Classic (ETC) community is divided between hopeful supporters and cautious skeptics. Here’s what’s currently trending:

  1. Excitement around the Olympia Upgrade – Positive talk about DAO-based governance
  2. Debates over a $55 price target – Mixed opinions on CoinPedia’s 2025 forecast
  3. “Code is Law” philosophy – Seen as a core principle by some, but a concern for adoption by others

Deep Dive

1. @EthClassicDAO: Olympia Upgrade and DAO governance show promise

“First-ever on-chain treasury + DAO native to Proof-of-Work Ethereum… solves gatekeeping & prioritizes community funding.”
– @EthClassicDAO (8.2K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-07-01 22:51 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is good news for ETC because decentralized funding through a DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization) could speed up development. The upgrade’s testnet launch, planned for late 2026, might also attract more interest from investors and developers.

2. @johnmorganFL: Mixed feelings about the $55 price prediction

“ETC could reach $55 in 2025 if adoption increases… but Wallet Investor sees $17.53 by 2026.”
– @johnmorganFL (23K followers · 48K impressions · 2025-07-20 12:12 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Opinions vary because ETC’s price can be unpredictable. CoinPedia’s optimistic forecast depends on the success of the DAO, while Wallet Investor’s lower estimate points to competition from Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, which might limit ETC’s growth.

3. @Crypt0_DeFi: “Code is Law” principle sparks debate

“ETC proves code > politics… but can immutable smart contracts attract devs in a flexible Web3 world?”
– @Crypt0_DeFi (14K followers · 9K impressions · 2025-09-09 07:00 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a neutral point. Supporters appreciate that ETC’s rules can’t be changed (immutability), but many developers prefer blockchains that allow updates and flexibility, like Ethereum or Solana, which could affect ETC’s ability to attract new projects.

Conclusion

The outlook for Ethereum Classic is mixed. There’s optimism around the DAO-driven Olympia Upgrade, but concerns remain about ETC’s strict “Code is Law” approach, which might slow ecosystem growth. Keep an eye on the ETC/USDC trading pair volume after its Binance listing in July 2025 for signs of increased liquidity and market interest.


What is the latest news about ETC?

Ethereum Classic is balancing growing institutional interest and technical upgrades as the crypto landscape changes. Here are the key updates:

  1. FalconX Acquires 21Shares (October 22, 2025) – A U.S. crypto brokerage expands into exchange-traded products (ETPs) by acquiring a Swiss-based issuer.
  2. ETC Plans Expansion in Hong Kong (September 15, 2025) – Aligns with Asia’s push for Web3 regulations by promoting its Proof of Work model.
  3. Olympia Upgrade Proposal (July 1, 2025) – Introduces decentralized governance and fee reforms to improve funding and decentralization.

Deep Dive

1. FalconX Acquires 21Shares (October 22, 2025)

Overview: FalconX, a U.S. digital asset brokerage, has acquired 21Shares, a leading European issuer of crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs). Although 21Shares will continue to operate independently, this deal shows growing cooperation between U.S. and European crypto markets. 21Shares has previously worked with Ark Invest to launch Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. and retail ETPs in Europe.
What this means: This development is neutral for Ethereum Classic in the short term but signals rising institutional interest in crypto investment products. If ETC is included in future ETPs, it could gain wider exposure. (Yahoo Finance)

2. ETC Plans Expansion in Hong Kong (September 15, 2025)

Overview: Ethereum Classic’s Grants DAO (EGD) announced plans to grow its Proof of Work network in Hong Kong, taking advantage of the region’s new Web3-friendly regulations. EGD aims to position ETC as a “secure, immutable decentralized computer” for industries that value neutrality and resistance to censorship. A $10 million funding pledge from BITMAIN and ANTPOOL in 2022 supports this long-term vision.
What this means: This is a positive sign for ETC’s adoption in Asia, as Hong Kong’s clear regulations attract investment. However, ETC still faces competition from Ethereum and other Layer 1 blockchains. (Crypt0_DeFi)

