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Why did the price of ONDO go up?

Ondo (ONDO) increased by 1.93% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 1.37%. This follows a weekly gain of 5.48%, though ONDO is still 21% below its highest price in the past 30 days. The main factors driving this growth are new strategic partnerships and increased use of its tokenized real-world assets (RWAs).

  1. Expansion of Global Markets Alliance – PancakeSwap joined Ondo’s coalition to improve liquidity for tokenized stocks and ETFs.
  2. Positive Regulatory Developments – The GENIUS Act’s new stablecoin rules have boosted confidence in compliant RWA projects.
  3. Technical Recovery – ONDO’s price bounced back to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.7317), showing signs of short-term momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Partnership Growth (Positive Impact)

Overview: On October 21, PancakeSwap, the largest decentralized exchange (DEX) on the BNB Chain, became part of Ondo’s Global Markets Alliance. This partnership aims to create a standardized way to trade tokenized real-world assets like U.S. stocks, with PancakeSwap likely providing liquidity pools to support trading.

What this means:

What to watch: Adoption rates of tokenized stocks and ETFs on PancakeSwap during November.

2. Regulatory Clarity (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The GENIUS Act, signed into law on October 22, sets federal rules for stablecoins. While some criticize it for loopholes, it indirectly benefits Ondo by providing a clearer legal framework for regulated asset tokenization.

What this means:

Key metric: Monitor inflows into Ondo’s USDY, a yield-bearing stablecoin, following the GENIUS Act.

3. Technical Recovery (Neutral)

Overview: ONDO’s price rebounded from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.7317. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over 14 days rose to 39.28, moving out of oversold territory.

What this means:

Conclusion

Ondo’s recent gains reflect optimism about its growing institutional partnerships and the potential long-term benefits of the GENIUS Act for real-world asset tokenization. However, technical indicators suggest investors should remain cautious until stronger bullish momentum develops.

Key watch: Can ONDO maintain its price above $0.73 and increase trading volume beyond its current 24-hour turnover of 4.07% ($94.6 million)?


What could affect the price of ONDO?

ONDO is currently balancing between upcoming token unlocks that could increase supply and growing adoption of real-world assets (RWAs) that could boost demand.

  1. Token Unlock Schedule – 85% of ONDO’s total supply is still locked, with more tokens becoming available through 2026, which could put downward pressure on the price.
  2. RWA Regulatory Boosts – New laws like the GENIUS Act and ETF filings may encourage more institutional investors to enter the market.
  3. Technical Overview – Price is at $0.72, showing mixed signals: some bearish trends but also signs of potential recovery.

Deep Dive

1. Supply Dynamics: Unlocks vs. Utility (Bearish)

Overview:
More than 85% of ONDO’s total 10 billion tokens are still locked up. Large unlock events are planned through 2026. For example, the Ecosystem Growth allocation, which makes up 52.1% of the supply, started releasing 24% of its tokens at the public launch and will continue releasing more every quarter. Other allocations like Protocol Development (33%) and Private Sales (12.9%) remain locked for at least a year after launch.

What this means:
In the short term, the price could face pressure as tokens become available for trading, especially the 179 million tokens unlocked immediately for CoinList buyers. Historically, token prices often drop 20-40% after big unlocks unless there are strong demand drivers or token burning mechanisms to reduce supply (Ondo Foundation).

2. Regulatory Catalysts (Bullish)

Overview:
The GENIUS Act, passed in October 2025, provides a clear legal framework for stablecoins like Ondo’s yield-generating USDY, which is backed by tokenized U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, 21Shares filed for an ONDO ETF in July 2025, aiming to attract traditional finance (TradFi) investors to blockchain-based real-world assets.

What this means:
Clearer regulations reduce risks for Ondo’s $1.28 billion Treasury tokenization business. If the ETF is approved, it could bring significant new investment, similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs. For example, Galaxy Digital estimates that 5-7% of OUSG’s $680 million assets under management could move into ETF products, increasing demand for ONDO tokens (Yahoo Finance).

3. Technical Positioning (Neutral)

Overview:
ONDO is trading at $0.72, which is below key moving averages (30-day average at $0.81 and 200-day average at $0.90). However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows bullish divergence at 40.07, and there is Fibonacci support around $0.65. The MACD indicator suggests that downward momentum is weakening.

What this means:
Traders may try to defend the $0.65 support level, but for a sustained price recovery, ONDO needs to close above $0.83 (the 50-day moving average). Current market sentiment shows low fear (Fear Index at 32) and low leverage, which limits the chance of sharp price drops.

Conclusion

ONDO’s future price depends on whether growing adoption of real-world assets can outpace the increase in token supply from unlocks. While upcoming unlocks create selling pressure, progress in tokenized Treasuries (with OUSG up 133% year-over-year) and potential ETF approval provide strong support. Keep an eye on the SEC’s decision regarding 21Shares’ ETF and the large token unlock scheduled for January 2026—these events will test Ondo’s ability to handle supply shocks. The big question: Can ONDO become the BlackRock of real-world assets before its token vesting cliffs cause major sell-offs?


What are people saying about ONDO?

