What could affect the price of RAY?
Raydium (RAY) is navigating the ups and downs of Solana’s decentralized finance (DeFi) space with some key factors influencing its future:
- LaunchLab Momentum – New token launches and buybacks could reduce the available supply of RAY tokens.
- Stablecoin Integrations – Adding USX and eUSX stablecoins may improve liquidity and increase trading activity.
- Regulatory Challenges – Restrictions in certain countries affect nearly 27% of the global crypto market, limiting growth.
Deep Dive
1. LaunchLab Growth vs Pump.fun Dominance (Mixed Impact)
Overview: In August 2025, Raydium’s LaunchLab generated about $900,000 in daily fees, which helped fund buybacks of RAY tokens, offering an annual yield of around 6%. However, a competitor called Pump.fun has taken 75-80% of new Solana memecoin launches by offering lower fees and instant liquidity locks (Cointelegraph).
What this means: While LaunchLab’s buybacks support RAY’s price, losing market share to Pump.fun could reduce Raydium’s revenue. To maintain its current value, Raydium needs to keep at least 40% of Solana’s decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume, which is about $4.44 billion daily.
2. Stablecoin Liquidity Boost (Positive Impact)
Overview: On October 1, Raydium integrated Solstice Finance’s USX and eUSX stablecoins, which together hold $160 million in total value locked (TVL), into its liquidity pools. This integration reduces slippage, or price changes during large trades. This followed a September partnership with xStocks, which handles 95% of Solana’s tokenized stock trading volume (MEXC).
What this means: More stablecoin liquidity attracts institutional traders and automated trading bots, potentially increasing Raydium’s fees by 15-20% each quarter. Currently, RAY’s turnover ratio (how often tokens are traded) is 0.13, compared to Uniswap’s 0.41, indicating room for growth if adoption picks up.
3. Regulatory Overhang (Negative Impact)
Overview: Raydium restricts users from the US, UK, and 12 other countries, which together represent 27% of the global crypto market. Meanwhile, US lawsuits accuse Pump.fun of violating laws related to market manipulation (Cointelegraph).
What this means: These geographic restrictions limit Raydium’s user growth and expose it to legal risks. If courts rule negatively against launchpads like Raydium, it could lead to a broader pullback in the sector. However, Raydium’s price volatility over 200 days is 31%, which is lower than the Solana ecosystem average of 48%, suggesting relatively stable performance.
Conclusion
Raydium’s future price depends on balancing the revenue potential from LaunchLab against growing competition and regulatory challenges. Key price levels to watch are $2.50 for support and $3.44 for resistance. The big question is whether stablecoin integrations can help push daily trading volume above $100 million before the end of the year.
What are people saying about RAY?
The Raydium (RAY) community is debating whether the coin will break through resistance or face setbacks. Here’s what’s trending:
- Hopes for a breakout at the $3.50 resistance level
- Buybacks and LaunchLab initiatives are fueling positive sentiment
- Large investors (whales) accumulating while overall user numbers decline, creating mixed signals
Deep Dive
1. @ElliottForecast: Is a Wave III bullish cycle coming?
“Price is nearing a key support zone (blue box) that could trigger the next bullish cycle.”
– @ElliottForecast (18.2K followers · 42K impressions · September 3, 2025, 03:32 UTC)
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What this means: According to Elliott Wave theory, if the price holds this support, RAY could enter a strong upward Wave III, potentially reaching above $4.20. This is a positive sign for investors.
2. @genius_sirenBSC: Product upgrades are boosting momentum
“Raydium X v2 reduced fees by 30%, FTX Japan listing increased trading volume by 660%, and Riptide Farms locked $120 million in total value.”
– @genius_sirenBSC (9.7K followers · 28K impressions · June 19, 2025, 13:40 UTC)
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What this means: These improvements make Raydium more attractive and useful, which is good for RAY’s price. However, regulatory limits in the US and UK may slow adoption in those markets.
3. @ali_charts: Risk of rejection at $3.80
“If RAY fails to break $3.80, it could fall back to $1.50.”
– @ali_charts (476K followers · 1.2M impressions · September 2, 2025, 23:02 UTC)
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What this means: If RAY can’t hold above $3.50, technical analysis suggests a possible 57% drop, which is a bearish warning for investors.
Conclusion
The outlook for Raydium (RAY) is mixed. On one hand, product upgrades like buybacks and LaunchLab are encouraging. On the other, technical signals and a significant user decline (down 81% since December 2024) raise concerns. The $3.50 resistance level is key—breaking above it could confirm bullish targets, while failing might lead to profit-taking. Keep an eye on large investor activity using tools like Nansen to spot accumulation or sell-offs.