3. Olympia Upgrade Proposal (July 1, 2025)

Overview: The Olympia Upgrade plans to introduce a new fee system similar to Ethereum’s EIP-1559, where 80% of transaction fees are burned and redirected to a decentralized treasury. It also proposes on-chain DAO governance to give the community more control over funding and development. This is ETC’s first major step toward protocol-level funding, reducing reliance on centralized grants. Testing began in July 2025, with full rollout expected by late 2026.
What this means: This upgrade supports ETC’s goal of decentralization and long-term sustainability. Burning fees could reduce the total supply over time, potentially increasing value. DAO governance may help align the community’s interests. However, there are risks in implementing these changes smoothly. (EthClassicDAO)

Conclusion

Ethereum Classic’s recent developments—partnering with institutions, expanding into regulated markets, and adopting decentralized governance—show a commitment to both its original Proof of Work principles and modern growth strategies. The big question remains: will these efforts boost developer activity and help ETC close the value gap with Ethereum?


What is expected in the development of ETC?

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is making steady progress with these key developments:

  1. Olympia Upgrade (End of 2026) – Introducing on-chain decentralized governance and a treasury funded by transaction fees.
  2. ECIP-Driven Improvements (Ongoing) – Community-led proposals to maintain compatibility, audit supply, and improve network stability.
  3. Global Proof-of-Work Expansion (2025–2027) – Efforts to grow ETC’s mining presence, especially in Asia, supporting its proof-of-work model.

In-Depth Look

1. Olympia Upgrade (End of 2026)

What it is:
The Olympia Upgrade introduces four Ethereum Classic Improvement Proposals (ECIPs) designed to decentralize how the network is funded and governed:

Why it matters:
This upgrade is positive for ETC because it builds a sustainable way to fund development while staying true to its principle of “Code is Law.” However, because decisions require broad community agreement, delays could happen.

2. ECIP-Driven Improvements (Ongoing)

What it is:
The community is actively discussing proposals to:

Why it matters:
These changes help improve network stability and reliability. While they don’t promise immediate price gains, they strengthen ETC’s foundation. Progress depends on community consensus, which can take time.

3. Global Proof-of-Work Expansion (2025–2027)

What it is:
The ETC Grants DAO is working to make Ethereum Classic the top proof-of-work smart contract platform, especially as Asian markets shift toward transparent mining practices. Key efforts include:

Why it matters:
This is a long-term positive if ETC can attract miners leaving Ethereum and gain regulatory support. Short-term success depends on market trends and competition from other networks like Bitcoin Layer 2 solutions.

Summary

Ethereum Classic’s future depends on balancing decentralized governance through the Olympia upgrade with ongoing technical improvements. The new DAO could increase investor trust by making funding transparent. However, risks remain as the market favors Bitcoin and other assets (CMC Altcoin Season Index at 24). The question is whether ETC’s focus on proof-of-work and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility will open new opportunities as Ethereum itself moves toward more centralized models.


What updates are there in the ETC code base?

Ethereum Classic (ETC) is making important updates focused on decentralized governance and compatibility with Ethereum’s smart contract system.

  1. Olympia Upgrade Proposal (July 2025) – Introduces a new way to fund development through a decentralized treasury and lets ETC holders vote on how funds are used.
  2. EVM EOF Compatibility (2024) – Improves smart contract performance by aligning with Ethereum’s latest technical standards.

Deep Dive

1. Olympia Upgrade Proposal (July 2025)

Overview: This upgrade changes how Ethereum Classic funds its development. Instead of relying on outside sources, a portion of transaction fees will go into a decentralized treasury controlled by the community. This is done through four Ethereum Classic Improvement Proposals (ECIPs) that implement a fee system similar to Ethereum’s EIP-1559, where 80% of base fees are sent to the treasury. The treasury is managed by an unchangeable smart contract, and ETC holders can propose and vote on how to spend these funds. This creates Ethereum Classic’s first native decentralized autonomous organization (DAO).