The Ondo (ONDO) community is divided between excitement about potential gains and concerns about resistance levels. Here’s what’s currently trending:

  1. Technical analysts are targeting prices above $2 based on positive chart patterns
  2. A recent ETF filing by 21Shares is driving interest from big investors
  3. Large holders selling off tokens are testing key support around $0.80

In-Depth Look

1. Bullish Setup According to @blockchainlenny

"Accumulating at the bottom of a massive ascending channel... $ONDO could pump to $2+ with BlackRock/Coinbase backing."
– @blockchainlenny (89K followers · 2.1M impressions · June 23, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Technical traders see Ondo’s 30% drop so far this year as a chance to buy. They point to its $800 million total value locked (TVL) and partnerships with big financial players as strong reasons for optimism.

2. ETF Filing Sparks Interest but Raises Questions — @ZeusRWA

"21Shares’ spot ETF filing could legitimize RWA tokens... but retail sees a $3B market cap and thinks ‘missed the boat’."
– @ZeusRWA (42K followers · 687K impressions · October 10, 2025)
View original post
What this means: The filing for a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) in July 2025 has increased interest from institutional investors. However, the price hasn’t surged as much as some hoped, reflecting doubts about how useful the token really is compared to the success of the underlying protocol.

3. Large Token Sales Test Support — @ambcrypto

"Arthur Hayes’ Bybit wallet received 3.89M ONDO ($3.6M) in September – 26M tokens moved to exchanges in 10 hours."
– @ambcrypto (220K followers · 1.4M impressions · September 25, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Big holders, sometimes called “whales,” have been selling near the $1.00 resistance level, which has been tested multiple times since August. This shows some investors are taking profits, even though Ondo’s total value locked has grown to $1.72 billion.

Conclusion

Opinions on Ondo (ONDO) are mixed. Technical charts suggest there could be more upside if the price breaks above $1.20. However, data from the blockchain shows large holders are uncertain. Keep an eye on the $1.12–$1.20 price range this week: closing above this zone could trigger automated buying based on patterns seen after the ETF filing in July, while failing to break through might mean the price stays in a sideways range for longer.

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What is the latest news about ONDO?

Ondo is adapting to new regulations and expanding access to tokenized assets while building stronger liquidity connections. Here are the latest updates:

  1. GENIUS Act Passed (October 22, 2025) – The first U.S. stablecoin law, welcomed by the industry but facing pushback from banks.
  2. Blockchain.com Integration (October 20, 2025) – Non-U.S. users can now trade over 100 tokenized stocks and ETFs.
  3. PancakeSwap Partnership (October 21, 2025) – A major decentralized exchange (DEX) joins Ondo’s liquidity network for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs).

In-Depth Look

1. GENIUS Act Passed (October 22, 2025)

What happened:
The GENIUS Act became law on October 22, creating the first federal rules in the U.S. for payment stablecoins. It requires stablecoin issuers to back their tokens with cash or U.S. Treasury securities, sets up licensing through the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), and excludes algorithmic and DeFi stablecoins. Ondo’s leadership supports the law because it encourages institutional use of tokenized assets like USDY. However, some lawmakers, including Senator Elizabeth Warren, and banking groups warn about risks such as potential large-scale withdrawals (up to $6.6 trillion) and weak consumer protections.

Why it matters:
This law is positive for Ondo’s compliant tokenized Treasury products like OUSG and USDY, which meet the new reserve rules. Still, resistance from banks and unclear rules on yield limits could slow wider adoption. Also, clearer regulations might increase competition from traditional financial institutions. (Yahoo Finance)

2. Blockchain.com Integration (October 20, 2025)

What happened:
Ondo Global Markets launched on Blockchain.com’s self-custody wallet, allowing users outside the U.S. to trade more than 100 tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, including big names like Apple and Tesla. Prices are linked to traditional stock exchanges, and Ondo plans to add hundreds more assets by the end of the year.

Why it matters:
This partnership opens Ondo’s offerings to Blockchain.com’s 93 million global users, increasing interest in USDY and OUSG. Features like fractional ownership and 24/7 trading could attract new investors. However, regulatory uncertainty in regions like Europe and Asia remains a challenge. (Yahoo Finance)

3. PancakeSwap Partnership (October 21, 2025)

What happened:
PancakeSwap, the largest DEX on the BNB Chain by trading volume, joined Ondo’s Global Markets Alliance. While details are limited, the partnership will likely include liquidity pools for Ondo’s tokenized stocks and yield products.

Why it matters:
With PancakeSwap’s daily trading volume exceeding $100 million, this partnership could improve liquidity for Ondo’s assets, making trading smoother and reducing price swings. However, competition from centralized exchanges like Bitget and MEXC offering similar assets could limit exclusivity. (Crypto.News)

Conclusion

Ondo is making progress in three key areas: meeting regulatory requirements (GENIUS Act), expanding retail access (Blockchain.com), and boosting decentralized finance liquidity (PancakeSwap). These efforts strengthen its role in the $34 billion+ real-world asset market. The big question is whether the GENIUS Act’s yield limits will increase demand for Ondo’s yield-generating tokens or push institutions to look for options outside the U.S.