What is the latest news about RAY?
Raydium is capitalizing on Solana’s growing decentralized finance (DeFi) scene but is also facing challenges from the unpredictable memecoin market and tough competition among launch platforms. Here are the key updates:
- Stablecoin Integration (October 1, 2025) – Added USX and eUSX stablecoins to liquidity pools, improving trading efficiency.
- M0N3Y Token Crash (October 3, 2025) – The token lost 99% of its value during migration, raising concerns about assets listed on Raydium.
- Pump.fun Competition (October 6, 2025) – Raydium LaunchLab is competing to lead Solana memecoin launches.
Deep Dive
1. Stablecoin Integration (October 1, 2025)
Overview:
Raydium has added USX and eUSX stablecoins from Solstice Finance to its liquidity pools. Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, often pegged to the US dollar. This integration helps reduce price swings during large trades, making transactions smoother. USX is backed 1:1 by real assets and currently holds $160 million in total value locked (TVL). eUSX offers a unique feature called delta-neutral yields, providing an annual return of about 14%. This move supports Solana’s goal to keep more funds within its own ecosystem using native stablecoins.
What this means:
This is a positive development for Raydium (RAY) because increased liquidity attracts bigger investors and strengthens Solana’s DeFi network. However, the success depends on how widely USX is adopted compared to well-known stablecoins like USDC. (MEXC)
2. M0N3Y Token Crash (October 3, 2025)
Overview:
The Solana-based memecoin M0N3Y lost 99% of its value during its migration to a new token called ZERA, wiping out $24 million in market value. Although developers said this was a planned change, the liquidity (available trading funds) on Raydium’s automated market maker (AMM) pool dropped sharply to $89,000, indicating a loss of confidence among traders.
What this means:
This event shows the risks involved with low-supply tokens on Raydium, which could make cautious investors hesitant. It’s important to watch how many tokens successfully transition (currently only 0.7%-0.8%) and the overall liquidity health to avoid similar crashes. (Crypto Times)
3. Pump.fun Competition (October 6, 2025)
Overview:
Pump.fun currently controls about 75%-80% of memecoin launches on Solana, but Raydium LaunchLab is fighting back with incentives like “Project Ascend,” which paid out $16 million to creators in September. While Pump.fun has collected $800 million in fees overall, Raydium offers lower fees and buyback programs, making it easier for creators to switch platforms.
What this means:
Raydium’s strategy to attract creators through financial incentives could help it regain market share. However, ongoing legal challenges against Pump.fun in the U.S. might change the competitive landscape. (Cointelegraph)
Conclusion
Raydium is balancing strong partnerships like the USX stablecoin integration with the challenges of memecoin volatility and fierce launchpad competition. Its hybrid AMM model remains a key part of Solana’s ecosystem, but the platform must manage risks like sudden token crashes and regulatory issues to keep pace with competitors like Pump.fun.
What is expected in the development of RAY?
Raydium is making progress with these key updates:
- USX/eUSX Integration (October 1, 2025) – Added Solstice Finance’s stablecoins to its liquidity pools.
- LaunchLab Expansion (Q4 2025) – Upgrading its token launch platform and building new partnerships.
- Regulatory Adaptation (2026) – Working on solutions to comply with rules in regions that limit access to 27% of the crypto market.
In-Depth Look
1. USX/eUSX Integration (October 1, 2025)
What happened: Raydium added Solstice Finance’s USX and eUSX stablecoins to its liquidity pools. Stablecoins are digital currencies designed to keep a steady value, which helps reduce price swings during big trades. This move aims to attract larger investors and improve trading efficiency. Solstice Finance currently manages $160 million in assets and offers strategies that balance risk and reward.
Why it matters: This is a positive step for Raydium (RAY) because more stablecoin options can increase trading activity and fees. However, there are risks if Solstice’s backing assets lose value or if other stablecoin options become more popular (MEXC).
2. LaunchLab Expansion (Q4 2025)
What happened: LaunchLab is Raydium’s platform for launching new tokens. It plans upgrades to keep users engaged, especially since a competitor called Pump.fun currently dominates this space. So far, 35,000 tokens have been created on LaunchLab, but less than 1% have fully matured. New features might include ways for creators to customize how tokens are sold and share fees more fairly.
Why it matters: This update could be good for Raydium if it helps more projects succeed and attracts quality launches. But the competition is strong, with Pump.fun controlling 84% of new Solana-based meme coin launches (CoinMarketCap).
3. Regulatory Adaptation (2026)
What happened: About 27% of the crypto market is in countries where Raydium faces restrictions, including the U.S. and the U.K. Raydium is considering changes to comply with regulations, such as adding tools to limit access by certain users or tailoring services by region.