What this means: This is a positive step for Ethereum Classic because it gives the community more control over funding and development decisions. The treasury could also reduce the total supply of ETC over time, potentially increasing its value, while supporting ongoing growth of the ecosystem.

(Source)

2. EVM EOF Compatibility (2024)

Overview: Ethereum Classic has updated its system to fully support Ethereum’s EVM Object Format (EOF), which improves how smart contracts run. This includes implementing Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs) like 3860, which limits the size of contract initialization code, and 5450, which adds extra checks for contract execution. These changes were carefully reviewed over six months to ensure security and maintain compatibility with Ethereum’s network.

What this means: This update keeps Ethereum Classic familiar and accessible to developers who work with Ethereum, without adding new features. It helps ETC remain a strong option for developers who want a proof-of-work blockchain with Ethereum-compatible smart contracts.

(Source)

Conclusion

Ethereum Classic is balancing innovation with its core principles by focusing on decentralized governance through the Olympia upgrade rather than introducing many new technical features. With the Olympia testnet already running, it will be interesting to see how giving the protocol control over funds affects ETC’s market and development after the upgrade activates in 2026.


Why did the price of ETC go up?

Ethereum Classic (ETC) increased by 1.56% over the last 24 hours, slightly outperforming the overall cryptocurrency market, which rose 2.17%. This movement was driven by positive technical signals and renewed interest in ETC’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) security model amid ongoing discussions about blockchain decentralization.

  1. Technical Rebound – ETC moved above important moving averages, indicating short-term upward momentum.
  2. Market Recovery – The rise aligns with a 2.17% increase in the overall crypto market value.
  3. Security Focus – Recent conversations highlight ETC’s strong PoW security compared to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) risks.

Detailed Analysis

1. Technical Reversal (Positive Signal)

Summary: ETC climbed back above its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $15.63 and approached a key Fibonacci retracement level at $16.60. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of momentum, moved out of oversold territory (currently at 39.84), suggesting that selling pressure is easing.

What this means: Traders likely saw the bounce from $15.39 (the 50% Fibonacci retracement level) as a buying opportunity. However, the MACD histogram—a tool that helps identify trend strength—is still negative (-0.0126), indicating some caution remains.

What to watch: If ETC can stay above $16.60, it may aim for $18.11 next. But if it falls below $15.39, selling pressure could increase again.

2. Broader Market Trends (Mixed Impact)

Summary: The total value of all cryptocurrencies rose by 2.17% in the past day, with Bitcoin’s market dominance increasing by 1.57%. ETC’s trading volume dropped by 15.57% to $84 million, which is less than the overall market’s volume decline of 28.61%.

What this means: ETC’s price increase seems partly influenced by general market optimism rather than strong, direct demand. The Fear & Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, remains at 32 out of 100—indicating that investors are still cautious.

3. Security and Decentralization (Positive Driver)

Summary: Recent reports (The Defiant) have emphasized ETC’s improved resistance to 51% attacks following a significant increase in its network’s computing power (hashrate) from 24 terahashes per second (TH/s) to over 150 TH/s since 2022.

What this means: As Ethereum shifts to a Proof-of-Stake system, raising concerns about centralization, ETC’s continued use of Proof-of-Work appeals to those valuing decentralization and security. Additionally, clearer Web3 regulations in Hong Kong (Crypt0_DeFi) have brought attention to ETC’s “Code is Law” philosophy, which emphasizes the importance of transparent and immutable blockchain rules.

Conclusion

Ethereum Classic’s recent price increase reflects a combination of technical recovery and growing interest in its security features. However, lower trading volume and cautious market sentiment suggest some skepticism remains. Key point to watch: Whether ETC can maintain support at $15.39, especially if Bitcoin’s dominance continues to rise above 59.28%.

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