What is expected in the development of ONDO?

Ondo’s roadmap is focused on growing its institutional-grade tokenization services and expanding its overall ecosystem.

  1. Global Markets Expansion (Q4 2025) – Growing tokenized asset offerings through key partnerships.
  2. Ondo Chain Upgrades (2026) – Improving compliance features and enabling better cross-chain asset transfers.
  3. Token Unlock Milestones (2026–2027) – Managing the release of locked tokens to support ecosystem growth.

Deep Dive

1. Global Markets Expansion (Q4 2025)

Overview: Ondo plans to grow its Global Markets Alliance, which already includes partners like BNB Chain, Bitget, and LayerZero. The goal is to create a standardized infrastructure for tokenized assets. Recent moves, such as acquiring SEC-registered broker-dealer Oasis Pro, aim to strengthen compliant trading of tokenized stocks and ETFs (Ondo Finance).

What this means: This is positive for ONDO because more institutional adoption of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) could increase demand for its platform. However, regulatory delays or competition from traditional finance (TradFi) firms could pose challenges.

2. Ondo Chain Upgrades (2026)

Overview: Ondo Chain, launched in February 2025, is a permissioned Layer-1 blockchain built specifically for institutional tokenization of RWAs. Planned upgrades include integrating Mastercard’s Multi-Token Network to enable smooth asset transfers and improving oracle security to ensure reliable data feeds (Bitso Blog).

What this means: This is somewhat positive but depends on successful technical implementation. If done well, ONDO could become a key link between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). However, delays or technical issues could slow adoption.

3. Token Unlock Milestones (2026–2027)

Overview: More than 85% of ONDO’s tokens are currently locked, with scheduled unlocks at 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months after launch. The next big unlock is in 2026 (24-month mark), releasing about 1.25 billion tokens to support ecosystem growth (Ondo Foundation).

What this means: This could create short-term selling pressure, which is a bearish factor. But in the long run, these tokens could fund incentives that help grow the platform, which is positive. Monitoring on-chain voting activity can provide insight into how committed stakeholders are.

Conclusion

Ondo’s roadmap carefully balances expanding institutional real-world asset tokenization with managing token supply. By leveraging partnerships and focusing on compliance, Ondo aims to strengthen its position in the market. The key question is whether regulatory progress and developments in ETFs will help offset any short-term volatility caused by token unlocks.


What updates are there in the ONDO code base?

Ondo is making big moves to build top-tier infrastructure for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and improve cross-chain compatibility.

  1. Ondo Chain Launch (February 6, 2025) – A custom Layer 1 blockchain designed for compliant tokenization of real-world assets.
  2. Strangelove Acquisition (July 14, 2025) – Ondo expanded its engineering team by acquiring Strangelove Labs to speed up RWA infrastructure development.
  3. GitHub Activity Surge (July 2025) – A 40% increase in code updates focused on smart contract security and compliance tools.

Deep Dive

1. Ondo Chain Launch (February 6, 2025)

Overview: Ondo Chain is a new Layer 1 blockchain built specifically to combine regulatory compliance with the openness of public blockchains. It’s designed to tokenize real-world assets like government bonds and other financial instruments.

Built using Cosmos SDK and Cosmos EVM technology, Ondo Chain supports important institutional features such as proof-of-reserve oracles (which verify asset backing) and omnichain bridges (allowing assets to move across different blockchains). Its testnet successfully completed the first-ever cross-chain atomic settlement of tokenized assets between J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys platform and public networks using Chainlink oracles.

Why it matters: This development is positive for ONDO because it positions the platform as a key link between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). It enables compliant, large-scale tokenization of assets, which could attract institutional investors. (Source)

2. Strangelove Acquisition (July 14, 2025)

Overview: Ondo acquired Strangelove Labs, a company known for its blockchain engineering expertise, to boost its capabilities in building RWA infrastructure. This includes developing interoperability protocols and custom blockchain deployments.

The acquisition also brought in Jack Zampolin, former CEO of Strangelove, who now serves as Ondo’s VP of Product. He will focus on scalable omnichain asset issuance.

Why it matters: While this may not have an immediate impact on ONDO’s price, it’s a strong long-term positive. It strengthens Ondo’s technical team and helps build comprehensive solutions for tokenized finance, which is essential for competing in this growing market. (Source)

3. GitHub Activity Surge (July 2025)

Overview: Ondo’s development activity on GitHub jumped by 40% in July 2025. The focus was on auditing smart contracts, integrating compliance features, and improving tools for network validators.

Developers are working to enhance security for institutional users and improve Ondo Chain’s compatibility with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which is widely used in the blockchain space.

Why it matters: Increased developer activity is a good sign for ONDO. It shows the protocol is evolving steadily, which helps reduce risks and improve scalability for real-world assets. (Source)

Conclusion

Ondo is strategically advancing its technology to lead in institutional real-world asset tokenization. With its own Layer 1 blockchain, an expanded engineering team, and increased development efforts, ONDO is positioning itself as a vital bridge between traditional finance and decentralized ecosystems.

The big question remains: Will regulatory progress speed up adoption of Ondo’s hybrid blockchain model?