Why it matters: If Raydium can’t address these regulatory challenges, its growth could be limited. On the other hand, finding solutions could open up new markets and opportunities.
Conclusion
Raydium is focusing on expanding its stablecoin options and improving its token launch platform in the near term. At the same time, it faces regulatory challenges that will be important to tackle in 2026. With the Solana blockchain ecosystem growing, Raydium’s unique combination of automated market maker (AMM) and order book features could help it attract more institutional investors and compete with projects like HumidiFi.
What updates are there in the RAY code base?
Raydium’s latest software updates focus on improving liquidity and rewarding creators.
- V3 Beta Launch (July 8, 2025) – Integrated OpenBook’s order book to boost Solana DeFi liquidity.
- LaunchLab Upgrades (August 20, 2025) – Added support for Token22 and simplified fee-sharing.
Deep Dive
1. V3 Beta Launch (July 8, 2025)
Overview: Raydium’s V3 Beta combines automated market maker (AMM) pools with OpenBook’s decentralized order book. This gives users access to more liquidity across the Solana network.
The update introduces a hybrid liquidity system where market makers can set specific price ranges and trades are routed through Serum-v2 forks. Smart contracts pull liquidity from multiple sources, cutting trading costs (slippage) by about 40% compared to the previous version. Existing pools still work through wrapper contracts, so nothing breaks.
What this means:
This is positive for RAY holders because traders get better prices with less slippage, and projects can launch tokens with 85% less upfront capital. Liquidity providers can earn fees across platforms without needing to move their funds.
(Source)
2. LaunchLab Upgrades (August 20, 2025)
Overview: Raydium’s token launch platform now supports Solana’s Token22 standard and has simplified how fees are shared.
Creators earn a small percentage (0.05%-0.10%) of trading fees in SOL forever, with earnings automatically reinvested. The update also added dual-token fee options and compatibility with TransferFee, allowing projects to build features like automatic token burns directly into their tokens.
What this means:
This is somewhat positive for RAY because it encourages more token launches on Raydium, increasing activity. However, competition from other platforms like Pump.fun could limit fee growth if adoption is slow.
(Source)
Conclusion
Raydium’s updates focus on making liquidity more efficient and helping creators earn more. The V3 upgrade strengthens trading tools, while LaunchLab’s Token22 support could attract new projects. The big question is whether these improvements will help RAY recover from its 66% drop since January 2025 as more users join the network.
Why did the price of RAY fall?
Raydium (RAY) dropped 5.64% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 3.46%. Three main reasons behind this decline are:
- Memecoin volatility spillover – The M0N3Y token on Raydium crashed by 99%, causing concern among traders.
- Technical resistance – RAY couldn’t break above the important $2.94 price level.
- Market-wide shift to safer assets – Bitcoin’s dominance increased to 58.17%, putting pressure on alternative coins like RAY.
1. Memecoin Liquidation Fallout (Negative Impact)
What happened: The Solana-based memecoin M0N3Y lost 99% of its value on October 3 during a migration event on Raydium’s decentralized exchange (DEX). This crash led to $2.8 million in sell orders and shook confidence in speculative tokens hosted on Raydium.
Why it matters: Since Raydium is a popular platform for Solana memecoins, it is vulnerable to sharp price swings from failed projects. The M0N3Y crash likely caused traders to reduce their holdings in RAY and related tokens.
2. Technical Resistance Holds (Negative Impact)
What happened: RAY tried but failed to stay above the $2.94 pivot point, an important technical level, after testing a higher resistance at $3.44. The 30-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3.06 now acts as a ceiling for the price.
Why it matters: Multiple failed attempts to break above $3.00 suggest weak buying interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 49.71 indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram turning positive (+0.037) hints at possible price stabilization.
3. Altcoin Liquidity Drain (Mixed Impact)
What happened: Bitcoin’s market dominance rose by 0.38% to 58.17% in 24 hours, while the Altcoin Season Index dropped 11.11%. Open interest in crypto derivatives increased to $1.18 trillion (+11.9%), with traders favoring Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Why it matters: Investors are moving funds into Bitcoin amid global uncertainty, reducing liquidity for mid-sized altcoins like RAY. However, trading volume on Solana’s DEX increased by 6% weekly, providing some support.
Conclusion
The recent drop in RAY’s price reflects memecoin instability, technical resistance, and a broader shift of capital toward Bitcoin. Still, Raydium’s strong $569 million trading volume in 24 hours (+30.4%) shows solid liquidity. Key point to watch: Can RAY break back above $2.94 to reverse the bearish trend? Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s price movements for clues about the overall market direction.